Author: Lee Kostroski

Posted on by

NFL Player Prop Picks | Oct 5 2025

ASAwins NFL Player Prop Picks for Sunday, October 5th 2025

Eagles RB Saquon Barkley OVER 12.5 Receiving Yards

The Bronco’s defense is elite, but they struggle in one area and that’s opposing running backs in the passing game out of the backfield. Every lead back the Broncos have faced this season has eclipsed their receiving total for the game. Titans Pollard (29), Bengals Brown (31), Chargers Hampton (59) and Colts Taylor 50 have all cashed this prop bet against the Broncos. Denver gives up the 23rd most receiving yards to running backs on the season. Barkley has been OVER this stat line in 2 of four games this season with an average of 17.5 receiving yards per game. Barkley should see at least 4 targets in this game and needs just one decent play to get OVER this number.

Jets RB Breece Hall OVER 67.5 Rushing Yards

The Cowboys rank 20th rushing YPG allowed per game at 123.3 and 29th in opponents rush attempts per game at 31. The Jets rush play percentage if 6th most in the NFL and they average 5.2 yards per rush with is 3rd most in the NFL. They also average 144.5 rushing yards per game (3rd). Hall should see a dramatic increase in usage in this game with the recent injury to Braelon Allen against Miami last week. Hall had two big games against the Steelers and Dolphins with 188 total rushing yards in those two games combined and is more than capable of putting up 90+ rushing yards in this game against this Cowboys defense.

Jets WR Garrett Wilson Over 63.5 Receiving Yards

This is a mouth watering game for Wilson as he faces a Dallas defense that is giving up a league worst (by far) 297 passing yards per game. Not only does Dallas have the worst defense in the league, but they also have the best offense in football, allowing for a potential monster game for the Jets offense. Wilson has had over 80 receiving yards in three of four games, now getting the best matchup of the season. For an uber talented player, who is currently sixth overall in receiving yards, and soaking up a 36% target share in the offense, this line seems extremely attainable. As long as Justin Fields can continue to distribute the football at an average level, expect Wilson to smash his yardage total. 

Giants RB Cam Skattebo Over 66.5 Rush Yards

Skattebo has become a fan favorite in The Big Apple since taking over for the injured Tyrone Tracy. He received 25 carries last week, playing an integral part in handing the Chargers their first loss of the season. Tracy is likely out once again while the Giants head to New Orleans to face the winless Saints. With a big workload coming his way, as well as the Saints giving up 119 yards per game on the ground, Skattebo is primed for another big week. His rush attempt total is set at 17.5 and even if he is slightly inefficient with his touches, he should still be able to headbash his way over the yardage total. The Giants offense has new life with rookie quarterback Jaxson Dart playing behind a healthy left tackle Andrew Thomas.    

Patriots QB Drake Maye Over 27.5 Rush Yards

In 2024, Maye averaged just over 37 rushing yards in the games that he started and played fully. He is a willing runner when the play breaks down and very athletic at 6’4 225. Negative game scripts were a big reason he was forced to use his legs last year. The Patriots only won three games with Maye under center, while getting blown out in a good amount of their losses. In week 5, expect New England to once again be in a negative script, or at the very least, need Maye to utilize his legs to keep up with the undefeated Bills. The second-year QB has surpassed 30 rushing yards in two of the first four games with a chance to showcase his talent on national television during Sunday Night Football.   

On sale products

BETTING NEWS

Posted on by

NFL Player Prop Bets | 49ers vs Rams | Oct 2nd 2025

ASAwins NFL Player Prop Bets | TNF 49ers vs Rams | October 2nd 2025

49ers TE Jake Tonges Over 27.5 Receiving Yards

Jake Tonges has surpassed 27.5 receiving yards in two of three games without George Kittle, including a standout 58-yard performance last week. With the 49ers missing WRs Ricky Pearsall and Jauan Jennings, and Mac Jones (has played better than Purdy) starting at QB, Tonges has a favorable matchup. The Rams rank 25th in efficiency stats against tight ends and have allowed the 4th most total passing yards to TE’s on the season at 1101. The Ram’s defense has allowed all four starting TE’s faced to eclipse this receiving total. Tonges was on the field for nearly 80% of the snaps last week and should see a heavy load this week, especially given the 49ers depleted WR’s corps.

Rams RB Kyren Williams OVER 66.5 Rushing Yards

Williams saw a season low in rush attempts last week against the Colts at 13 and still managed 77 rushing yards. He should see an increase in attempts this week to his season average of 18.5 a year ago. Williams has rushed for 66 or more yards in 16 of his last eighteen regular season games dating back to last season. He had two games to start this season of exactly 66-rushing yards, but is averaging 85.5 yards per game. The 49ers allowed the 6th most rushing yards (1,774) to running backs in 2024 and have allowed 115.5 rushing yards per game this season (17th most).

BE SURE TO CHECK BACK HERE DAILY FOR MORE FREE BETS AND FREE PLAYER PROP ADVICE!

On sale products

BETTING ADVICE

Posted on by

NFL Free Bet today | Titans vs Texans Prediction | Sept 28 2025

#263 ASA NFL FREE today on: Tennessee Titans +7.5 over Houston Texans, Sunday at 1 PM ET

Really tough ask for Houston to win this rivalry game by more than a TD when they simply struggle to score points. 

The Texans rank dead last in the NFL in scoring averaging 12.7 PPG putting up 9, 10 and 19 points in their 3 games this season.  The Texans are 0-3 ATS losing by an average of 4 PPG to the number. 

Tennessee hasn’t been great offensively but they have scored at least 19 points in 2 of their 3 games and that should get it done here.  In those 2 games the Titans faced the LA Rams and Indianapolis, 2 of the  top 5 offenses in the NFL, and couldn’t keep up despite scoring 19 and 20 points. 

That shouldn’t be a case here facing a Houston team that is averaging just 267 YPG (29th), ranks dead last in 3rd down conversion rate at 24% and scores only 1 point for every 21 yards gained (31st). 

This AFC South rivalry has been closely contested with 9 of the last 10 decided by single digits and the dog has covered 7 of the last 9. 

If we can get 2 TD’s from Tennessee, that just might be enough to get this cover in what is expected to be a low scoring game (lowest total on the board at 39)  Take the points with the Titans as ASA’s NFL free bet today.   

TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE BEST BETS TODAY IN THE NFL FROM THE EXPERTS HERE AT ASAWINS.COM!

On sale products

BETS DAILY

Posted on by

Free Bet Today | Sun Belt Showdown | Sept 27 2025

ASAwins Free Bet Today: #179 Marshall -1.5 at Louisiana Lafayette, 8pm ET

ULL has some major concerns at the quarterback position after the loss or QB Walker Howard, who was injured in the season opener against Rice. Daniel Beale has filled in but has been less than effective with 313 total passing yards on 50.7% completions with 1 TD and 2 INT’s.

The O-line doesn’t help matters as they are one of the worst in the nation when it comes to efficiency stats with a sack percentage allowed of 7.23% (96th). The Cajuns are scoring just 17.7ppg, rank 129th in total yards per game (267) at 4.8 yards per play (107th).

ULL is coming off a road loss to Eastern Michigan who rates significantly lower in our ratings compared to Marshall. The Herd are coming off an impressive 42-28 win at Middle Tennessee State with QB Del Rio-Wilson completing 18/22 passes for 261 yards and 4 TD’s.

Marshall averaged 6.1YPP in that game against MTU and outgained the Blue Raiders by 75-total yards. The Herd are averaging 180 rushing yards per game (58th) this season and will face a ULL defense allowing 215 rushing yards per game (129th).

The Cajuns strength is also running the football at 199ypg, but the Herd defense allows the 35th fewest rushing yards per game at 102.5 and we already discussed their passing woes. Marshall went to Louisiana last season as a 5-point underdog and won 31-3, outgaining ULL by 155 total yards.

This one may be just as ugly. Take the road team as today’s free bet.

DON’T MISS ANOTHER GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO CASH IN WITH ASA’S BEST BETS TODAY IN COLLEGE FOOTBALL. The games we have invested the most in and have the highest probability of winning. CHECK THEM OUT BELOW…

On sale products

FREE BETS DAILY

Posted on by

Ryder Cup Predictions 2025 | HUGE Payout on what Player?

RyderCupPredictions

ASAwins Ryder Cup 2025 Betting Advice Overview

The 2025 Ryder Cup prop bets at Bethpage Black (September 26-28) is shaping up as a high-stakes clash, with the U.S. as heavy favorites due to home advantage and depth, but Europe’s continuity and match-play prowess make them a live underdog. Based on expert analysis from several highly respected golf sources, the consensus leans toward a U.S. win but it’s going to be close.

  • U.S. Edge: Home soil (U.S. won 8 of last 9 home Ryder Cups), superior depth in ball-striking stats (e.g., top-5 in SG: Total for Scheffler, Henley), and Bethpage’s length favoring bombers like DeChambeau. However, U.S. rookies (5 on team) could falter under pressure.
  • Europe’s Strengths: Defending champs with 10 of 12 from 2023 squad; elite foursomes record (e.g., 66% win rate for Fleetwood); McIlroy/Rahm in peak form (McIlroy’s 2025 Masters win, Rahm’s consistency).
  • Risks: Blowouts unlikely— Want a HUGE risk/reward bet? A Tie at +1100 offers a massive ROI.

General Strategy: Focus on player props over outrights (e.g., top scorers, session wins). Bet small on matchups once pairings drop; use live betting for momentum shifts.

Outright Winner Odds (via DraftKings as of Sept 22)

OutcomeOddsImplied ProbabilityExpert Notes
U.S. Win-14559%Strong home pick; 27-15-2 all-time U.S. record. Value if you shop to +100.
Europe Win+16538%Underdog value for retention (need 14 pts); 10 of last 14 wins.
Tie (Europe Retains)+11008%Rare but pays big; last tie 2018.

Top 4 Overall Points Scorer Props odds (Not our prop bets) (DraftKings)

PlayerOddsKey Stats/FormWhy Chalks
Scottie Scheffler (U.S.)+3002025: 6 wins, #1 SG: Total; Ryder: 2-2-3Undisputed world #1
Rory McIlroy (Eur)+6002025: Masters win, 4 victories; Ryder: 54.5% pts rateTalisman, but road woes (1-4-0 away singles).
Bryson DeChambeau (U.S.)+8502025: 2 majors; LIV bomber; Ryder rookieBethpage fit (long par-4s)
Jon Rahm (Eur)+9002025: Top-5 SG: Approach; Ryder: 62.5% ptsLIV form strong

ASA’s Ryder Cup Prop Bet recommendations:

Team USA Point Score bets: (Draftkings)

  • Patrick Cantlay +900 Top USA Scorer – We like Cantlay here who should get enough volume of matches and he has a 3rd place finish on this course in the PGA Championship in 2019. Cantlay has two Ryder Cup’s under his belt with a 5-2-1 record and is undefeated in singles. Ranked top 10 in clutch putts and late round scoring in 2025. We will also sprinkle in Cantlay for a Top 3 USA Finish at +230.
  • Russell Henley +225 Top 3 USA Scorer – Another great longshot here with Henley who has 10 Top 10’s in 2025. He is 4th in SG Total this season and 14th in SG Approach to Green metrics. Henley is 2nd in proximity and finished 4th in money earned this season. Making his Ryder Cup debut is the unknown but clearly the oddsmakers like his chances considering he’s the 3rd highest favorite behind Scheffler and DeChambeau.

Team Europe Point Score Bets: (Draftkings)

  • Tommy Fleetwood +450 Top European Scorer – Fleetwood got the ‘monkey off his back’ with his Tour Championship win this season. He finished with 8 Top 10’s on the Tour this season, only missing 1 cut. Fleetwood is 2nd in Strokes Gained this season and 6th in SG Approach to Green. He’s solid off the tee (25th driving accuracy) which is critical at Bethpage. Fleetwood was 7th in putting average this season and 5th in Par 4 field average. This might be our favorite bet of the weekend.

Session & Format Props to consider:

  • U.S. to Win Friday Foursomes: +145 – History: U.S. 7-1 in last 2 home foursomes.
  • Exact Correct Score: U.S. 15-13 (+1000) or 14.5-13.5 (+1000).

Key Statistics & Data for Analysis

Historical Ryder Cup Records (All-Time Team Format Since 1979)

TeamWinsLossesTiesHome WinsAway WinsLast 10 Home
U.S.91218/101/128 wins, 1 tie, 1 loss
Europe12915/127/102 wins (2012, 2018 away)

Format Breakdown (Last 5 Cups): Foursomes: Europe 25-15-5 (62% pts); Fourball: U.S. 22-20-3 (52%); Singles: U.S. 26-21-3 (55%).

Bethpage Black Fit: Par-71, 7,426 yds; favors long hitters (avg. winning score 2019 PGA: -7). Windy setup boosts accuracy (top SG: Approach key: U.S. ranks 1-5 in 7/12 players).

2025 Player Form & Key Stats (OWGR = Official World Golf Rankings. SG: Total Rank = Strokes Gained)

Team U.S. (Captain: Keegan Bradley)

PlayerOWGRSG: Total RankRyder Record2025 HighlightsBethpage History
Scottie Scheffler112-2-36 wins (incl. 2 majors); T2 OpenT12 2019 PGA
Xander Schauffele233-4-1T7 Open; rib injury earlyT5 2019 PGA
Bryson DeChambeau42 (LIV)Rookie2 majors; +4,000 yds drivesT9 2019 PGA
Collin Morikawa543-3-2T5 PGA; irons eliteT10 2019 PGA
Patrick Cantlay665-2-1T10 U.S. Open; clutch3rd 2019 PGA
Russell Henley75Rookie5 top-10s; accuracy kingT20 2019 PGA
Justin Thomas884-3-3T6 FedEx St. JudeMissed cut 2019
Harris English991-1-12 wins; steadyT28 2019 PGA
Sam Burns10100-1-1T5 BMW; putting hotDebut
Cameron Young11110-3-0T10 Tour ChampDebut
J.J. Spaun1212Rookie5 top-3s; breakoutDebut
Ben Griffin1313Rookie2 wins; T10 majorsDebut

Team Europe (Captain: Luke Donald)

PlayerOWGRSG: Total RankRyder Record2025 HighlightsBethpage History
Rory McIlroy338-6-5Masters win, 4 victoriesT10 2019 PGA
Tommy Fleetwood447-3-2FedEx Cup; 7 top-5sT10 (halfway) 2019
Jon Rahm55 (LIV)5-3-2Top-5 SG: ApproachT21 2019 PGA
Viktor Hovland664-2-3Valspar win, T3 U.S. OpenDebut
Ludvig Åberg771-0-1T5 BMW; rookie starDebut
Robert MacIntyre882-0-17 top-10s; runner-up U.S. OpenDebut
Tyrrell Hatton994-3-1Hero Dubai win; T4 U.S. OpenT13 2019 PGA
Justin Rose10109-7-1T10 Open; vet presenceT25 (4 starts)
Matt Fitzpatrick11116-3-3T5 BMW PGA; precisionT28 2019 PGA
Sepp Straka12121-1-12 PGA wins; family focus8th 2019 PGA
Shane Lowry13133-4-2T5 Open; intangiblesT6 2019 PGA
Rasmus Højgaard1414RookieMultiple DPWT winsDebut

Head-to-Head Insights

U.S. vs. Europe Away/Home: U.S. 8-1-1 last 10 home; Europe 0-5 away since 2012 (but 2012 miracle win).

Player Matchups to Watch: Let’s hope Rory McIlroy and Bryson DeChambeau get paired up at some point this weekend. There have been words between these two players in the past and it could make for some great TV drama. DeChambeau is a fan favorite and will get heavy support from the crowd at Bethpage which could rattle Rory’s cage in a head-to-head matchup.

For deeper dives, monitor pairings (announced coming Thursday) and best of luck at the Links this weekend.

On sale products

DAILY BETTING NEWS