NBA free bet today: ASA play on Miami Heat +5.5 vs. Cleveland Cavaliers, 1pm ET
We are going to support the Heat plus the points in this one as we trust Miami head coach Spolestra to dial up a gameplan to get a home win in Game 3.
Miami played much better in the 2nd half of their last game, outscoring the Cavs 61-53 over the final 2 quarters of Game 2. The Heat won the rebound battle 38-34 and shot well at 52%.
The Cavs were dialed in from Deep by hitting 22-45 from beyond the Arc, but don’t expect shots to fall as easily on the road in Miami.
The Heat were home underdogs just 15 times this season and a profitable 9-6 ATS in those games with an average plus/minus of -3.7ppg (good enough for a cover here).
Cleveland was very good as a road chalk this season at 20-14 ATS but they are just 2-5 ATS in that role their last seven. Miami shoots it much better at home than they do on the road with the 4th best 3PT% on their home court in the NBA.
The Cavs road 3PT% defense ranks 18th. If the Heat are going to win a game in this series it could be this one. Regardless, we expect a close game and will grab the points.
ASA NHL play on Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 goals vs. Ottawa Senators – 7pm ET April 29, 2025 The Toronto Maple Leafs host the Ottawa Senators in Game 5 of their 2025 NHL Playoffs first-round series at Scotiabank Arena, leading 3-1. The Maple Leafs are a strong bet to close out the series tonight at… Read more: NHL Free Bet | Leafs vs Senators | April 29 2025
Panthers vs. Lightning Betting Prediction – April 28, 2025 Pick: Florida Panthers Moneyline (-140) The Florida Panthers lead this series 2-1 with the road team winning all three games of this series. We expect that trend to get snapped tonight and like the Panthers at home over the Lightning. Florida’s 27-13-2 home record, 40-28 mark… Read more: NHL bets | Free pick | Lightning vs Panthers Prediction | April 28 2025
ASA NHL play on Edmonton Oilers (-146) vs. Los Angeles Kings (Game 4, 9:30pm ET Sunday, April 27) Edmonton’s 26-13-3 home record (62.6% win rate) this season follows a 28-9-4 mark last year, and their Game 3 rally (four third-period goals) shows their resilience after dropping the first two games in LA. The Oilers’ 5-on-5… Read more: NHL Free bet | Kings vs Oilers Prediction | April 27 2025
NBA free bet today: ASA play on Miami Heat +5.5 vs. Cleveland Cavaliers, 1pm ET We are going to support the Heat plus the points in this one as we trust Miami head coach Spolestra to dial up a gameplan to get a home win in Game 3. Miami played much better in the 2nd… Read more: NBA free bet today | Cavs vs Heat | Game 3 April 26th
NHL free bet on: Ottawa Senators -108 vs. Toronto Maple Leafs – Game 3 Thursday, 7pm ET I’m betting on the Ottawa Senators to beat the Toronto Maple Leafs in Game 3 on Thursday night at Canadian Tire Centre, with the Sens a slight favorite. Despite trailing 0-2 in the series, Ottawa has been the… Read more: NHL free bet | Senators vs Leafs Prediction | April 24 2025
NBA prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves (+175) to Win Series vs. LA Lakers: Betting Prediction
The Minnesota Timberwolves at +175 offer compelling value to win their first-round playoff series against the LA Lakers. Statistical trends and recent performance strongly favor the Wolves, despite their underdog status.
Statistical Support for the Timberwolves
Recent Form: Since January 6, 2025, the Wolves have been one of the NBA’s elite, posting a 32-16 record. Over their last 15 games, they’re 11-4 straight-up (SU) with a +9.8 Net Rating (4th in the NBA), showcasing their ability to dominate on both ends. In contrast, the Lakers are 8-7 SU in their last 15, with a -0.7 Net Rating, indicating inconsistency.
Offensive Efficiency: Minnesota boasts one of the NBA’s most efficient offense (6th) at 116.6 points per possession (PPP), outpacing the Lakers’ 115.9 PPP (12th). The Wolves’ attack, led by Anthony Edwards 27.6ppg, has the 3rd best Offensive Net rating over the past 5 games.
Defensive Prowess: The Wolves rank 6th in Defensive Efficiency, allowing 111.5 PPP, compared to the Lakers’ 114.7 PPP (15th). Minnesota’s length and versatility, anchored by Rudy Gobert, disrupts opponents’ rhythm, particularly in the paint.
Road Performance: The Wolves excelled away from home this season, going 24-17 with a +2.9 points per game (PPG) differential. This is critical in a playoff series where stealing road games is key. The Lakers, however, struggled on the road, posting a 19-22 SU record with a -2.4 PPG differential, a below average MOV in the league.
Minnesota’s superior efficiency on both offense and defense gives them an edge in a seven-game series. Their road resilience (24-17, +2.9 PPG) mitigates the Lakers’ home-court advantage, especially given LA’s poor road record (19-22, -2.4 PPG). The Wolves’ recent dominance (32-16 since January, 11-4 in last 15) contrasts with the Lakers’ mediocrity (8-7, negative Net Rating). Minnesota’s ability to control pace and defend the interior should neutralize LeBron James and Luka Doncic, while their top-ranked offense exploits LA’s middling defense.
Potential Concerns The Lakers’ star power (LeBron and Luka) can swing games, and their home court could pose challenges. However, LA’s road struggles and inconsistent supporting cast limit their upside against a deep, disciplined Wolves squad.
Prediction The Timberwolves’ statistical advantages—elite offensive and defensive efficiency, strong road performance, and recent form—make them the likely series winner. At +175, the betting value is undeniable for a team that matches up well and has been trending upward.
Pick: Timberwolves (+175) to win the series in 6 or 7 games.
ASA NHL play on Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 goals vs. Ottawa Senators – 7pm ET April 29, 2025 The Toronto Maple Leafs host the Ottawa Senators in Game 5 of their 2025 NHL Playoffs first-round series at Scotiabank Arena, leading 3-1. The Maple Leafs are a strong bet to close out the series tonight at… Read more: NHL Free Bet | Leafs vs Senators | April 29 2025
Panthers vs. Lightning Betting Prediction – April 28, 2025 Pick: Florida Panthers Moneyline (-140) The Florida Panthers lead this series 2-1 with the road team winning all three games of this series. We expect that trend to get snapped tonight and like the Panthers at home over the Lightning. Florida’s 27-13-2 home record, 40-28 mark… Read more: NHL bets | Free pick | Lightning vs Panthers Prediction | April 28 2025
ASA NHL play on Edmonton Oilers (-146) vs. Los Angeles Kings (Game 4, 9:30pm ET Sunday, April 27) Edmonton’s 26-13-3 home record (62.6% win rate) this season follows a 28-9-4 mark last year, and their Game 3 rally (four third-period goals) shows their resilience after dropping the first two games in LA. The Oilers’ 5-on-5… Read more: NHL Free bet | Kings vs Oilers Prediction | April 27 2025
NBA free bet today: ASA play on Miami Heat +5.5 vs. Cleveland Cavaliers, 1pm ET We are going to support the Heat plus the points in this one as we trust Miami head coach Spolestra to dial up a gameplan to get a home win in Game 3. Miami played much better in the 2nd… Read more: NBA free bet today | Cavs vs Heat | Game 3 April 26th
NHL free bet on: Ottawa Senators -108 vs. Toronto Maple Leafs – Game 3 Thursday, 7pm ET I’m betting on the Ottawa Senators to beat the Toronto Maple Leafs in Game 3 on Thursday night at Canadian Tire Centre, with the Sens a slight favorite. Despite trailing 0-2 in the series, Ottawa has been the… Read more: NHL free bet | Senators vs Leafs Prediction | April 24 2025
The 2025 Masters Tournament, set to tee off on Thursday, April 10 at Augusta National Golf Club, promises to deliver another thrilling chapter in golf’s most prestigious event. With a star-studded field, a $20 million purse, and the coveted green jacket on the line, bettors have plenty of options to consider. From dominant favorites to intriguing longshots, here’s a comprehensive betting preview, including current odds for the top 10 players and a few longshot predictions.
Current Odds for the Top 10 Players
As of April 9, 2025, the betting odds reflect a mix of recent form, Augusta history, and star power. Here are the top 10 favorites according to the latest odds (sourced from various sportsbooks like FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM):
Scottie Scheffler (+400) The world No. 1 and defending champion is the clear favorite. Scheffler’s two Masters wins (2022, 2024) and his relentless consistency this season make him a formidable force. However, his putting struggles (79th in one-putt percentage, 86th in strokes gained: putting) could open the door for others if he falters on Augusta’s slick greens.
Rory McIlroy (+650) McIlroy’s quest for the career Grand Slam continues, bolstered by wins at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and The Players Championship in 2025. Despite his strong form, his Augusta record remains inconsistent, with two missed cuts in the last four years and a T22 in 2024, making his short odds a risky proposition.
Jon Rahm (+1400) The 2023 Masters champion has been solid on the LIV Golf circuit, but his move away from the PGA Tour introduces some uncertainty about his preparation. At 14-1, he’s a value play for those who trust his major pedigree and Augusta affinity.
Ludvig Åberg (+1600) The young Swede, now a proven winner on both the PGA Tour and DP World Tour, showed his mettle with a runner-up finish at the 2024 Masters. His length off the tee and precision make him a trendy pick at 16-1.
Collin Morikawa (+1600) Morikawa’s odds have tightened thanks to his elite ball-striking and a strong 2025 season. His T3 finish at the 2024 Masters suggests he’s figuring out Augusta, making him a compelling option at this price.
Xander Schauffele (+1800) Schauffele’s consistency in majors (he’s rarely outside the top 20) and his length off the tee suit Augusta well. He’s yet to break through for a green jacket, but 18-1 feels like fair value for a player of his caliber.
Bryson DeChambeau (+2000) The LIV Golf star’s T6 finish in 2024 proved he can tame Augusta despite his unconventional approach. At 20-1, he’s a polarizing but intriguing bet, especially if his short game holds up.
Justin Thomas (+2200) Thomas brings major championship experience (two PGA titles) and a solid Masters track record (three top-12 finishes in his last six starts). His early 2025 form, including runner-up finishes at The American Express and Valspar Championship, supports his 22-1 odds.
Joaquin Niemann (+2800) The LIV Golf standout has been a betting liability for sportsbooks (per X posts), with his length and approach play tailor-made for Augusta. At 28-1, he’s a dark horse with upside.
Hideki Matsuyama (+2800) The 2021 Masters winner remains a steady contender at Augusta, with his precise iron play and short game. His 28-1 odds reflect a solid but unspectacular 2025, though his history here keeps him in the conversation.
Who are a few Longshots to consider?
Case for Tommy Fleetwood at +4000
Tommy Fleetwood at +4000 is a bet worth serious consideration, supported by his Augusta track record, recent form, and expert endorsements. Here’s why he’s a smart play:
Masters History: Fleetwood is entering his ninth Masters appearance with an impressive resume. He’s made the cut in seven of eight starts, including four top-20 finishes. His standout performance came last year with a T3 finish—his best at Augusta—proving he can contend on Sunday. Over the last eight years, he’s also notched seven top-5 finishes in majors, showcasing his big-stage pedigree.
Skill Set: Fleetwood’s game aligns beautifully with Augusta’s demands. His elite iron play (above-average strokes gained: approach) and accuracy off the tee give him an edge on a course that punishes wayward shots. While his putting can be inconsistent, his T3 in 2024 suggests he’s capable of figuring out Augusta’s tricky greens. His around-the-green play is also above average, a critical factor at a venue where scrambling often separates contenders from pretenders.
Recent Form: Though his T62 at the Valero Texas Open last weekend was a stumble (capped by an 81 on Sunday), it’s an outlier. Fleetwood finished 16th or better in five of his first six starts this season, including a T5 at The Players Championship. This consistency indicates he’s in form heading into Masters week, with the Valero result likely a blip rather than a trend.
Expert Backing: Renowned coach Butch Harmon recently tipped Fleetwood to win the Masters and emerge as golf’s next global superstar (per a Mirror Sport exclusive on X). Harmon’s endorsement carries weight, given his track record with major champions like Tiger Woods. Posts on X also highlight Fleetwood as a popular longshot, with betting previews noting his +4000 odds as offering value compared to sharper lines (e.g., Pinnacle’s +3627).
Betting Value: At 40-1, Fleetwood sits in a sweet spot—long enough to offer a significant return but short enough to reflect his realistic chances. SportsLine’s model, which has nailed 13 majors, pegs him at 35-1 on FanDuel and projects value, while X posts show him as a top-5 liability for some books, suggesting sharp money is on him.
Fleetwood has yet to win a major, but his near-misses (including a runner-up at the 2018 U.S. Open) and his upward trajectory at Augusta make him a prime candidate to break through. A $10 bet at +4000 would return $400, and his odds for a top-10 finish (likely around +400 to +500) could be a safer hedge. If he can replicate his 2024 Masters performance and capitalize on a weak Sunday from the favorites, Fleetwood could don the green jacket on April 13.
Another consideration with longer odds: Corey Conners (+6000)
For those seeking a big payout, Corey Conners at +6000 stands out as a viable longshot. The Canadian has a stellar Masters record, with top-10 finishes in three of his last five appearances (T6 in 2022, T10 in 2021, T10 in 2020). His elite ball-striking—consistently ranking among the PGA Tour’s best in strokes gained: approach—suits Augusta’s demanding layout. While his putting can be a liability, Conners has shown he can get hot on these greens, as evidenced by his past performances. His 2025 season has been quietly strong, with multiple top-20 finishes, and at 75-1, he offers tremendous value for a top-10 bet or an outright sprinkle. If he can avoid a cold putter, Conners could shock the golfing world and become one of the longest longshot winners in Masters history.
Final Thoughts
The 2025 Masters is shaping up as a battle between proven champions like Scheffler and McIlroy and a hungry chasing pack. Scheffler’s favoritism is justified, but his putting woes and short odds make him a fade for some bettors. McIlroy’s Grand Slam narrative is compelling, yet his Augusta struggles temper enthusiasm. For value, Thomas (+2200) and Niemann (+2800) stand out among the mid-tier, while Conners (+6000) is the longshot to watch. However, Tommy Fleetwood at +4000 combines form, course fit, and narrative into one of the best bets on the board. Whether you’re chasing a big payout or playing it safe with a top-10 wager, this year’s Masters offers something for every golf betting enthusiast.
ASA NHL play on Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 goals vs. Ottawa Senators – 7pm ET April 29, 2025 The Toronto Maple Leafs host the Ottawa Senators in Game 5 of their 2025 NHL Playoffs first-round series at Scotiabank Arena, leading 3-1. The Maple Leafs are a strong bet to close out the series tonight at… Read more: NHL Free Bet | Leafs vs Senators | April 29 2025
Panthers vs. Lightning Betting Prediction – April 28, 2025 Pick: Florida Panthers Moneyline (-140) The Florida Panthers lead this series 2-1 with the road team winning all three games of this series. We expect that trend to get snapped tonight and like the Panthers at home over the Lightning. Florida’s 27-13-2 home record, 40-28 mark… Read more: NHL bets | Free pick | Lightning vs Panthers Prediction | April 28 2025
ASA NHL play on Edmonton Oilers (-146) vs. Los Angeles Kings (Game 4, 9:30pm ET Sunday, April 27) Edmonton’s 26-13-3 home record (62.6% win rate) this season follows a 28-9-4 mark last year, and their Game 3 rally (four third-period goals) shows their resilience after dropping the first two games in LA. The Oilers’ 5-on-5… Read more: NHL Free bet | Kings vs Oilers Prediction | April 27 2025
NBA free bet today: ASA play on Miami Heat +5.5 vs. Cleveland Cavaliers, 1pm ET We are going to support the Heat plus the points in this one as we trust Miami head coach Spolestra to dial up a gameplan to get a home win in Game 3. Miami played much better in the 2nd… Read more: NBA free bet today | Cavs vs Heat | Game 3 April 26th
NHL free bet on: Ottawa Senators -108 vs. Toronto Maple Leafs – Game 3 Thursday, 7pm ET I’m betting on the Ottawa Senators to beat the Toronto Maple Leafs in Game 3 on Thursday night at Canadian Tire Centre, with the Sens a slight favorite. Despite trailing 0-2 in the series, Ottawa has been the… Read more: NHL free bet | Senators vs Leafs Prediction | April 24 2025
ASA play on Montreal Canadiens -162 vs. Philadelphia Flyers, 7pm ET
The Canadiens are in a must-win situation, desperately needing two points to keep their playoff hopes alive. Meanwhile, the Flyers have already been eliminated from postseason contention, giving them little motivation. Montreal has been strong at home with a 20-12-5 record this season and an impressive 5-1 mark as a home favorite. In contrast, Philadelphia has struggled on the road, posting a 12-17-8 record and a dismal 9-22 mark as the road underdog. The goaltending matchup further favors Montreal. The Flyers will start Samuel Ersson, who has a 3.8 goals-against average (GAA) over his last ten games, with Philly going just 3-7 in his last ten starts. The Canadiens counter with Sam Montembeault, who has been solid lately, going 6-2 in his last eight decisions with a 2.7 GAA. Given Montreal’s desperation, home dominance, and goaltending edge, the Canadiens look like a solid play against a Flyers team with nothing left to fight for.
NHL Prediction: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Florida Panthers First Round Series Betting Prediction (2025 NHL Playoffs) Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning to Win Series (-105) The Tampa Bay Lightning are a solid bet at -105 to beat the Florida Panthers in the 2025 NHL Playoffs first round, driven by offensive depth, goaltending, and health advantages. Tampa… Read more: NHL Prediction | Lightning vs Panthers Series Bet | 2025
Los Angeles Kings vs. Edmonton Oilers First Round Series Betting Prediction (2025 NHL Playoffs) Pick: Los Angeles Kings to Win Series (-110) The Los Angeles Kings are primed to upset the Edmonton Oilers in their 2025 NHL Playoffs first-round series, fueled by a burning desire for redemption and key statistical advantages. After being eliminated by… Read more: Los Angeles Kings vs. Edmonton Oilers Prediction 1st Round Series (2025 NHL Playoffs)
NBA playoff bets – Pistons to win this series and why! Plus a bonus bet below. Alright, let’s dive into this betting preview for the Detroit Pistons to take down the New York Knicks in their 2025 NBA Playoff first-round series. This matchup is shaping up to be a gritty battle, with the Pistons’ youth… Read more: NBA Playoff bets | Pistons vs Knicks prediction | 2025
NBA Playoff Series Prediction: Houston Rockets +1.5 Games vs. Golden State Warriors Prediction: The Houston Rockets will win at least three games (+1.5 games @Draftkings) in their 2025 NBA Playoff first-round series against the Golden State Warriors. This prediction is based on the Rockets’ superior defensive efficiency, rebounding dominance, and ability to compete in a… Read more: NBA Playoffs Series Prediction | Warriors vs Rockets | 2025
Welcome to our 2025 MLB Futures Predictions! As the new season approaches, we’re diving into the American and National Leagues to break down each team’s outlook. From win totals to key roster changes, our ASA Analysis digs into pitching, bullpens, and batting to give you the edge on what to expect. Whether you’re eyeing bets or just love the game, check out our projections—backed by 2024 results and the latest offseason moves as of March 2025. Let’s see who’s poised to shine and who might stumble in the race to October!
American League Projections
AL East
Baltimore Orioles: 2024 Wins: 91. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 86.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Zach Eflin anchors, but Grayson Rodriguez’s injury hurts depth. Lost ace Burnes to Arizona. Bullpen: Solid, no major upgrades. Batting: Young core (Henderson, Rutschman) excels, but Henderson starts on IL. Projection: 84 wins (Burnes impossible to replace).
Boston Red Sox: 2024 Wins: 81. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 86.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Garrett Crochet adds strikeouts, Buehler from Dodgers helps, but rotation depth is thin. Bullpen: Average. Batting: Resurgent with Casas, Yoshida (starts on IL), plus Bregman (24+ HRs in 5 of last 6 full seasons). Projection: 85 wins (key pitching adds lift from 2024).
New York Yankees: 2024 Wins: 94. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 88.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Rodón returns, Cole lost for season, Fried (3.07 lifetime ERA) from Atlanta a big add. Bullpen: Reliable, not elite. Batting: Soto’s exit stings, Judge carries. Projection: 87 wins (-7, Soto and Cole losses hurt).
Tampa Bay Rays: 2024 Wins: 80. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 80.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Steady but unspectacular, ace McClanahan starts on IL (post-Tommy John, no 2024 innings). Bullpen: Top-10 ERA. Batting: Díaz leads a so-so lineup. Projection: 83 wins (+3, consistent 86+ wins in 5 prior full seasons).
Toronto Blue Jays: 2024 Wins: 74. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 79.5
Chicago White Sox: 2024 Wins: 41. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 54.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Crochet gone, weak rotation, top 4 starters have 5 or fewer career wins. Bullpen: Poor (2nd highest WHIP, 3rd highest ERA). Batting: Last in HRs and OPS, no power adds. Projection: 52 wins (+11, regression to mean).
Cleveland Guardians: 2024 Wins: 92. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 82.5
Detroit Tigers: 2024 Wins: 86. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 83.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Skubal elite, Flaherty back from Dodgers adds depth. Bullpen: Very good (2nd in ERA). Batting: Young upside, but Meadows (CF) on 60-day DL, Vierling out early. Projection: 86 wins (steady playoff contender).
Kansas City Royals: 2024 Wins: 86. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 86.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Ragans, Lugo, Wacha top AL trio. Bullpen: Average, Estévez from Phillies boosts. Batting: Witt Jr. MVP caliber (4th in OPS), India from Reds adds. Projection: 86 wins (good, tough division).
Minnesota Twins: 2024 Wins: 87. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 84.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Lopez, Ryan, Ober return, no big adds. Bullpen: Decent, Coulombe from Orioles helps. Batting: Quiet offseason, Lewis and Lee out early. Projection: 83 wins (minimal roster improvement).
AL West
Houston Astros: 2024 Wins: 88. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 86.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Valdez, Brown solid, Garcia and McCullers unlikely to return. Bullpen: Solid, Hader closes, Abreu, Scott, King back. Batting: Altuve to OF, Alvarez (35 HRs), Walker from D-backs added. Projection: 84 wins (pitching depth shaky).
Los Angeles Angels: 2024 Wins: 63. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 72.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Kikuchi from Houston key, Anderson, Soriano okay, rotation thin. Bullpen: Average, Jansen (447 saves) from Boston closes. Batting: Trout’s health critical, Moncado (3B) may miss early games. Projection: 73 wins (better with Trout).
Oakland Athletics: 2024 Wins: 69. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 71.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Severino (Mets), Springs (Rays) lead, Sears, Bido back. Bullpen: Miller elite, rest walked 233 (5th most). Batting: 8th in HRs, top 4 (22+ HRs each) return, small Sacramento park. Projection: 74 wins (improved roster).
Seattle Mariners: 2024 Wins: 85. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 85.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Castillo, Gilbert strong, Kirby (shoulder) could make rotation elite. Bullpen: Strong (4th best WHIP), lost Brash. Batting: .224 BA (2nd worst), most strikeouts. Projection: 84 wins (pitching carries, offense limits).
Texas Rangers: 2024 Wins: 78. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds: 86.5
Atlanta Braves: 2024 Wins: 89. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 93.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Sale, Strider (due back early April) lead a deep staff. Bullpen: Top-tier. Batting: Acuña, Olson power. Even with franchise studs in Spencer Strider and Ronald Acuna Jr. missing most of 2024 this team still won 89 reg ssn games. Projection: 93 wins (+4, healthy core).
Miami Marlins: 2024 Wins: 62. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 62.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Weak after trades and don’t expect Sany Alcantara (2022 Cy Young) to be on the roster past July. Bullpen: Mediocre at best. Batting: Thin roster. 3rd worst run differential in the Majors last year -204. Projection: 64 wins (+2, young talent emerges).
New York Mets: 2024 Wins: 89. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 90.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Manaea 11th Cy Young voting last year, Holmes key. Bullpen: Solid. Batting: Soto transforms lineup with his 160OPS+, an average of 34 homers, 132 walks and 106 runs over the past 3 seasons. Projection: 87 wins (-2, pitching questions).
Philadelphia Phillies: 2024 Wins: 95. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 90.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Wheeler has finished top 10 in Cy Young voting in 3 of the past four seasons, Nola strong. Bullpen: Solid but has lost Hoffman and Estevez in the offseason. Batting: Harper, Turner led this team to 4.8 runs p/game in 2024, 5th most. Projection: 87 wins (-8, regression expected).
Washington Nationals: 2024 Wins: 71. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 72.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Gore, Irvin decent. Bullpen: Average. Batting: Dylan Crews has the potential to earn NL Rookie of the Year with a stat stuffing season. James Wood, Luis Garcia Jr and CJ Abrams add pop. Projection: 75 wins (+4, youth movement).
NL Central
Chicago Cubs: 2024 Wins: 83. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 84.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Imanaga solid, Boyd adds. Bullpen: Pressly helps but not a top 15 unit. Batting: Kyle Tucker could be a 30/30 guy for the Cubs in 2025. Cubs scored the 6th fewest runs last season. Projection: 82 wins (-1, more of the same).
Cincinnati Reds: 2024 Wins: 82. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 80.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Greene 1.02 WHIP in 2024, Singer talented 9-13 record with 3.71 ERA with KC last season. Bullpen: Middling. Batting: De La Cruz electric! .259 average w/25 HR’s in 2025. Steer chipped in 92 RBI’s. Projection: 78 wins (-4, health risks).
Milwaukee Brewers: 2024 Wins: 92. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 83.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Steady with Peralta, Cortes and Myers. The return of Woodruff could be a huge boost. Bullpen: Lost Williams but added lefties Cortes Jr and Quintana. Batting: Contreras carries the load, and Jackson Chourio is an up-and-comer. Projection: 89 wins (-3, slight regression).
Pittsburgh Pirates: 2024 Wins: 76. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 77.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Skenes dominates in a rotation that has a ton of potential. Bullpen: Average, Bednar off a disappointing season 5.77 ERA, 58 K’s and 28 BB. Batting: Weak offseason, 9.30 SO’s p/game in 2024 (27th most). Projection: 78 wins (+2, Skenes effect and solid young staff).
St. Louis Cardinals: 2024 Wins: 83. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 76.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Gray leads w/13-9 record LY, 3.84 ERA, depth is okay. Bullpen: Helsley strong as the Cards closer. Batting: Arenado aging, Contreras solid but just 84 games in 2024. Projection: 73 wins. The Cards were +12 in wins from 2023-24 but expect a regression. (-10, may selloff at trade deadline).
NL West
Arizona Diamondbacks: 2024 Wins: 89. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 87.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: the Corbin Burnes signing was huge, Zac Gallen and the rest of the staff is elite. Bullpen: Good. Batting: Marte finished top 3 in MVP voting in 2024 w/.292 average, 36 HR’s and .932 OPS. Corbin Carroll and Josh Naylor add depth to this lineup. Projection: 90 wins (+1, tough division, but potentially a great rotation).
Colorado Rockies: 2024 Wins: 61. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 61.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Awful. Bullpen: Weak. Batting: Some power with Bryant who hit 30 HR’s last season, no support. This team has been near the bottom of the league for the past 5 years. Projection: 61 wins (NA, no improvement).
Los Angeles Dodgers: 2024 Wins: 98. 2025 WIN TOTAL odds 105.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Sasaki, Ohtani, Snell, Glasnow and Sasaki, find a deeper rotation. Bullpen: Elite w/ Kopech, Scott, Yates and Treinen. Batting: Ohtani, Betts unmatched. 4th best team batting average at .261, 1st in slugging at .445 and a run differential of +180. Projection: 99 wins (+1, still dominant).
San Diego Padres: 2024 Wins: 93. 2025 TOTAL WIN odds 85.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Cease, King strong, Darvish to start the season on the IL. Bullpen: Solid a top 13 unit. Batting: Tatis, Machado lead, can Bogaerts turn back the clock one more year. Last year’s rookie sensation Jackson Merrill is a player to watch. Projection: 82 wins (-11, potential trades if the team decides to sell at the deadline).
San Francisco Giants: 2024 Wins: 81. 2025 TOTAL WIN odds 79.5
ASA Analysis – Pitching: Logan Webb when on is one of the best in the game. Will age catch up to Verlander? Bullpen: Doval rebounds. After 39 saves in 2023, Doval slipped to 23 a year ago. Batting: Adames adds punch with 32 HR’s last season and a .251 average. Ramos and Chapman also provide depth at the top of the lineup. Projection: 81 wins (steady).
Notes
Top Teams: The Dodgers and Braves have the highest win totals set by the oddsmakers due to elite pitching, bullpens, and batting. The Mets, Yankees, and Phillies follow with strong but slightly flawed rosters.
Bottom Teams: The White Sox remain weak, while the Rockies and Marlins struggle with pitching and depth.
Surprises: Guardians won 92 games a year ago, yet their win total is (82.5) due to losses; Angels rise with an O/U number of (72.5) after winning just 63 game a year ago.
ASA NHL play on Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 goals vs. Ottawa Senators – 7pm ET April 29, 2025 The Toronto Maple Leafs host the Ottawa Senators in Game 5 of their 2025 NHL Playoffs first-round series at Scotiabank Arena, leading 3-1. The Maple Leafs are a strong bet to close out the series tonight at… Read more: NHL Free Bet | Leafs vs Senators | April 29 2025
Panthers vs. Lightning Betting Prediction – April 28, 2025 Pick: Florida Panthers Moneyline (-140) The Florida Panthers lead this series 2-1 with the road team winning all three games of this series. We expect that trend to get snapped tonight and like the Panthers at home over the Lightning. Florida’s 27-13-2 home record, 40-28 mark… Read more: NHL bets | Free pick | Lightning vs Panthers Prediction | April 28 2025
ASA NHL play on Edmonton Oilers (-146) vs. Los Angeles Kings (Game 4, 9:30pm ET Sunday, April 27) Edmonton’s 26-13-3 home record (62.6% win rate) this season follows a 28-9-4 mark last year, and their Game 3 rally (four third-period goals) shows their resilience after dropping the first two games in LA. The Oilers’ 5-on-5… Read more: NHL Free bet | Kings vs Oilers Prediction | April 27 2025
NBA free bet today: ASA play on Miami Heat +5.5 vs. Cleveland Cavaliers, 1pm ET We are going to support the Heat plus the points in this one as we trust Miami head coach Spolestra to dial up a gameplan to get a home win in Game 3. Miami played much better in the 2nd… Read more: NBA free bet today | Cavs vs Heat | Game 3 April 26th
NHL free bet on: Ottawa Senators -108 vs. Toronto Maple Leafs – Game 3 Thursday, 7pm ET I’m betting on the Ottawa Senators to beat the Toronto Maple Leafs in Game 3 on Thursday night at Canadian Tire Centre, with the Sens a slight favorite. Despite trailing 0-2 in the series, Ottawa has been the… Read more: NHL free bet | Senators vs Leafs Prediction | April 24 2025
Milwaukee Bucks star Giannis Antetokounmpo will be sidelined through the next week due to a mild calf strain and will miss the NBA All-Star Game next Sunday, sources tell ESPN. Antetokounmpo, out since Feb. 2, is expected to return to action shortly after All-Star break.
