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Seattle Seahawks Prediction | NFC West | Total Wins

Seattle Seahawks Prediction UNDER 9.5 WINS | NFC WEST | August 31st

ASA’s NFL WIN TOTAL – UNDER 9.5 WINS SEATTLE SEAHAWKS -155

Again, you will want to shop for the best Under number on the Seahawks or consider betting an alternate number with varying juice. We found 9.5 wins at Draftkings with a higher money line of minus -155. We are in the minority here with this Under play as I’ve listened to numerous ‘talking heads’ on the NFL TV programs predict Over the number for Seattle, but we are contrarian here. Seattle won 9 games a season ago but had an average +/- of minus -0.7PPG which was 15th in the league. Those nine victories came against teams with a combined 58-94-1 straight up record and only three of those W’s came against a team with a winning record. In fact, they also suffered 5 losses to teams that had losing records including 7-10 Carolina, 6-11 Las Vegas, 8-9 Tampa Bay, 7-10 New Orleans and 7-10 Atlanta. The Seahawks we decent offensively as they amassed 5,976 total yards of offense in 2022 (12th most), but unfortunately the defense gave up the 7th most total yards at 6,149. A plus +2 turnover differential on the season helped mitigate the discrepancy in their offensive/defensive numbers. Geno Smith had a career year as the Seahawks starting QB last season with a QBR of 62.8, 4,282 total passing yards with 30 TD’s to 11 INT’s. Early in his career with the Jets when he played in 14 or more games, he threw 25 total TD’s in two seasons with 34 total interceptions. Prior to last season, Smith had played a total of 15 games in his career from 2015 through 2021 so we’re not ready to buy in on him just yet. Seattle will have to face one of the toughest schedules in the league this season as the Hawks get the NFC and AFC East which are the two best divisions in football. Along with those two East Divisions they face the Lions and Titans on the road which won’t be easy wins. Our Seattle Seahawks prediction is for them to finish at 8-9 this season and miss out on the playoffs.

OTHER BETTING OPTIONS:

  • GENO SMITH UNDER 3900.5 PASSING YARDS +105 – This is a number you’ll find at Draftkings, while a few other Books are carrying a much lower number of 3800. Clearly this wager ties into our Under bet on Seattle’s win total for the season as we expect a regression from Smith and the passing game. When Seattle has been at their best under Pete Carroll is when they feature a run-first mentality. Going back to 2012 the Seahawks have ranked top 3 in rushing attempts per game six times. In 2013 when they won the Super Bowl, they were 2nd in rushing attempts per game at 31.4. In 2014 they were also 2nd in rushing attempts per game and lost in the Super Bowl. Seattle was 22nd in rushing attempts last season but should have an improved rushing attack with Kenneth Walker III and Zach Charbonnet.

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NFC West Seahawks Total Win Wager

NFC WEST TOTAL WIN BEST BET – Over 9.5 Seattle Seahawks

No matter what the circumstances entering the season, Seattle always seems to get to at least 10 wins.  In fact, since Russell Wilson took over at QB in 2012, the Seahawks have failed to win 10 games just ONCE and that was a 9-7 season in 2017.  They have averaged 10.9 wins per season during Wilson’s 9-year run as starting QB.  Seattle won the tough NFC West last year with a 12-4 record and it was no fluke as they led the division in point differential at +88.  The offense will be very good again with Wilson and his playmakers on the outside (Metcalfe & Lockett) who are among the best in the NFC.  They have the ability to outscore teams when the defense comes up short which it did a lot early last season.  The Seahawks scored 30 or more points in 6 of their first 8 games when the defense was playing poorly.  Despite the defense, they were 6-2 in those games.  The defense improved by leaps and bounds in the 2nd half of the season allowing just 15.8 PPG after giving up an average of 30.3 PPG over their first 8 games.  If the defense can pick up where they left off, this team will be very good.  We have them currently favored in 10 games this season and their underdog roles will all be small numbers (most +3 or less).  All of their road games are winnable and the Hawks face 3 of the worst teams in the NFL in non-division play (Jags, Lions, and Texans).  As we mentioned, Seattle and double digit wins have been the norm for almost a decade.  Now with an extra game added in the regular season, we see no reason this team doesn’t get to at last 10 wins again in 2021.