Point Train Free NFL Bet @NY Giants +2.5 vs. Minnesota Vikings – 12PM CT – Dec 21 2025
This has been an automatic bet for us the last few weeks and the results have been solid (Ravens last week).
We have been tracking a few different betting markets at a public sportsbook and a sharp book and when the numbers don’t align – the results have been quite good.
The biggest betting indicator using this strategy is on the Giants this week plus the points at home against the Vikings.
Should the Vikings really be a road favorite here?
New York actually played better than the final score a week ago in their loss to the Commanders. NYG 384 total yards at 6.9YPPL – held Washington to 340 total yards 6.0YPPL.
Minnesota is off a win in Dallas but were outgained by nearly 100 total yards.
Yes, the G-men lost last week at home but take a look at their other home losses – Packers, Niners and Chiefs. They have beaten the Chargers and Eagles on this field this season.
It’s ugly for a reason – bet the Giants!
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Point Train NFL Free Bet: Philadelphia Eagles -0.5 in the First Half @ Minnesota Vikings – 12PM CT
RATING: 3UNIT
We don’t trust the Eagles for the full game but feel they’ll come out an play very well and inspired in the first half coming off a terrible loss vs the Giants
The Eagles average 14.8 points in the first half this year which is 4th in the NFL. Their first half point margin is +1.8 per game
The Eagles have trailed at half in only 2 of their 6 games vs Rams and Giants
The Eagles are averaging 2.83 points per drive in the first half which is 6th best in the NFL
The Vikings have trailed at the half in 4 of their 5 games this season.
The Vikings are averaging just 11.8 points in the first half and they’ve scored only 3 offensive TD’s in the first half this season
The Vikings have scored TD’s on only 3 of their 29 first half possessions this season which is barely a 10% rate – that ranks 28th in the NFL
We anticipate the Eagles getting off to a fast start and leading at the half
Patriots – QB Drake Maye OVER 232.5 Passing Yards vs. Saints
Drake Maye just torched the Bills for 273 yards in a wild upset win last week, and he’s cleared 232.5 passing yards in 3 of his 5 starts this season—his two misses? Barely under by 3 yards in Week 2, and then they blew out the Panthers in Week 4 and sat on the lead. The Saints’ pass D ranks 23rd in opponents’ completion % (69.54%) and 20th in yards per attempt (6.8). They don’t sack QBs much either, averaging just 2.4 per game, so Maye should have time to sling it. Maye’s the 2nd-most accurate QB in the NFL at 73.38% completions, especially now that he’s clicking with Stefon Diggs for 100+ yards the last two weeks straight.
Chargers – QB Justin Herbert OVER 21.5 Rushing Yards vs Dolphins
The Chargers are down to their 3rd and 4th string RB’s in Haskins and Vidal so expect Herbert to pick up the rushing slack on broken plays. Herbert has rushed for 24 or more yards in 4 of five games this season and coming off a 60-yard game against the Commanders. Miami ranks last in the league against the run allowing 174 rushing yards per game. The Dolphins give up 5.6 yards per rush (31st). They simply don’t win in the trenches. Miami has allowed an average of 32.8 rushing yards to opposing QB’s this season and Herberts willingness to run makes this a very attractive prop bet Sunday.
ASAwins NFL Player Prop Picks for Sunday, October 5th 2025
Eagles RB Saquon Barkley OVER 12.5 Receiving Yards
The Bronco’s defense is elite, but they struggle in one area and that’s opposing running backs in the passing game out of the backfield. Every lead back the Broncos have faced this season has eclipsed their receiving total for the game. Titans Pollard (29), Bengals Brown (31), Chargers Hampton (59) and Colts Taylor 50 have all cashed this prop bet against the Broncos. Denver gives up the 23rd most receiving yards to running backs on the season. Barkley has been OVER this stat line in 2 of four games this season with an average of 17.5 receiving yards per game. Barkley should see at least 4 targets in this game and needs just one decent play to get OVER this number.
Jets RB Breece Hall OVER 67.5 Rushing Yards
The Cowboys rank 20th rushing YPG allowed per game at 123.3 and 29th in opponents rush attempts per game at 31. The Jets rush play percentage if 6th most in the NFL and they average 5.2 yards per rush with is 3rd most in the NFL. They also average 144.5 rushing yards per game (3rd). Hall should see a dramatic increase in usage in this game with the recent injury to Braelon Allen against Miami last week. Hall had two big games against the Steelers and Dolphins with 188 total rushing yards in those two games combined and is more than capable of putting up 90+ rushing yards in this game against this Cowboys defense.
Jets WR Garrett Wilson Over 63.5 Receiving Yards
This is a mouth watering game for Wilson as he faces a Dallas defense that is giving up a league worst (by far) 297 passing yards per game. Not only does Dallas have the worst defense in the league, but they also have the best offense in football, allowing for a potential monster game for the Jets offense. Wilson has had over 80 receiving yards in three of four games, now getting the best matchup of the season. For an uber talented player, who is currently sixth overall in receiving yards, and soaking up a 36% target share in the offense, this line seems extremely attainable. As long as Justin Fields can continue to distribute the football at an average level, expect Wilson to smash his yardage total.
Giants RB Cam Skattebo Over 66.5 Rush Yards
Skattebo has become a fan favorite in The Big Apple since taking over for the injured Tyrone Tracy. He received 25 carries last week, playing an integral part in handing the Chargers their first loss of the season. Tracy is likely out once again while the Giants head to New Orleans to face the winless Saints. With a big workload coming his way, as well as the Saints giving up 119 yards per game on the ground, Skattebo is primed for another big week. His rush attempt total is set at 17.5 and even if he is slightly inefficient with his touches, he should still be able to headbash his way over the yardage total. The Giants offense has new life with rookie quarterback Jaxson Dart playing behind a healthy left tackle Andrew Thomas.
Patriots QB Drake Maye Over 27.5 Rush Yards
In 2024, Maye averaged just over 37 rushing yards in the games that he started and played fully. He is a willing runner when the play breaks down and very athletic at 6’4 225. Negative game scripts were a big reason he was forced to use his legs last year. The Patriots only won three games with Maye under center, while getting blown out in a good amount of their losses. In week 5, expect New England to once again be in a negative script, or at the very least, need Maye to utilize his legs to keep up with the undefeated Bills. The second-year QB has surpassed 30 rushing yards in two of the first four games with a chance to showcase his talent on national television during Sunday Night Football.
#648 ASA FREE BET New Mexico -1.5 over San Diego State, Saturday at 2 PM ET We’re getting the Lobos at home off a road loss @ Nevada facing the Aztecs on the road off a huge home win over Utah State which pushed them into a tie for 1st place in the Mountain West. We… Read more: Free Bet | New Mexico vs San Diego State | Feb 28, 2026
#826 ASA FREE BET ON Utah Tech -3.5 over Abilene Christian, Thursday at 9 PM ET Because the WAC only has 7 teams, they play each other 3 times. These 2 have already met twice with Utah Tech handling Abilene Christian both times on the road. We don’t see that changing now that Tech gets… Read more: Free Bet | College Basketball | Feb 26 2026
#784 ASA FREE PLAY ON UCLA +6.5 over Illinois, Saturday at 8 PM ET DON’T MISS OUR BEST BET ACTION DAILY HERE AT ASAWINS.COM! This is just a gigantic home game for the Bruins who are fighting to get into the NCAA tourney. They have 2 more shots to add a high level win to… Read more: College Free Bet | UCLA vs Illinois | February 21st 2026
ASA NBA player prop free bet – OVER 5.5 Rebounds – Jay Huff – Indiana Pacers The Pacers front court depth is thin right now with Zubac and Siakam both out which means Huff will get more opportunities here. Huff is in line for a big game rebounding against the worst rebounding team in the… Read more: NBA player prop free bet | Pacers vs Wizards | Feb 19th 2026
ASAwins NBA Free Bet – February 10th 2026 NBA free Player Prop OVER 23.5 Points + Assists – De’Aaron Fox – San Antonio Spurs Fox and the Spurs get a favorable matchup against the Lakers tonight and this P+A number is low enough that Fox may not need an assist in this game to go… Read more: NBA Free Bet | Player pro bet | De’Aaron Fox – Spurs vs Lakers
#263 ASA NFL FREE today on: Tennessee Titans +7.5 over Houston Texans, Sunday at 1 PM ET
Really tough ask for Houston to win this rivalry game by more than a TD when they simply struggle to score points.
The Texans rank dead last in the NFL in scoring averaging 12.7 PPG putting up 9, 10 and 19 points in their 3 games this season. The Texans are 0-3 ATS losing by an average of 4 PPG to the number.
Tennessee hasn’t been great offensively but they have scored at least 19 points in 2 of their 3 games and that should get it done here. In those 2 games the Titans faced the LA Rams and Indianapolis, 2 of the top 5 offenses in the NFL, and couldn’t keep up despite scoring 19 and 20 points.
That shouldn’t be a case here facing a Houston team that is averaging just 267 YPG (29th), ranks dead last in 3rd down conversion rate at 24% and scores only 1 point for every 21 yards gained (31st).
This AFC South rivalry has been closely contested with 9 of the last 10 decided by single digits and the dog has covered 7 of the last 9.
If we can get 2 TD’s from Tennessee, that just might be enough to get this cover in what is expected to be a low scoring game (lowest total on the board at 39) Take the points with the Titans as ASA’s NFL free bet today.
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ASA NBA predictionCleveland Cavaliers (+350) to win the Eastern Conference Cleveland made the biggest splash of any team before the trade deadline, acquiring James Harden from the Clippers in early February. The trade has sparked the Cavs offense who is averaging 130ppg over the first three games that the 11-time All Star has played. Donovan… Read more: NBA prediction Cleveland Cavaliers Eastern Conf Champs +350
ASA’s NFL News & Notes – Oct 23 2025 CHICAGO BEARS – The Bears topped New Orleans 26-14 on Sunday and have now won 4 straight games. Believe it or not, that their longest winning streak in 6 years! How have they done it? Turnovers. They have at least 3 takeaways in all 4 of their… Read more: NFL News & Notes | Oct 23 2025
NBA SEASON LONG WIN TOTAL BETS LA CLIPPERS OVER 49.5 WINS (-120) – The Clippers are going to be better this season than they were a year ago when they won 50 games. They lost Norman Powell to the Heat but added Bradley Beal, Chris Paul and Brook Lopez. They also get a full year… Read more: NBA WIN TOTAL BETS | 2025-26 FUTURES
ASA NBA Future Bet: Nuggets at +700: A Championship Steal with Upgraded Depth and Defense The Denver Nuggets sit at +700 odds to win the 2025-26 NBA Championship (implied probability ~12.5%), offering solid value for a team that’s reloaded around Nikola Jokić after a heartbreaking seven-game loss to the Thunder in the 2024-25 Western Conference… Read more: NBA Championship Bet | Nuggets +700 | 2025-26
Point Train – NFL Power Rankings (Post-Week 6, 2025) Here is a short NFL rankings based on what we’ve seen through games played on October 13th. These rankings are fluid and will fluctuate weekly. We are reflecting on their performance and alignment with analytics as of October 14, 2025. Thanks for taking a minute to… Read more: NFL Power Rankings | Oct 14 2025
Spot the difference between the #NHL and #NBA? The toothless guy who lays it on the line for pride in his country or the guy that flops and fakes injuries all the time? #jackhughes @stoolpresidente @usahockey