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NFL Free Bet | Vikings vs Giants | Dec 21 2025

Point Train Free NFL Bet @NY Giants +2.5 vs. Minnesota Vikings – 12PM CT – Dec 21 2025

  • This has been an automatic bet for us the last few weeks and the results have been solid (Ravens last week).
  • We have been tracking a few different betting markets at a public sportsbook and a sharp book and when the numbers don’t align – the results have been quite good.
  • The biggest betting indicator using this strategy is on the Giants this week plus the points at home against the Vikings.
  • Should the Vikings really be a road favorite here?
  • New York actually played better than the final score a week ago in their loss to the Commanders. NYG 384 total yards at 6.9YPPL – held Washington to 340 total yards 6.0YPPL.
  • Minnesota is off a win in Dallas but were outgained by nearly 100 total yards.
  • Yes, the G-men lost last week at home but take a look at their other home losses – Packers, Niners and Chiefs. They have beaten the Chargers and Eagles on this field this season.
  • It’s ugly for a reason – bet the Giants!

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NFL Free Bet | Eagles vs Vikings | Oct 19 2025

Point Train NFL Free Bet: Philadelphia Eagles -0.5 in the First Half @ Minnesota Vikings – 12PM CT

RATING: 3UNIT

  • We don’t trust the Eagles for the full game but feel they’ll come out an play very well and inspired in the first half coming off a terrible loss vs the Giants
  • The Eagles average 14.8 points in the first half this year which is 4th in the NFL.  Their first half point margin is +1.8 per game
  • The Eagles have trailed at half in only 2 of their 6 games vs Rams and Giants
  • The Eagles are averaging 2.83 points per drive in the first half which is 6th best in the NFL
  • The Vikings have trailed at the half in 4 of their 5 games this season. 
  • The Vikings are averaging just 11.8 points in the first half and they’ve scored only 3 offensive TD’s in the first half this season
  • The Vikings have scored TD’s on only 3 of their 29 first half possessions this season which is barely a 10% rate – that ranks 28th in the NFL
  • We anticipate the Eagles getting off to a fast start and leading at the half

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NFL Player Prop Bets | QB’s Big Day | Oct 12 2025

Patriots – QB Drake Maye OVER 232.5 Passing Yards vs. Saints

Drake Maye just torched the Bills for 273 yards in a wild upset win last week, and he’s cleared 232.5 passing yards in 3 of his 5 starts this season—his two misses? Barely under by 3 yards in Week 2, and then they blew out the Panthers in Week 4 and sat on the lead. The Saints’ pass D ranks 23rd in opponents’ completion % (69.54%) and 20th in yards per attempt (6.8). They don’t sack QBs much either, averaging just 2.4 per game, so Maye should have time to sling it. Maye’s the 2nd-most accurate QB in the NFL at 73.38% completions, especially now that he’s clicking with Stefon Diggs for 100+ yards the last two weeks straight.

Chargers – QB Justin Herbert OVER 21.5 Rushing Yards vs Dolphins

The Chargers are down to their 3rd and 4th string RB’s in Haskins and Vidal so expect Herbert to pick up the rushing slack on broken plays. Herbert has rushed for 24 or more yards in 4 of five games this season and coming off a 60-yard game against the Commanders. Miami ranks last in the league against the run allowing 174 rushing yards per game. The Dolphins give up 5.6 yards per rush (31st). They simply don’t win in the trenches. Miami has allowed an average of 32.8 rushing yards to opposing QB’s this season and Herberts willingness to run makes this a very attractive prop bet Sunday.

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NFL Player Prop Picks | Oct 5 2025

ASAwins NFL Player Prop Picks for Sunday, October 5th 2025

Eagles RB Saquon Barkley OVER 12.5 Receiving Yards

The Bronco’s defense is elite, but they struggle in one area and that’s opposing running backs in the passing game out of the backfield. Every lead back the Broncos have faced this season has eclipsed their receiving total for the game. Titans Pollard (29), Bengals Brown (31), Chargers Hampton (59) and Colts Taylor 50 have all cashed this prop bet against the Broncos. Denver gives up the 23rd most receiving yards to running backs on the season. Barkley has been OVER this stat line in 2 of four games this season with an average of 17.5 receiving yards per game. Barkley should see at least 4 targets in this game and needs just one decent play to get OVER this number.

Jets RB Breece Hall OVER 67.5 Rushing Yards

The Cowboys rank 20th rushing YPG allowed per game at 123.3 and 29th in opponents rush attempts per game at 31. The Jets rush play percentage if 6th most in the NFL and they average 5.2 yards per rush with is 3rd most in the NFL. They also average 144.5 rushing yards per game (3rd). Hall should see a dramatic increase in usage in this game with the recent injury to Braelon Allen against Miami last week. Hall had two big games against the Steelers and Dolphins with 188 total rushing yards in those two games combined and is more than capable of putting up 90+ rushing yards in this game against this Cowboys defense.

Jets WR Garrett Wilson Over 63.5 Receiving Yards

This is a mouth watering game for Wilson as he faces a Dallas defense that is giving up a league worst (by far) 297 passing yards per game. Not only does Dallas have the worst defense in the league, but they also have the best offense in football, allowing for a potential monster game for the Jets offense. Wilson has had over 80 receiving yards in three of four games, now getting the best matchup of the season. For an uber talented player, who is currently sixth overall in receiving yards, and soaking up a 36% target share in the offense, this line seems extremely attainable. As long as Justin Fields can continue to distribute the football at an average level, expect Wilson to smash his yardage total. 

Giants RB Cam Skattebo Over 66.5 Rush Yards

Skattebo has become a fan favorite in The Big Apple since taking over for the injured Tyrone Tracy. He received 25 carries last week, playing an integral part in handing the Chargers their first loss of the season. Tracy is likely out once again while the Giants head to New Orleans to face the winless Saints. With a big workload coming his way, as well as the Saints giving up 119 yards per game on the ground, Skattebo is primed for another big week. His rush attempt total is set at 17.5 and even if he is slightly inefficient with his touches, he should still be able to headbash his way over the yardage total. The Giants offense has new life with rookie quarterback Jaxson Dart playing behind a healthy left tackle Andrew Thomas.    

Patriots QB Drake Maye Over 27.5 Rush Yards

In 2024, Maye averaged just over 37 rushing yards in the games that he started and played fully. He is a willing runner when the play breaks down and very athletic at 6’4 225. Negative game scripts were a big reason he was forced to use his legs last year. The Patriots only won three games with Maye under center, while getting blown out in a good amount of their losses. In week 5, expect New England to once again be in a negative script, or at the very least, need Maye to utilize his legs to keep up with the undefeated Bills. The second-year QB has surpassed 30 rushing yards in two of the first four games with a chance to showcase his talent on national television during Sunday Night Football.   

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NFL Free Bet today | Titans vs Texans Prediction | Sept 28 2025

#263 ASA NFL FREE today on: Tennessee Titans +7.5 over Houston Texans, Sunday at 1 PM ET

Really tough ask for Houston to win this rivalry game by more than a TD when they simply struggle to score points. 

The Texans rank dead last in the NFL in scoring averaging 12.7 PPG putting up 9, 10 and 19 points in their 3 games this season.  The Texans are 0-3 ATS losing by an average of 4 PPG to the number. 

Tennessee hasn’t been great offensively but they have scored at least 19 points in 2 of their 3 games and that should get it done here.  In those 2 games the Titans faced the LA Rams and Indianapolis, 2 of the  top 5 offenses in the NFL, and couldn’t keep up despite scoring 19 and 20 points. 

That shouldn’t be a case here facing a Houston team that is averaging just 267 YPG (29th), ranks dead last in 3rd down conversion rate at 24% and scores only 1 point for every 21 yards gained (31st). 

This AFC South rivalry has been closely contested with 9 of the last 10 decided by single digits and the dog has covered 7 of the last 9. 

If we can get 2 TD’s from Tennessee, that just might be enough to get this cover in what is expected to be a low scoring game (lowest total on the board at 39)  Take the points with the Titans as ASA’s NFL free bet today.   

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