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NFL Free Bet | Vikings vs Giants | Dec 21 2025

Point Train Free NFL Bet @NY Giants +2.5 vs. Minnesota Vikings – 12PM CT – Dec 21 2025

  • This has been an automatic bet for us the last few weeks and the results have been solid (Ravens last week).
  • We have been tracking a few different betting markets at a public sportsbook and a sharp book and when the numbers don’t align – the results have been quite good.
  • The biggest betting indicator using this strategy is on the Giants this week plus the points at home against the Vikings.
  • Should the Vikings really be a road favorite here?
  • New York actually played better than the final score a week ago in their loss to the Commanders. NYG 384 total yards at 6.9YPPL – held Washington to 340 total yards 6.0YPPL.
  • Minnesota is off a win in Dallas but were outgained by nearly 100 total yards.
  • Yes, the G-men lost last week at home but take a look at their other home losses – Packers, Niners and Chiefs. They have beaten the Chargers and Eagles on this field this season.
  • It’s ugly for a reason – bet the Giants!

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NFL Free Bet | Colts vs Seahawks | Dec 14 2025

POINT TRAIN NFL Free Bet – DEC 14

@Seattle Seahawks OVER 27.5 (-118) Team Total vs Indianapolis Colts – 3:25PM CT

RATING: Free Bet

  • The 2nd most efficient offense in the NFL belongs to the Seattle Seahawks per DVOA metrics. The Colts defense is slightly above average or 13th in DVOA stats.
  • The Seahawks average 353 Total yards/game, 9th most, average 6.2YPPL – 5th most – and score 29.8PPG – 2nd most.
  • It takes Seattle 11.9 yards gained for 1-point scored. (Explosive) Best in the NFL.
  • Seattle Points p/play = .509 – 1st – 3.2 TD’s per game – 6th.
  • The Hawks have scored 26 or more points in 9 of their 13 games this season.
  • The Colts have solid overall defensive numbers, but we are seeing a regression in those stats as the schedule has gotten tougher. They will also be without Gardner and Ward (?) their two best cover-corners.
  • Indianapolis has allowed 25+ points in 3 of their last five games.
  • Last week the Colts gave up 36-points to the Jaguars, a below average offense that averages 5.1YPPL – 23rd.
  • Seattle has scored 26+ points in every home game but one this season – the opener against the Niners.
  • Without Danny Jones at QB the Colts offense will struggle to convert 1st downs which means more possessions for Seattle.
  • Seattle is 10-4 OVER their Team Total in 10 of their last 14 road games.

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NFL Player Props | Nov 23 | Week 12

ASA’s NFL PLAYER PROPS for Sunday, November 23rd

Drake Maye Over 253.5 Passing Yards – New England Patriots

Maye is averaging 258 passing yards per game and surpassed that mark in eight of his eleven games in 2025. Moreover, the Patriots bout with the Bengals currently has the highest point total of the weekend (51.5) with Joe Burrow possibly making a return to action. The second-year QB is leading the league in passing yards and gets a mouthwatering matchup against the league’s second worst pass defense on Sunday. OC Josh McDaniels has unlocked Maye’s potential, making him into a deadly accurate thrower, illustrated by his league leading completion percentage. All signs point to the Patriots continued domination as Maye keeps working toward a potential MVP award. 

Jonathan Taylor Over 90.5 Rushing Yards – Indianapolis Colts

Arguably the most talented running back in the league, Taylor is having himself a historic season. He leads the league averaging six yards per carry while also having the most attempts per game, equating to nearly 114 rushing yards per contest. The elite volume and efficiency are eerily similar to Saquon Barkley’s season in 2024 where he ran for over 2,000 yards. Indianapolis travels to Arrowhead stadium to face the Chiefs stout run defense, ranking ninth in rushing yards allowed per game. However, with the way the Colts ground game has been bulldozing opponents, JT will be hard to contain. Taylor has surpassed this line in four of the last five games, and will look to do so again. 

Rome Odunze Over 48.5 Receiving Yards – Chicago Bears

Odunze has had a solid sophomore season averaging 60 ypg, while becoming the number one option in Ben Johnson’s passing scheme. Caleb Williams has improved drastically this year, relying on Odunze for chunk plays. In week 12, Pittsburgh brings their league worst passing defense to Chicago in a huge matchup between division leaders. One would think Williams will have free rein to air it out in a possible shootout vs city nemesis Aaron Rodgers. Odunze has a 24% target share in the Bears offense and this pass heavy outlook sets up perfect for their big body receiver. This line is very attainable given what we have seen from the former top ten pick out of Washington. 

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NFL Free Bet | Cardinals vs Seahawks | Nov 9 2025

#267 ASA FREE PLAY ON Arizona Cardinals +7 over Seattle Seahawks, Sunday at 4 PM ET

The Cards are on a nice little roll since Jacoby Brissett took over at QB.  They have covered 3 straight and took 2 of the NFL’s best teams (Indy and Green Bay) to the wire in close losses.  They’re catching Seattle a bit overvalued right now and at the top of their market in our opinion.  We’ve been pro Seahawks all season and won with them on a few occasions but this is a fade spot.  They’ve won and covered 6 of their last 7 games and this is just the 2nd time this season they’ve been favored by more than 3.5 points.  To put this number in perspective, the Seahawks were favored by the same number (-7 or -7.5) at home vs New Orleans a few weeks ago.  The Cards sit 12 spots ahead of the Saints via the DVOA metric yet we’re getting the same number.  Seattle is 2-2 at home this season (4-0 on the road) and their numbers here at Lumen Field as they average 53 fewer YPG and almost a full YPP less (0.8).  Three of their four home games have been decided by 1 score.  Since Brissett took over, the Arizona offense is averaging 357 YPG, 26 PPG, and they lead the league in 3rd down conversion rate during that 3 game stretch.  Prior to that with Kyler Murray at QB, the Cardinals were averaging 288 YPG and 20.6 PPG.  We think Arizona does enough to hang around here and cover this inflated number.  Take the points. 

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NFL free bet today | Falcons vs Patriots | Nov 2 2025

#455 ASA PLAY ON Atlanta Falcons +5.5 over New England Patriots, Sunday a 1 PM ET

The Falcons are in desperation mode after losing back to back games and dropping to 3-4.  Last week they were embarrassed by Miami which gives us some extra line value here.  The look ahead line was +3 and now they are getting 5.5 points.  Atlanta was without QB Penix and top WR London last week and they are both back for this game.  Despite their 3-4 record, the Birds have been favored in 4 of their last 5 games getting points only from Buffalo during that stretch (+4 vs Bills).  Now they are getting nearly a TD vs a New England team that has a solid record but has played, by far, the weakest schedule in the NFL.  5 of their 6 wins have come against the Browns, Titans, Saints, Dolphins, and Panthers.  Those 5 teams have a combined 10-31.  The one solid win was 23-20 vs Buffalo (Atlanta also beat Buffalo 24-14) in a game the Pats were outgained but benefited from 3 Bills.  New England is just 2-2 at home this year with losses to the Raiders and Steelers.  They were just 2.5 point favorites vs Las Vegas and they were home dog vs Pittsburgh.  Now laying 5.5 vs a decent Atlanta team?  Despite the worse record and playing the much more difficult schedule, the Falcons have comparable YPG (Atlanta +68 YPG & NE +58 YPG) and YPP differential numbers (both +0.5 YPP margins).  The Falcons have the better D (#2 in the NFL in total D and #1 pass defense) and should be able to slow down Pats QB Maye in this game.  Atlanta will be out to prove a point after a horrible performance last week and we look for a close game.  Take the points.   

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