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Point Train – NFL Power Rankings (Post-Week 6, 2025)

Here is a short NFL rankings based on what we’ve seen through games played on October 13^th. These rankings are fluid and will fluctuate weekly. We are reflecting on their performance and alignment with analytics as of October 14, 2025.

1. Detroit Lions 4-2: Explosive offense led to 4 straight wins and the losses have been respectable at Green Bay and Kansas City. (+49 total points differential) . Top-tier efficiency (3rd DVOA) despite early coaching hiccups. A legitimate contender.
2. Seattle Seahawks 4-2: Quietly a current contender in the NFC. The Seahawks rank 1st DVOA overall. Lost to 5-1 Tampa Bay and 4-2 49ers. Top-10 in offensive/defensive YPPL.
3. LA Rams: 4-2 after late-game bad breaks – blocked FGs, OT loss – or could be 6-0. Elite efficiency (top-10 YPPL both sides) makes them a sneaky contender with a veteran QB and a coach that knows how to win.
4. Indianapolis Colts: High-octane offense (6.3 YPPL, 1^st in scoring 32.3PPG) drives a 5-1 start. Defense lags but improving. “Indiana Jones” nickname fits QB Danny Jones who has played well in Indy (best QBR currently in league). Why isn’t Jones in the MVP conversation (+3000)? What if he leads the Colts to the best record in the AFC?
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Baker Mayfield’s late-game heroics fuel a 5-1 record despite a +14 point differential. Disappointing defense 16^th in Yards p/play allowed.
6. Philadelphia Eagles: Smoke-and-mirrors 4-2 record with negative -1 point differential. Credit is due for wins against the Rams, Bucs, Chiefs. Questions abound after two straight losses – one to the Giants.
7. Buffalo Bills: Dropped after a home loss to Patriots and MNF loss to the Falcons. 4-0 start was inflated by weak opponents (3-17 combined). Still a top-6 offense per DVOA. Josh Allen can overcome a lot…just not bad coaching or play defense.
8. San Francisco 49ers: Injury-plagued but resilient (4-2). Mac Jones (3-1) outshines Purdy (1-1), raising QB questions. Health remains a critical concern.
9. Green Bay Packers: Solid 4-2 with balanced offense/defense (top-10 in both Offensive/Defensive DVOA). Looked like Super Bowl contender in Weeks 1 & 2, then imploded versus the Browns and defense suspect in tie at Cowboys.
10. Kansas City Chiefs: Don’t count out the Chiefs after their 3-3 start for the perennial contenders. Offense struggled the first few weeks but is starting to click now. The O took a jump last week going from 5.3YPPL to 5.7YPPL.
11. Denver Broncos: Scrappy 4-2 squad with underrated defense (6th DVOA). Offense needs consistency, but they’re exceeding expectations and tracking better than my preseason rankings.
12. Washington Commanders: Not surprised with 3-3 start with flashes of offensive brilliance. Analytics (7th-12th range) suggest they’re a playoff dark horse. They face a tough 3-game stretch at KC, vs. Seattle and Detroit.
13. Jacksonville Jaguars: Competitive 4-2 team with improving efficiency. Young roster finding its groove and you can’t discredit wins at 49ers and home against the Chiefs. Verdict still out but certainly a contender in the AFC South.
14. LA Chargers: 4-2 but inconsistent. Injuries are always a major concern in the NFL and the Chargers’ top 4 running backs are out or injured. Not sure a one-dimensional offense can survive in today’s NFL.
15. New England Patriots: Upset win over Buffalo highlights 4-2 record. Shockingly the offense has outplayed the defense thus far under coach Vrabel. Pats fans should temper their enthusiasm as the other three wins have come against Miami, Carolina and New Orleans.
16. Pittsburgh Steelers: 4-1 with an offense that ranks bottom 10 in Yards p/play (5.1YPPL) but thrives on turnovers with +1.4 per game (2^nd most). The defense is starting to play like a Mike Tomlin unit allowing just 5.2YPPL.
17. Atlanta Falcons: 3-2 with a pedestrian offense. 2^nd year QB Penix Jr ranks 20^th in passing YPG, 19^th in QBR but has upside and a stud RB in Robinson. The defense rates are much higher in efficiency stats (1^st) than traditional numbers.
18. Minnesota Vikings: 3-2 despite major concerns with their O-line. Offense shows flashes with Wentz providing stability and a loaded WR group. Defensive top 10 in efficiency ratings and 2^nd in 3^rd down conversion percentage, 8^th in Yards p/play allowed and 5^th in scored D allowing 19.4PPG.
19. Houston Texans: Disappointing 2-3 after high expectations. Is the offense for real after putting up 26 and 44 points the past two weeks? Hold on a minute, those numbers come against a Titans D allowing 27PPG (26^th) and the Ravens giving up 32PPG (32^nd). The defense looks to be real as they’ve held 4 of five opponents to 10-points or less.
20. Chicago Bears: 3-2 after a 3-game winning streak. The Bears have some positive momentum, but they were outgained in both wins against the Cowboys and Raiders and were +3 in TO’s against Washington.
21. Arizona Cardinals: 2-4 with the wins coming against Carolina and New Orleans – hardly impressive. One of two teams in the NFL with a losing overall record but a positive point differential (Houston).
22. Dallas Cowboys: 2-3-1 and a tough team to figure out right now. Shocking tie with Green Bay but needed OT to beat a bad Giants team, held off the Jets two weeks ago then lost at Carolina last week. Polar opposites with offense scoring 30.6PPG (3^rd) and defense giving up 30.7PPG (31^st).
23. Baltimore Ravens: Shocking 1-5 start. The defense is sputtering and offense can’t replicate last year’s dominance. Harbaugh’s defense has allowed 37+ points in four of six games this season. They gave up 37 or more points just two times prior to this season dating back to 2022. No Lamar Jackson is devastating.
24. Carolina Panthers: 3-3 and better than last season. There is a light at the end of the tunnel with a 5-4 record dating back to the end of last season.
25. Cincinnati Bengals: 2-4 and reeling. The desperate Bengals traded for the fossil known as Joe Flacco who couldn’t beat out a pair of average rookies for the starting job in Cleveland. A bottom 5 defense doesn’t help.
26. Cleveland Browns: 1-5 and lifeless. Offense (27th) is among the league’s worst; defense has been outstanding but how long before they wear down.
27. Las Vegas Raiders: 2-4 The defense is the bright spot as they allow 5.2YPPL (11^th) and rank 10^th in DVOA. The offense on the other hand is bottom 5 in most metrics.
28. New York Giants: 2-4 after an upset win over the Eagles last Sunday. QB Dart has provided a spark for the offense but it’s going to be short-lived as teams get more film on him.
29. Miami Dolphins: 1-5 and decimated by injuries. Not all the blame can fall on QB Tua as the O-line is atrocious. The defense offers little resistance allowing 6.3YPPL.
30. New Orleans Saints: 1-5 and may struggle to get 5 wins this season. 30^th in total DVOA.
31. Tennessee Titans: 1-5 and at least has something to build on with rookie QB Cam Ward.
32. New York Jets: 0-6 and rock bottom – After watching the Jets last week, there isn’t a worse coach in the NFL than Aaron Glenn. QB struggles and defensive lapses make them non-competitive.

Thanks for taking a minute to read our NFL Power rankings and we hope you enjoyed our thoughts on the current NFL landscape. Don’t forget you can take advantage of our NFL pick service weekly here on this website with guaranteed bets – only pay when you win. 

~ Cheers Marty

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