ASA player prop OVER 16.5 POINTS Andrew Wiggins – Golden State Warriors
The Dallas Mavericks are one of the best defensive teams in the league when it comes to Point Guards and Shooting Guards. Where they are not good defensively is when it comes to Shooting Forwards such as Wiggins. The Mavs allow the 8th most points to SF’s this season at 21.9PPG. In the last two weeks they are 3rd worst, giving up 24PPG. In Wiggins last three games he as scored 31, 20 and 17-points. In his last ten games he has averaged 18PPG, on the season he scores 19PPG. He has failed to score 16 or more points just two times in his last ten games, once against the Suns and versus the Spurs. The Suns are one of the best teams in the league defending SF’s and he barely played against the Spurs in a blowout. With all the focus on Curry and Thompson we expect a big game from Wiggins.
ASA play on over 24.5 POINTS – Anthony Davis – LA Lakers
ASA play on over 24.5 POINTS – Anthony Davis – LA Lakers
This NBA player prop jumped off the pages for us for a couple reasons. Davis is averaging 26.31PPG on the season and has averaged 33.4PPG over his last five games. Yes, his usage takes a hit with LeBron back in the lineup, but he has a favorable matchup against a Pacers team that gives up more points to Centers than any other team in the league at 27.6PPG. Last night the Pacers just allowed Ivica Zubac for the Clippers to pour in 31-points, which is 21-points higher than his season average.
ASA player prop: OVER 23.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS Evan Mobley – Cleveland Cavaliers
Nobody in the NBA gives up more combined points and rebounds to power forwards than the Atlanta Hawks at 36PPG/RPG. Mobley should have a big game here scoring and rebounding considering the Hawks are 26th in the league in defensive rebound rate and rank 20th in points per game allowed. Mobley is averaging 23.81 Pts+Rebs per game this season and 25.0 in his last ten. He has totaled 22 or more points+rebounds in 6 of his last seven games.
If you are a bettor that likes to invest in NBA futures here are a couple wagers to consider for league MVP. We are sticking with a pair of our preseason predictions but have added another based on early season results.
Giannis Antetokounmpo +$250
Before the season started, we predicted Giannis Antetokounmpo as the NBA league MVP at +$250. Giannis is putting up 29.9PPG, 11.8RPG, 5.5APG with a PER rating of 29.14. In order he ranks 8th, 2nd, 29th and 6th in those four key categories. Milwaukee holds the 2nd best record in the Eastern Conference at 11-3. The Greek Freak is quietly putting up numbers similar to his 2019 and 2020 season when he won back-to-back MVP’s.
Ja Morant +$1400
We also like a long shot early on with Ja Morant who is now listed at +1400. We still like Morant who is 9th in scoring at 29.3PPG while also averaging 6.8-Assists Per Game (14th) and 6.2-Rebounds Per Game (60th) with a PER of 26.19 (10th). Memphis has dealt with a number of key injuries early on but have still managed a 9-6 record. For Morant to win though he will have to improve on his assists per game and Memphis will need to finish as one of the top teams in the West.
Jayson Tatum $+550
New to the table is Jason Tatum who has led the Celtics to a 12-3 record and the best team +/- in the league at +7.1PPG. We won’t be surprised if Boston finishes first in the East again and if that’s the case, Tatum will be high on the voter’s radar. Tatum has the 7th best PER at 27.50, is 5th in scoring at 31.1PPG, is grabbing 7.4 Boards Per Game (40th) and is dishing out 4.1APG which ranks 50th. What makes Tatum as an attractive option right now is the fact that his team is deep and defenses can’t key on him. Boston spaces the floor with shooters at every position and they make shots at a 48.8% which is 3rd in the NBA. That means additional assist per game for Tatum even if he isn’t scoring as much.
HONORABLE MENTION – Shai Gilgeous-Alexander – SGA won’t win MVP this season because he’s on a losing team in the Thunder but he’s put up incredible numbers to start the season and is worth mentioning. Gilgeous-Alexander is scoring 32.3PPG, grabbing 4.5RPG and dishing out 5.9APG. His PER rating is 30.10 which is 3rd best in the NBA.
Here is our elimination list or players I would avoid investing in: #1 on the list is Zion Williamson. Who in their right mind would invest in this “china doll” who can’t stay healthy? Yes, he can be a stat-sheet stuffer but there is no chance he wins MVP playing limited games this season. #2 Nikola Jokic. Jokic has won it the past two seasons which and it’s unlikely we would see a three-year run from the media. He also has Jamal Murray and Michael Porter Jr. back from injury and both cut into his scoring numbers.
Chicago Sky 2025 WNBA Season Preview: Why the Over 19.5 Wins Bet Is a Slam Dunk – By ASA The Chicago Sky are poised for a breakout 2025 WNBA season, and the betting line of Over 19.5 wins is looking like a play for savvy sports bettors. Coming off a 13-win campaign in 2024, the… Read more: Chicago Sky 2025 WNBA Season Prediction: Over 19.5 Wins Bet Is a Slam Dunk
Minnesota Lynx 2025 WNBA Season Preview: Why Over 26.5 Wins – By ASA The Minnesota Lynx are being undervalued in the 2025 WNBA betting markets, with a win total set at Over 26.5 wins. Coming off a stellar 30-10 regular season in 2024 that saw them reach the WNBA Finals, the Lynx return the core… Read more: WNBA Prediction Minnesota Lynx 2025: Why Over 26.5 Wins
ASA’s NBA Bets: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Golden State Warriors: 2025 NBA Playoffs Betting Prediction The 2025 NBA Playoffs Western Conference Semifinals tip off tonight, May 6, with the Minnesota Timberwolves hosting the Golden State Warriors at Target Center in Minneapolis. The Timberwolves, favored at -7 for Game 1, are in a great situation to win… Read more: NBA Bets | Warriors vs Timberwolves Prediction | 2025 NBA Playoffs
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets: 2025 NBA Playoffs Betting Prediction As the 2025 NBA Playoffs heat up, the Western Conference semifinals kick off tonight with a blockbuster matchup between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Denver Nuggets. This series pits the league’s most dominant regular-season team against a battle-tested former champion. For bettors, the… Read more: NBA Bets | Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets | 2025 NBA Playoffs
ASA Player Prop OVER 21.5 POINTS – Keldon Johnson, San Antonio Spurs
The Over/Under on this game itself is 236 which tells us it’s going to be a high scoring game. These are two of the fastest paced teams in the NBA, and two of the worst when it comes to defensive efficiency. The Spurs are 29th in the league allowing 1.169-points per possession, the Kings rank 27th giving up 1.147PPP. Johnson is averaging 22.71PPG on the season and has a pair of big game recently against a comparative team to the Spurs in the Denver Nuggets. Sacramento allows the 6th most points to shooting forwards, Denver is 8th in that defensive category. Our models are projecting 25.25 points tonight for Johnson.
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ASA WNBA play on Washington Mystics -7 vs. Connecticut Sun, 3pm ET The Mystic have already beaten the Sun by 5-points in Connecticut, and we predict a much bigger margin this time around in Washington. The Mystic are getting healthy with the returns of Austin and Edwards, and with a couple days off after a… Read more: WNBA Free Bet | Sun vs Mystic | June 8th 2025
ASA NHL play on Florida Panthers -130 vs. Toronto Maple Leafs, Game 7 7 – 7:30pm ET The Panthers are 3-1 all-time in Game 7s, including 2-0 on the road, with notable victories against the Boston Bruins (2023) and Edmonton Oilers (2024 Stanley Cup Final). Toronto, conversely, is 12-15 in Game 7s, with a six-game… Read more: NHL Free Bet | Panthers vs Leafs Game 7 | 2025 NHL Playoffs
ASA NHL play on Toronto Maple Leafs +120 vs. Florida Panthers, 7pm ET The home team has won all four games and we see no reason for that trend to change now. Leaf’s netminder Joseph Woll will be in goal again tonight after an 0-2 loss in Game 3, but Woll had a .946 save… Read more: Panthers vs Leafs Game 5 | NHL Playoffs 2025
ASA NHL Betting Prediction: St. Louis Blues +130 vs Winnipeg Jets – 7pm ET(Game 7, May 4, 2025) The St. Louis Blues are a live underdog to upset the Winnipeg Jets in Game 7 in Winnipeg (+130 moneyline). Despite Connor Hellebuyck’s strong home play (3-0, 2.33 GAA in this series), his playoff struggles (5-11, .860… Read more: NHL Bet | Blues vs Jets Prediction | Game 7 2025
NHL Betting Prediction: St. Louis Blues vs. Winnipeg Jets – May 2, 2025 In Game 6, the St. Louis Blues are primed to defeat the Winnipeg Jets and force a Game 7. The Blues dominated both home games, outscoring the Jets 12-3, and now face a Jets team missing captain Mark Scheifele, injured in Game… Read more: NHL free pick daily | St Louis Blues vs. Winnipeg Jets | May 2, 2025
Schools are now free to begin paying their athletes directly, marking the dawn of a new era in college sports brought about by a multibillion-dollar legal settlement that was formally approved Friday.
Pacers trailed by 9 with 2:52 to play. In play by play era (since start of 1997 playoffs), teams were 0-121 in NBA Finals when trailing by 7+ points in final 3:00 of 4th quarter or OT before tonight
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