Tag: NBA picks

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NBA Free Bet – Suns vs Nuggets free pick – May 9th 2023

ASA play on OVER 228 Phoenix Suns @ Denver Nuggets 10PM ET

We expect another higher scoring game tonight between the Suns and Nuggets. In Game 3 these two teams combined for 235 total points. A big reason was the pace of play. The Suns played much faster with Chris Paul on the bench and Cameron Payne pushing the pace. These two teams combined for 192 field goal attempts which is significantly higher than the league average of 176. Then in Game 4 these two teams produced 253 total points with incredible shooting as both teams hit over 56% from the field. The Nuggets were 5th in offensive efficiency on the season, the Suns were 14th in OEFF. Both teams have averaged nearly 1.180-points per possession in the Playoffs which is 2nd and 3rd in offensive efficiency. Four of the last five meetings between these two teams has resulted in more points than today’s number and we are betting that trend continues.

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NBA free bet – Saturday, April 22nd

ASA’s NBA free bet on Milwaukee Bucks Team Total OVER 112.5pts vs. Miami Heat, 7:30PM ET

Milwaukee essentially played without Giannis in Game 1 as he left the game with a back injury just 10-minutes in. The Bucks still managed 117 total points without him. Then in Game 2 the Bucks shot lights-out and put up 138. Milwaukee shot 54% overall and made 25 of 49 3-pointers or 51%. We don’t expect the Bucks to shoot that well again in Game 3 but they won’t have too for them to get to 113.  This team was the 8th highest scoring team in the league this season at 116.9PPG and ranked 10th in offensive efficiency at 1.120PPP. Milwaukee has the 10th best EFG% average in the NBA at 55.5%. This team was built with shooters and is reliant on 3-point shooting. Milwaukee attempts the 4th most 3’s per game in the league, and on average make 36.6% of their attempts. In Game 1 though the Bucks connected on just 11 of 45 3-pointers or 24%. That number is clearly an anomaly as the Bucks typically shoot much better than that AND the Heat don’t defend the Arc well, ranking 19th in the NBA allowing 36.3%. This Milwaukee team is deep and has capable scorers that can put up more than 113 with or without Giannis. Milwaukee has scored more than 113 in four straight games against the Heat and we like them to get there today as our NBA free bet.

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NBA Prop Bets by ASA for Feb 3rd

ASA NBA Player Prop bets are REMARKABLE 97-56 YEAR TO DATE! CHECK BACK DAILY FOR PAY AND FREE NBA PROP BETS!

ASA Player Prop OVER 32.5 POINTS– LaMelo Ball – Charlotte Hornets

LaMelo is coming off a stretch of games against teams that defend the point guard position well. The teams that don’t (Toronto, Milwaukee), he’s had big games against. Tonight the Hornets face a Detroit team that allows the 5th most points to PG’s on the season at 25.2. Ball has scored 24 or more points in 5 of his last nine games. Detroit is allowing over 55-points per game in the paint this season which is one of the highest averages in the NBA so expect Ball to get deep into the Pistons defense and score at will.

ASA Player Prop OVER 38.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS+ASSIST – James Harden – Philadelphia 76ers

Harden will be out to prove a point tonight after his recent All-Star snub. He’s got the perfect opportunity to stuff his stat sheet against a Spurs team that is one of the worst in the NBA. San Antonio ranks last in defensive efficiency allowing 1.207-points per possession. The Spurs give up the 6th most points to PG’s this season at 25.2PPG, they allow an average of 8.4 assists per game and 5.8 rebounds per game. Harden is averaging 38.79Pts+Rebs+Ass this season and has topped 40 in 6 of his last ten games.

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NBA Player Prop bets – Oct 18

ASA NBA Predictions or Player Prop bets for Tuesday, October 18th 2022

We have a few NBA Player props for you on opening night in the NBA. We will tread lightly to start the season with our NBA predictions and get more indepth as the year goes on. Be sure to check out all of ASA’s BASKETBALL PACKAGES online here!

Philadelphia 76ers – James Harden OVER 5.5 REBOUNDS

James Harden averaged 7.7 rebounds per game during the regular season and 5.7 in the postseason. For his career, he is averaging 5.6RPG. The Celtics are going to pay a lot of attention to Embiid, Harrell, Tucker and Harris on the boards which will give Harden plenty of opportunities to snag easy rebounds. Harden was 3rd in the NBA last season in rebounds per game among shooting guards.

Boston Celtics – Marcus Smart OVER 12.5 POINTS

The 76ers will have to pay a lot of attention to the Celtics “big 2” of Tatum and Brown which means a few extra open looks for Smart who has shot it extremely well in camp according to our reports. Smart has averaged 12.1PPG, 13.1PPG and 12.9PPG in his last three seasons overall. In 7 of his last ten games a season ago in the playoffs he scored more than 12.5-points. He averaged 15PPG in his last ten games and that was against Golden State and Miami two of the better defensive teams in the NBA. In four games against the 76ers last season Smart averaged 12PPG and one of those games was a blowout in which he played just 12 minutes.

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ASA NBA free bet April 13

ASA play on OVER 226 San Antonio Spurs @ New Orleans Pelicans 9:30PM ET

The value is clearly on the Over here if we examine the regular season games between these two teams. In the two most recent meetings in March – Vegas posted Totals of 237 and 231-points on the two games. In February the O/U was 230. Way back in December the line was 221. **NOW 226**

If we focus on the three most recent games we see two lower scoring games with 210 and 215-points being scored with the other game finishing with 238 total points.

The pace of play was fast in all three games though as the Spurs attempted 95 FG’s per game which is significantly higher than the NBA average of 88. The Pelicans averaged 89 FGA’s per game in the three most recent meetings.

San Antonio is the 4th fastest paced team in the NBA at 100 possessions per game. The Pelicans are slower at 21st at 97.2 possessions BUT they’ve been faster since the All-Star break at 98.5.

With CJ McCollum the Pelicans own the 9th best offensive efficiency ranking in NBA at 1.181PPP.

For the season the Spurs are 13th in OEFF at 1.124PPP.

Neither team is known for their defense….

Both teams are in the bottom half of the NBA in defensive efficiency rating for the season with the Spurs ranking 16th and the Pels at 20th. Both teams rank 20th or worse in 3PT% defense

Spurs have totaled 227 or more points in 5 of their last seven. The Pelicans have scored 227 or more in 6 of their last nine.