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NBA Player Prop bets – Oct 18

ASA NBA Predictions or Player Prop bets for Tuesday, October 18th 2022

We have a few NBA Player props for you on opening night in the NBA. We will tread lightly to start the season with our NBA predictions and get more indepth as the year goes on. Be sure to check out all of ASA’s BASKETBALL PACKAGES online here!

Philadelphia 76ers – James Harden OVER 5.5 REBOUNDS

James Harden averaged 7.7 rebounds per game during the regular season and 5.7 in the postseason. For his career, he is averaging 5.6RPG. The Celtics are going to pay a lot of attention to Embiid, Harrell, Tucker and Harris on the boards which will give Harden plenty of opportunities to snag easy rebounds. Harden was 3rd in the NBA last season in rebounds per game among shooting guards.

Boston Celtics – Marcus Smart OVER 12.5 POINTS

The 76ers will have to pay a lot of attention to the Celtics “big 2” of Tatum and Brown which means a few extra open looks for Smart who has shot it extremely well in camp according to our reports. Smart has averaged 12.1PPG, 13.1PPG and 12.9PPG in his last three seasons overall. In 7 of his last ten games a season ago in the playoffs he scored more than 12.5-points. He averaged 15PPG in his last ten games and that was against Golden State and Miami two of the better defensive teams in the NBA. In four games against the 76ers last season Smart averaged 12PPG and one of those games was a blowout in which he played just 12 minutes.

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March Madness is heating up, and we’ve got a Horizon League Conference Tournament showdown you won’t want to miss! 

Today, March 6, 2025, the Youngstown State Penguins take on the Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons in a thrilling quarterfinal matchup. In this video, we’re breaking down the keys to the game, sharing expert betting insights, and giving you a FREE BET pick to cash in on this college basketball action! 
 
Youngstown State (19-12, 13-7 Horizon) brings their tough defense and rebounding prowess, led by stars like EJ Farmer, while IPFW (19-12, 12-8 Horizon) counters with high-octane offense and sharpshooter Jalen Jackson. These teams split their regular-season series, so expect a nail-biter on the court at Youngstown, Ohio. Will the Penguins dominate at home, or can the Mastodons pull off the upset? 
 
 Free Bet of the Day: Check out our analysis for the best pick—will it be the spread, over/under, or a player prop?

Game Info: Tip-off at 7:00 PM EST | Youngstown State -1.5 | O/U 155.5

Stick around for our full preview, stats breakdown, and why this bet is a slam dunk! Don’t forget to like, subscribe, and hit the bell for more free college basketball betting tips all tournament long. Let’s cash those tickets—drop your predictions in the comments below!  

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March Madness is heating up, and we’ve got a Horizon League Conference Tournament showdown you won’t want to miss!

Today, March 6, 2025, the Youngstown State Penguins take on the Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons in a thrilling quarterfinal matchup. In this video, we’re breaking down the keys to the game, sharing expert betting insights, and giving you a FREE BET pick to cash in on this college basketball action!

Youngstown State (19-12, 13-7 Horizon) brings their tough defense and rebounding prowess, led by stars like EJ Farmer, while IPFW (19-12, 12-8 Horizon) counters with high-octane offense and sharpshooter Jalen Jackson. These teams split their regular-season series, so expect a nail-biter on the court at Youngstown, Ohio. Will the Penguins dominate at home, or can the Mastodons pull off the upset?

Free Bet of the Day: Check out our analysis for the best pick—will it be the spread, over/under, or a player prop?

Game Info: Tip-off at 7:00 PM EST | Youngstown State -1.5 | O/U 155.5

Stick around for our full preview, stats breakdown, and why this bet is a slam dunk! Don’t forget to like, subscribe, and hit the bell for more free college basketball betting tips all tournament long. Let’s cash those tickets—drop your predictions in the comments below!

#CollegeBasketball #HorizonLeague #FreeBet #YoungstownState #IPFW #MarchMadness #BettingTips

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Free bet today College Basketball March 6 2025

ASAwins4U March 6, 2025 10:25 am

🔥 NBA free bets today TWO free picks, Wednesday Mar 5th. 

Not one BUT TWO NBA free bets on Wednesday. You get the winning wagers on Dallas Mavericks Spencer Dinwiddie and the Utah Jazz Kyle Filipowksi in this free pick video, we break down the latest player prop odds, and betting trends for the NBA tonight, helping you make informed decisions for your NBA free bets. We are betting Kyle Filipowski and his Points + Rebounds + Assists total, along with Spencer Dinwiddie's scoring player prop bet.

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🔥 NBA free bets today TWO free picks, Wednesday Mar 5th.

Not one BUT TWO NBA free bets on Wednesday. You get the winning wagers on Dallas Mavericks Spencer Dinwiddie and the Utah Jazz Kyle Filipowksi in this free pick video, we break down the latest player prop odds, and betting trends for the NBA tonight, helping you make informed decisions for your NBA free bets. We are betting Kyle Filipowski and his Points + Rebounds + Assists total, along with Spencer Dinwiddie's scoring player prop bet.

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🔔 Subscribe for More including a free college bet Thursday: Hit the bell icon for daily NBA betting tips, game previews, and free pick updates. Follow us on https://twitter.com/asawins for real-time insights and community discussions.

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NBA Free bets 2 Player Props March 5th 2025

ASAwins4U March 5, 2025 2:33 pm

NBA free bets today TWO free picks, Friday Feb 28th. 

Not one BUT TWO free bets on Friday. You get the winning wager on the Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Utah Jazz game AND a NBA player prop bet on Jaylen Brown of the Celtics! In this video, we break down the latest odds, spreads, and betting trends for the Wolves vs Jazz game, helping you make informed decisions for your NBA free bets. We then add a player prop bet on Jaylen Brown and his Points + Rebounds + Assists total.

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NBA free bets today TWO free picks, Friday Feb 28th.

Not one BUT TWO free bets on Friday. You get the winning wager on the Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Utah Jazz game AND a NBA player prop bet on Jaylen Brown of the Celtics! In this video, we break down the latest odds, spreads, and betting trends for the Wolves vs Jazz game, helping you make informed decisions for your NBA free bets. We then add a player prop bet on Jaylen Brown and his Points + Rebounds + Assists total.

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💰 NBA Free Bet Offers: Get subscribed to our YouTube Channel and never miss a NBA free bet posting.

🔔 Subscribe for More including a free college bet Thursday: Hit the bell icon for daily NBA betting tips, game previews, and free pick updates. Follow us on https://twitter.com/asawins for real-time insights and community discussions.

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NBA free bets Friday, Feb 28th TWO free picks

ASAwins4U February 28, 2025 3:36 pm

Free Bet Rutgers vs Michigan Feb 27th

ASAwins4U February 26, 2025 8:58 pm

NBA freebet today when the Raptors take on the Pacers, Wednesday Feb 26th. 

Get ready for an exciting NBA matchup tonight as the Indiana Pacers (32-24) take on the Toronto Raptors (18-39) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, tipping off at 7:00 PM ET! In this video, we break down the latest odds, spreads, and betting trends for the Pacers vs. Raptors game, helping you make informed decisions for your NBA free bets.

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Odds & Spread: The Pacers are favored by 9.5 to 10.5 points, with an over/under set at 239 points. Find out where the value lies!

NBA free Betting Insights: We analyze recent trends, head-to-head matchups, and expert predictions to guide your free bet strategy.

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🔔 Subscribe for More including a free college bet Thursday: Hit the bell icon for daily NBA betting tips, game previews, and free pick updates. Follow us on https://twitter.com/asawins for real-time insights and community discussions.

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NBA freebet today when the Raptors take on the Pacers, Wednesday Feb 26th.

Get ready for an exciting NBA matchup tonight as the Indiana Pacers (32-24) take on the Toronto Raptors (18-39) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, tipping off at 7:00 PM ET! In this video, we break down the latest odds, spreads, and betting trends for the Pacers vs. Raptors game, helping you make informed decisions for your NBA free bets.

🔥 Key Highlights:
Odds & Spread: The Pacers are favored by 9.5 to 10.5 points, with an over/under set at 239 points. Find out where the value lies!

NBA free Betting Insights: We analyze recent trends, head-to-head matchups, and expert predictions to guide your free bet strategy.

💰 NBA Free Bet Offers: Get subscribed to our YouTube Channel and never miss a NBA free bet posting.

🔔 Subscribe for More including a free college bet Thursday: Hit the bell icon for daily NBA betting tips, game previews, and free pick updates. Follow us on https://twitter.com/asawins for real-time insights and community discussions.

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NBA Free Bet today Raptors vs Pacers prediction Feb 26th

ASAwins4U February 26, 2025 3:36 pm

NBA Player prop bet | Nikola Vucevic Chicago Bulls vs Phoenix Suns

ASAwins4U February 22, 2025 12:50 pm


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ASA NBA Champion Prediction 2022

Who’s going to win it all in 2022?

So, you’re thinking about a future wager on the NBA Championship and you’re not sure who to take? We can help you with some proven statistics that accurately predict who this year’s Champion may be and rule out the most obvious media darling pretenders.

The backbone of this research is centered around efficiency ratings/rankings compiled through the regular season.  The average overall efficiency rating this season in the NBA was 1.110 points scored/allowed per possession or 110 points per 100 possessions. The Utah Jazz were the most efficient offense in the NBA at 116.7 points per 100 possessions (1.167PPP) while the Atlanta Hawks were a close second at 1.165PPP with the Bucks (1.152), Suns (1.149) and Grizzlies (1.147PPP) rounding out the top five. The Boston Celtics own the top defensive efficiency rating in the league allowing just 107 or 1.070 points per possession this season. The other four teams that round out the top five are Golden State, Phoenix, Memphis and Miami. If history tells us anything, these numbers can be extremely useful in predicting the NBA Champion.

This trend started in 2008-09 when the Finals featured the LA Lakers with head coach Phil Jackson and HOF’er Kobe Bryant, facing the Orlando Magic and a young Dwight Howard. The Lakers won that Finals series in dominating fashion 4 games to 1.  The Lakers finished the regular season ranked 3rd in offensive efficiency ratings (OEFF) and 6th in defensive efficiency (DEFF). Orlando had efficiency numbers that ranked them 12th in OEFF and 1st in DEFF. This was the beginning of the “efficiency” Champions in the recent decades.

Below are the Finals Champions and their overall efficiency rankings for the past thirteen Championships.

NBA CHAMPIONS FROM 2008 on and OEFF/DEFF regular season efficiency rankings:

2008-09 LA Lakers (OEFF = 3rd, DEFF = 6th)

2009-10 LA Lakers (OEFF = 11th, DEFF = 4th)

2010-11 Dallas Mavericks (OEFF = 8th, DEFF = 7th)

2011-12 Miami Heat (OEFF = 8th, DEFF = 4th)

2012-13 Miami Heat (OEFF = 1st, DEFF = 9th)

2013-14 San Antonio Spurs (OEFF = 7th, DEFF = 3rd)

2014-15 Golden State Warriors (OEFF = 2nd, DEFF = 1st)

2015-16 Cleveland Cavaliers (OEFF = 3rd, DEFF = 10th)

2016-17 Golden State Warriors (OEFF = 1st, DEFF = 2nd)

2017-18 Golden State Warriors (OEFF = 3rd, DEFF = 11th)

2018-19 Toronto Raptors (OEFF = 5th, DEFF = 5TH)

2019-20 LA Lakers (OEFF = 11th, DEFF = 3rd)

2020-21 Milwaukee Bucks (OEFF = 6th, DEFF = 10th)

2022     ??????

You can see for yourself that every team that has won a Championship in the last ten years had an OEFF and DEFF in the top 11 for that season.  Using this model to predict this year’s Champion we can eliminate everyone but the following teams: Boston and Miami from the East, Phoenix, Utah and Memphis from the West. There are clearly some favorites or notable names that did not make the list. The Milwaukee Bucks are 3rd in OEFF, but rank 13th in DEFF. The Golden State Warriors have the 2nd best defensive efficiency rating but are 16th in offensive efficiency. Brooklyn who had to deal with Kyrie Irving missing half the games was 11th in OEFF, 19th in DEFF. The outlier is the Philadelphia 76ers who just missed the top eleven, ranking 12th in both OEFF/DEFF.

2021-22 Regular Season Efficiency Rankings for the Math Model “Contenders”

Boston Celtics: OEFF 7th, DEFF 1stth

Utah Jazz: OEFF 1st, DEFF 9th

Phoenix Suns: OEFF 4th, DEFF 3rd

Memphis Grizzlies: OEFF 5th, DEFF 4th

Miami Heat: OEFF 10th, DEFF 5th

If we add in another identifier of Efficiency Differential (the +/- of the Offensive/Defensive efficiency numbers) to our equation it helps narrow down the field of this year’s contenders. Going back to 2008 only one NBA Champion has had a EDIFF plus/minus of less than +5 which was the Mavericks in 2010-11 of plus +4.7. The last ten NBA Champions have produced a EDIFF +/- of 5.7 or better during the regular season. If we apply that logic to this year’s field we narrow down our potential winner to four teams.

2021-22 Effficiency Differential leaders during the regular season:

1st Phoenix Suns +7.5

2nd Boston Celtics +7.4

3rd Utah Jazz +6.2

4th Memphis Grizzlies +5.7

Using the aforementioned guidelines our Money is on…the Phoenix Suns +260

The Phoenix Suns lost to the Bucks in the NBA Finals last season, so they’ve experience what it takes to get to the Finals and tasted bitter defeat. The Suns were favored in 69 of their 82 games during the regular season and finished the year at 64-18 SU with a +/- of 7.5PPG, which was best in the league. Phoenix owns home court throughout the Playoffs, and they were 32-9 SU at home with an average Margin of Victory of +8.9PPG. If we look at Efficiency Differential, of the last eight NBA Champions, 3 have finished the regular season with the best +/- EDIFF. Phoenix was that team this season with an EDIFF of +7.5. The Suns have veteran point guard Chris Paul to guide the ship, a scoring machine in Devin Booker who is capable of carrying a team offensively and a rim protector and inside presence in Deandre Ayton. Then add in a mix of capable role players in Bridges, Crowder, Payne and Johnson and you have a team poised to win it all.

LONGSHOT: If you are looking for a better return on your investment, the UTAH JAZZ +$2500 are an intriguing long-shot proposition. The Jazz didn’t play well down the stretch of the regular season and are flying under the radar right now. But let’s look at the whole body of work or the season numbers for our prediction. The Jazz were favored in more games this season than the Suns with 74 of 82 games laying points. They own the 3rd best overall average Margin of Victory at +6PPG. The Jazz were 3rd this season in EDIFF and eight of the last thirteen NBA Champs have ranked 3rd or better in that category. Obviously, the Jazz have a similar roster to the Suns with a proven scorer in Donovan Mitchell, the best defensive center in the league in Gobert along with vets Mike Conley and Bojan Bogdanovic. Remember a few years ago when Mitchell was nearly unstoppable in the postseason? It will take a performance like that from him again along with the rest of the roster, but they clearly have the statistical support to win it all.

Overall, this shapes up to be one of the best NBA playoffs in a long time and we can’t wait! Best of luck with all your wagers.

ASA free NBA bet April 7

ASA play on OVER 221.5 LA Lakers @ Golden State Warriors, 10PM ET

Hasta la vista Lakers! This roster was put together by LeBron and was destined to fail right from the start. Los Angeles will miss the playoffs and will have to make major moves in the offseason if they expect to compete next season. Was it a coincidence that LeBron sat several games down the stretch against good defensive teams and when his team was in dire need of him to make the playoffs? He needs to play in the final three games to be eligible for the scoring title so I’d be surprised if he doesn’t play here. The Lakers are 12th in scoring at 111.6PPG and 7th in overall FG% offense and if they get to 110 or more this game goes Over. A big reason why will be the points the Warriors put up. Golden State is still playing for a better playoff position, so we know what kind of effort we’ll get from them. The Warriors should score plenty here against a Lakers defense that is 26th in points allowed, 22nd in FG% defense and 16th in defending the 3. The Lakers have allowed 1.230-points per possession in their last five games and 122.9PPG. The Warriors are 10th in both overall FG% and 3PT%.  The three meetings this season between these two teams has ended with 240, 232 and 235 total points. More of the same here. 

ASA NBA free bet Mar 6

ASA play on: LA CLIPPERS -4.5 over NY Knicks, 10PM ET

Remember when the Knicks started the season off with one of the best offenses in the NBA? Yeah, that was through the first few weeks of the season and was short lived. New York is the 27th lowest scoring team in the league, 27th in FG% at 43.4% and 16th in 3-point%. The Knicks are 25th in overall offensive efficiency at 1.089-points per possession and have a net differential on the road of minus -2.8PPG. The Knicks have lost 7 straight games and have a 3-13 SU record their last sixteen games. The Clippers are gaining traction in the West with 5 straight wins and 7 of their last eight overall. At home the Clippers have been especially tough with a 7-1 SU record their last eight and the lone loss came against the defending Champions, Milwaukee Bucks. Since the All-Star break the Clippers have the 3rd best overall defensive efficiency rating and a +/- of +9.5PPG. We like the Clippers to get a double-digit win in this one.