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ACC Win Total Prediction | Duke Blue Devils | 2025

duketotalwins

ASA’s ACC FOOTBALL WIN TOTAL PREDICTION – 2025

Duke Blue Devils OVER 6.5 Wins

The Blue Devils finished last season with a 9-3 regular season record and one of those losses came in OT vs SMU.  While we do not expect them to reach 9 wins again this season, their total is set at 6.5 which is too low in our opinion. 

They lose starting QB Murphy, who is now at Oregon State, however the Devils have added one of the top freshman QB’s in the nation from last season.  Their new signal caller, Mensah, started for Tulane last season who threw for 2,700 yards and 22 TD’s for the Green Wave in 2024. 

He’ll operate behind a very good offensive line with 4 starters back and the 5th spot being filled by an experienced transfer. 

Defensively they should be strong in the trenches as well with some key starters back from a team that finished #2 nationally in tackles for loss and #4 nationally in sacks per game.  Head coach Manny Diaz is one of the better defensive minds around so we expect them to be solid on that side of the ball once again this season. 

Speaking of Diaz, he’s done well with the continuity on his coaching staff returning both their offensive and defensive coordinator. 

Our power ratings have Duke favored in 8 games this season and the only game we have them a dog of more than 4 points is @ Clemson.  The Devils also avoid 2 of the top 4 teams in the ACC as they miss Miami FL and SMU in conference play. 

We’ll call for the Blue Devils to get to at least 7 wins.   

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Miami FL vs. Florida Preview | 8-31-24 | By ASA

The Miami Hurricanes will face off against the Florida Gators on Saturday, August 31, at 3:30 PM ET.

Miami enters the game as a 2.5-point favorite, with the over/under set at 54 points. In the 2023 season, Miami posted a 7-6 record straight up (SU) and 6-7 against the spread (ATS). As head coach Mario Cristobal begins his third year with the Hurricanes, he faces considerable pressure following a less-than-stellar 14-11 overall record in his first two seasons.

The team will debut new starting quarterback Cam Ward, a transfer from Washington State, where he threw for 3,700 yards and 25 touchdowns last year. Miami’s offensive line is largely intact, and last season the offense averaged 31.5 points per game (38th nationally) and 6.4 yards per play (24th nationally). However, only 43% of their total offensive yardage returns, ranking them 78th in the nation.

On defense, Miami allowed 335 yards per game, placing them 26th nationally, and 5.1 yards per play, ranking 36th. They were particularly strong against the run, giving up just 3.5 yards per carry, which was 20th in the nation. However, the team lost 8 of its top 11 tacklers and returns only 41% of last season’s total tackles, ranking 116th nationally. Historically, Miami has fared well against in-state rival Florida, with a 7-1-1 spread record in their last nine meetings since 1986.

The Florida Gators, on the other hand, finished the 2023 season with a 5-7 record SU and 4-8 ATS. Head coach Billy Napier is also under pressure as he begins his third year in Gainesville, with an 11-14 record over his first two seasons and no bowl appearance last year.

Florida returns 8 starters on offense, including quarterback Graham Mertz, who ranked third in the nation with a 73% completion rate. The Gators also bring back their top running back and 3 of their top 4 wide receivers.

Defensively, Florida returns several starters on the defensive line and in the secondary, but they struggled last season, allowing 6.4 yards per play, which ranked 124th nationally. The Gators face a tough challenge this season, as they play the most difficult strength of schedule in college football, with 8 of their opponents entering the season ranked in the top 25. Despite this, Florida has performed well as a home underdog, covering the spread in 5 of the 7 games since 2018.

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