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Free bet | Georgia State vs App State prediction | Nov 11

#156 ASA PLAY ON Georgia State -2 over App State, Saturday at 2 PM ET

Free bet today or Georgia State vs App State prediction. Value here with GSU coming of 2 losses vs Ga Southern & JMU while App State is off 2 home wins vs low tier conference teams USM and Marshall.  App State is 1-3 SU on the road with only win over UL Monroe by 1 point which was far from an impressive road win.  ULM is just 1-7 on the season vs FBS teams with their only win coming over Army by 4 points.  Geogia State has played the much tougher Sun Belt schedule so far having faced JMU, Troy, Ga Southern, and ULL (all of the top teams in the league).  App State has yet to play either of the 2 best teams in the Sun Belt, JMU and Troy.  Georgia State should control ground game in this one which is key.  They have a very good running team averaging 187 YPG and App State is 123rd defensively vs the run allowing 195 YPG.  The Mountaineers remain overvalued having covered just once in their last 5 games.  We like Georgia State as a small home favorite as todays free bet.

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Free Bet – Air Force vs. Colorado State – Oct 28th

ASA play on: #162 Colorado State +14 vs. Air Force, 7:00PM ET

We are on the home dog here with the Rams plus the points in this rivalry as our free bet. The points are a premium here with the oddsmakers projecting around 46 total points being scored. Air Force has played three road games with wins at 0-8 Sam Houston State, at 3-5 San Jose State and 3-4 Navy. The Falcons have put up some impressive offensive numbers, but they’ve come against Utah State, San Jose State, San Diego State who all rank 91st or worse in total defense and Wyoming who is 73rd. Granted, Colorado State is bad defensively, one of the worst in college football, but they have given up the majority of their yards via the pass at 308 passing yards per game allowed. The Rams actually allow just 3.9 yards per rush which is around the national average. Air Force relies heavily on their running game which is best in the nation in rushing yards per game at 306. Colorado State is coming off a close loss against an improved 6-1 UNLV team where they managed 5.8 yards per play while allowing 5.9YPP. The Falcons are coming off a game against the option Naval Academy and now must travel to CSU to face an entirely different offense. The Rams complete 63.7% of their pass attempts which is 37th best in college football and complete 28.6 pass attempts per game for 336.4YPG which is 6th most in CFB. Last year the Falcons were favored by 22-points at home and won by 12. They are clearly over-valued here so let’s grab the live home dog with backdoor ability as today’s free bet.

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Free Bet College Basketball – Sunday, March 19th

ASA has a FREE BET for you today in the NIT game between Wisconsin and Liberty

ASA FREE PLAY UNDER 129 Liberty @ Wisconsin – 12PM ET (NIT Tournament)

Let’s start your morning off with a free bet on the Total of the Liberty Flames and Wisconsin Badgers. The first numbers that stand out are the pace of play or possessions per game for both teams. Liberty ranks 308th in adjusted tempo at 64.8 with an average possession length of 19.1 seconds. The Badgers prefer that same style of play with the 345th ranked adjusted tempo and 349th average possession length at 19.7 seconds. Wisconsin doesn’t shoot it well either with an effective field goal percentage of 48.6 (275th). Both teams take pride on the defensive end of the court with the Flames allowing .972-points per possession which ranks them 46th in the nation. Wisconsin under Greg Gard has always been known for their defense and this season is no different as they give up just .946-points per possession which ranks 24th. Liberty just faced a Villanova team that has very similar statistics to Wisconsin and that game finished with 119 total points. The Badgers had a higher scoring game in the opener against Bradley but they shot uncharacteristically well in that game with Steven Crowl going 12 of 16 from the field, 7 of 7 from the FT line. In a slow tempo game we like less than 129 total points as a today’s free bet in college basketball.

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Rickenbach free EPL bet Mar 10

Scott “The Bulldog” Rickenbach EPL Thursday Free Pick Wolverhampton -115 vs Watford @ 2:30 ET – Both clubs off defeats last week but Wolverhampton fired up off an embarrassing performance in a 2-0 home loss to Crystal Palace. As for Watford, they battled hard to come back against Arsenal and it was the kind of loss that can leave a club a bit frustrated in their next match. I look for the hosts to prove to be the much hungrier and determined club here. I know the visitors are desperate to avoid relegation but their 18 defeats this season tied for most in the league and I expect another one here! Free Pick WOLVERHAMPTON -115