Tag: BEST NBA PREDICTIONS

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NBA prediction Cleveland Cavaliers Eastern Conf Champs +350

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ASA NBA predictionCleveland Cavaliers (+350) to win the Eastern Conference

Cleveland made the biggest splash of any team before the trade deadline, acquiring James Harden from the Clippers in early February. The trade has sparked the Cavs offense who is averaging 130ppg over the first three games that the 11-time All Star has played. Donovan Mitchell is having another All-NBA caliber season and the addition of Harden makes the duo the highest scoring guarding combination in the NBA in terms of ppg. Additionally, backcourt mates Sam Merrill and Jaylon Tyson bring some serious sharpshooting, both top three in three point percentage at a staging 47% on high volumes. Rounding out the frontcourt, Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen bring rim protecting length, elite rebounding, and more offense, averaging a combined 32ppg between them. As a cherry on top, Max Strus may be able to make a return before the playoffs after missing all season due to a foot surgery. He averaged 12ppg in the 2025 playoffs. Winners of eleven of the last twelve games, Cleveland sits securely as the four seed while being less than two games behind the Celtics and Knicks for the number two spot in the East. Even more enticing, the Cavs have one of the five easiest strengths of schedules remaining. On the contrary, Boston and New York will have a very difficult road, both encountering a top ten schedule in terms of strength. According to odds makers it is a four team race for who comes out of the East. Boston is +340, Cleveland +350, Detroit +360, and New York is +410. With a race this wide open, the East is ripe for the taking and we think the Cavs have what it takes to make an NBA Finals appearance.    

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NBA WIN TOTAL BETS | 2025-26 FUTURES

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NBA SEASON LONG WIN TOTAL BETS

LA CLIPPERS OVER 49.5 WINS (-120) – The Clippers are going to be better this season than they were a year ago when they won 50 games. They lost Norman Powell to the Heat but added Bradley Beal, Chris Paul and Brook Lopez. They also get a full year with John Collins in the lineup after trading for him midway through the season last year. The health of aging Kahwi Leonard is always a concern but this deep roster can overcome load management games with some of the vets resting nights. Los Angeles was 6th in average margin of victory last season at +4.7PPG and had the 5th best Efficiency Differential at +4.8. 

MILWAUKEE BUCKS OVER 43.5 WINS (+100) – The one caveat that could derail this season long win total bet is if Giannis Antetokounmpo demands a trade mid-season. The Bucks added a few key pieces in the offseason with Miles Turner, Cole Anthony and Gary Harris along with bringing back Thanasis Antetokounmpo (to appease Giannis). Milwaukee had the 11th best Efficiency Differential in the NBA a year ago at +2.4 and won 48 games. The Eastern Conference is going to be down this season with Super Star players Jayson Tatum (Celtics) and Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers) sidelined. The Bucks have won 44+ games every season dating back to the 2017-18 season. Giannis was a top 3 player last season in Value Index and Usage percentage. If he stays…the Bucks win 50.

TORONTO RAPTORS OVER 39.5 WINS (-110) – The Raptors had the 9th most missed games due to injuries last season and still managed to win 30 games. If this team can remain healthy we like them to get to 40+ wins and make the playoffs as a 6-8 seed. The starting lineup of Quickley, Barrett, Ingram, Barnes and Poeltl is solid. Ingram and Barnes are All-Star caliber players capable of averaging 22+ points per game. 

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS UNDER 47.5 WINS (-122) – The Warriors are obviously a public team and their win total reflects a bump of a few wins making them a value UNDER team. Father time is undefeated and Steph Curry, Draymond Green, Jimmy Butler and Al Horford aren’t getting any younger. This team was still elite defensively a year ago with the 7th best Defensive Efficiency rating in the regular season, but their offense was average (15th in OEFF). The Warriors won 48 games a year ago but it’s going to be tough to get to that number with this aging roster. And let’s face it, Golden State isn’t concerned about winning the division or the Western Conference, they want to be fresh come playoff time and just have a seat at the table.

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NBA Free Player Prop Bet | Friday, April 19th

ASA’s NBA FREE PLAYER PROP BET – OVER 23.5 POINTS CJ MCCOLLUM – Pelicans

CJ McCollum is coming off a horrendous shooting game versus the Lakers going 4 of 15 from the field. It wasn’t an issue throughout the game as his teammate Zion Williamson was scoring at will with 40-points prior to getting hurt. CJ will have to step up here against a Kings defense that ranks 21st in opponents FG% and 28th in opponents 3PT%. McCollum has scored more than his prop total in 7 of his last eight games and is inline for a big bounce back game here with Williamson on the shelf. 

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NBA Free Pick Today | Celtics vs Nets | 2-13-24

ASA’s Free NBA play on OVER 228.5 Boston Celtics at Brooklyn Nets, 7:30PM ET

Tonight, we will bet the OVER in this Eastern Conference showdown. The Celtics are going to get to 120+ in this game as they average that number on the season.

Boston is #1 in the league in offensive efficiency at 1.213-points per possession and has the 6th best Effective Field Goal percentage at 56.8%. The C’s should have an easy go of it on the offensive end of the court against a Nets defense that ranks 18th in defensive efficiency and allows 115.4PPG. The Nets defense has been even worse in their last five games allowing 1.228-points per possession and 120.6PPG.

Boston is the 7th best 3-point shooting team in the league and should exploit a Brooklyn D that ranks 24th in opponents 3PT% allowed. We will need Brooklyn to score in this game but if they get to around 110 this game should go Over rather easily. The Nets average 113.9PPG on the season and do it with volume shooting as they rank 4th in FG attempts per game. We expect a total of 230 or more points. NBA free pick today is on this game Over the total.

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NBA Prediction or FREE BET | Suns vs Heat | Jan 29th 2024

ASA FREE NBA BET on Miami Heat -3 vs Phoenix Suns, 7:30PM ET

This is the ‘fishy’ line of the day as the Heat are favored despite losing 6-straight games against a Suns team that is 7-2 SU their last nine games.

The scheduling advantage for the Heat is clear as they are rested for this game while the Suns come off a game last night versus the Magic. Not only is this the Suns 2nd of a back-to-back, but also their 3rd game in four nights and 6th game in nine days.

In the loss last night to the Magic the Suns starters logged heavy minutes with Booker, Beal and Durant all playing 35+ minutes. The Heat have lost extended minutes to multiple starters this season but are now finally getting healthy with a full complement of players tonight.

Phoenix as a road underdog this season is 4-4 ATS with an average margin of victory in those games of minus -5.1PPG. Miami is below .500 as a home favorite at 8-9 ATS but they do have a positive differential of +2.6PPG AND have also covered 5 of their last seven at home as a favorite.

HOUSTON ROCKETS – FRED VANVLEET OVER 14.5PTS

VanVleet is averaging over 17PPG on the season and 17.2PPG in his last ten games. He has totaled more than 14.5 points in 6 of his last ten games. Tonight VanVleet should have a big scoring night against a Lakers team that allows the 4th most points to PG’s on the season at 26.6PPG. The Lakers have been especially bad defending Point Guards in the last two weeks allowing 30.5PPG in that stretch.

WASHINGTON WIZARDS – TYUS JONES OVER 20.5 POINTS+ASSISTS

Jones is inline for a solid game tonight against a Spurs defense that has issues containing opposing Point Guards. San Antonio allows the most points to PG’s this season at 27.5PPG and the 6th most Assists per game at 9.1. In Washington’s last ten games they have faced teams that rank top 12 in fewest points allowed to PG’s and his average in that stretch of games is still 20.8. Jones recently faced the Spurs and his brother Tre and he put up 19 Points+Assists. In two recent games against a Pistons team that is similar to the Spurs defensively he finished with 21 and 29 P&A’s.

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