Category: Freepicks

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NHL free bet | Senators vs Leafs Prediction | April 24 2025

NHL free bet on: Ottawa Senators -108 vs. Toronto Maple Leafs – Game 3 Thursday, 7pm ET

I’m betting on the Ottawa Senators to beat the Toronto Maple Leafs in Game 3 on Thursday night at Canadian Tire Centre, with the Sens a slight favorite. Despite trailing 0-2 in the series, Ottawa has been the better team overall, outshooting Toronto 61-45 across the first two games. The Senators also swept the regular-season series 3-0, outscoring Toronto 7-3. Ottawa’s underlying numbers are strong—they’ve led the playoffs with 148 shot attempts through two games and hold edges in scoring chances, expected goals, and high-danger chances, even if they haven’t converted enough. At home, where they went 27-11-3 this season, the Sens should capitalize on their territorial dominance. Meanwhile, Toronto’s 33-12-2 record when outshot this season (47 times) is impressive, but their 5-on-5 play has been underwhelming, outscoring Ottawa just 4-3 in that situation despite a 9-4 overall edge. With Ottawa’s physicality, home crowd energy, and regular-season success against the Leafs, I expect a Sens win to get back into the series.

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NHL Bet | LA Kings vs Edmonton Oilers | April 21 2025

NHL Bet: Los Angeles Kings -124 vs. Edmonton Oilers, 10pm ET

The Kings finished the 2024-25 regular season with an NHL-best 31-6-4 home record, boasting a .825 points percentage and allowing just 2.02 goals per game at home. Their home goal differential is impressive, with a stout defense ranked second in the league, conceding only 2.48 goals per game overall. This defensive strength is a key advantage against Edmonton’s potent offense, which averaged 3.16 goals per game overall, 3.05 GF/GP on the road.

Darcy Kuemper anchors the Kings’ crease with an elite 31-11-7 record, a 2.02 GAA (second in the NHL), and a .921 save percentage across 50 appearances. At home, Kuemper is even better, posting a 20-3-2 record with a 1.67 GAA and .935 save percentage. He dominated Edmonton this season, going 3-1 with a 1.33 GAA and .952 save percentage, allowing just four goals on 100 shots. In contrast, Edmonton’s Stuart Skinner struggled, finishing 26-18-4 with a 2.81 GAA and .896 save percentage. Skinner’s .894 save percentage against the Kings this season and weaker playoff leash make him a liability.

The Kings also hold a 3-1 season series edge, including a 3-0 shutout and a 5-0 rout in April, showcasing their ability to stifle Edmonton’s stars like Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, both of whom are battling injury concerns. With Edmonton missing key defenseman Mattias Ekholm and possibly others, the Kings’ depth and physicality should shine. Los Angeles’ 81.8% penalty kill (11th in the NHL) can neutralize Edmonton’s 24.8% power play, further tilting the ice.

We like the Kings to win Game 1 and set the tone for the series.

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NHL free pick | Maple Leafs vs Senators | April 20 2025

ASA NHL free pick on Toronto Maple Leafs -160 vs. Ottawa Senators, 7pm ET

We are on the Toronto Maple Leafs, at Scotiabank Arena, powered by their offensive depth, elite goaltending, and strong home performance.

Toronto’s 27-13-2 home record and +33 goal differential (3.22 goals for, 2.76 against at home) highlight their dominance, led by Auston Matthews (32 goals since January), Mitch Marner (102 points), and William Nylander (45 goals).

While Ottawa swept the regular-season series (9-3 aggregate), their -17 goal differential and lack of playoff experience make them underdogs against Toronto’s battle-tested roster.

Toronto’s goaltending tandem of Anthony Stolarz (2.14 GAA, .926 SV%, NHL-leading 34 games) and Joseph Woll (2.72 GAA, .909 SV%) outshines Ottawa’s Linus Ullmark (2.72 GAA, .910 SV%) and Anton Forsberg (2.72 GAA, .901 SV%). With defensive upgrades like Chris Tanev and a potent top-six, the Leafs should leverage home-ice advantage for a big win in Game 1 of this series.

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NBA Free Bet | Bucks vs Pacers Prediction | April 19 2025

ASA NBA Free Bet on OVER 110.5 Milwaukee Bucks Team Total vs Indiana Pacers, 1pm ET

The Bucks have scored 126, 114, 120 and 129 against the Pacers this season. Milwaukee has gone Over their team total in 8 of their last ten games and haven’t missed a beat offensively with Damian Lillard out with an injury. A closer look shows that the Bucks Offensive Net rating of 120.1 over their last 15 games is the 6th best number in the league. Indiana’s defense has improved this season, but they still play at the 3rd fastest pace so we should get a high possession game. Milwaukee has an EFG% of 59.3% over their last 15 games, 2nd best in the NBA, and are making over fourteen 3-Pointers per game in that same stretch. The Bucks have eclipsed this O/U number in 8 of the last nine meetings with the Pacers. Bet OVER.

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NHL free bet | Flyers vs Sabres | April 17 2025

ASA NHL free bet Over 6.5 Goals in Flyers vs. Sabres – 7pm ET

The Philadelphia Flyers vs. Buffalo Sabres game at 7:00 PM is a primed for an Over 6.5 goals.

Philadelphia’s Samuel Ersson (.891 SV%, 2.80 GAA) and Buffalo’s James Reimer (~.890-.900 SV%, ~3.00-3.20 GAA) are among the NHL’s weakest goalies, with Ersson’s minus-6.5 GSAA and Reimer’s recent seven-goal outing highlighting their struggles.

Both teams’ defenses are average to below-average, allowing high-danger chances, while their offenses (led by Philly’s Travis Konecny 75-pts and Buffalo’s Tage Thompson 72-pts) can capitalize on shaky goaltending.

The Flyers allow 3.43 GA/G (28th) while the Penguins give up 3.52 GA/G which is 30th. The two meetings between these teams earlier this season produced 11 and 7 goals.

We expect a high-scoring game as neither Ersson nor Reimer consistently stops quality shots.

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