Tag: NFL prop bets

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NFL Player Props | Nov 23 | Week 12

ASA’s NFL PLAYER PROPS for Sunday, November 23rd

Drake Maye Over 253.5 Passing Yards – New England Patriots

Maye is averaging 258 passing yards per game and surpassed that mark in eight of his eleven games in 2025. Moreover, the Patriots bout with the Bengals currently has the highest point total of the weekend (51.5) with Joe Burrow possibly making a return to action. The second-year QB is leading the league in passing yards and gets a mouthwatering matchup against the league’s second worst pass defense on Sunday. OC Josh McDaniels has unlocked Maye’s potential, making him into a deadly accurate thrower, illustrated by his league leading completion percentage. All signs point to the Patriots continued domination as Maye keeps working toward a potential MVP award. 

Jonathan Taylor Over 90.5 Rushing Yards – Indianapolis Colts

Arguably the most talented running back in the league, Taylor is having himself a historic season. He leads the league averaging six yards per carry while also having the most attempts per game, equating to nearly 114 rushing yards per contest. The elite volume and efficiency are eerily similar to Saquon Barkley’s season in 2024 where he ran for over 2,000 yards. Indianapolis travels to Arrowhead stadium to face the Chiefs stout run defense, ranking ninth in rushing yards allowed per game. However, with the way the Colts ground game has been bulldozing opponents, JT will be hard to contain. Taylor has surpassed this line in four of the last five games, and will look to do so again. 

Rome Odunze Over 48.5 Receiving Yards – Chicago Bears

Odunze has had a solid sophomore season averaging 60 ypg, while becoming the number one option in Ben Johnson’s passing scheme. Caleb Williams has improved drastically this year, relying on Odunze for chunk plays. In week 12, Pittsburgh brings their league worst passing defense to Chicago in a huge matchup between division leaders. One would think Williams will have free rein to air it out in a possible shootout vs city nemesis Aaron Rodgers. Odunze has a 24% target share in the Bears offense and this pass heavy outlook sets up perfect for their big body receiver. This line is very attainable given what we have seen from the former top ten pick out of Washington. 

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Thursday NFL Player Prop Bets | Eagles vs Giants | Oct 9 2025

ASA has two Thursday NFL Player Prop Bets | Eagles vs Giants Predictions

Eagles RB Saquon Barkley OVER 15.5 Receiving Yards

The Giants defense will have a tough time stopping Barkley tonight in his return to New York City. The Men in Blue allow the 24th most passing yards overall per game at 237.2 with running backs accounting for 31 of those yards. The lead running back for Giants opponents have gone OVER their receiving prop in 3 of the last four games. Barkley has been OVER this stat line in 3 of five games this season with an average of 25.6 receiving yards per game. Barkley should see at least 4 targets (also betting OVER 2.5 targets) in this game and needs just one decent play to get OVER this number.

Giants QB Jaxson Dart UNDER 177.5 Passing Yards

The Giants WR injuries are taking a toll with Nabers and Slayton both out, leaving Wan’Dale Robinson as his best option. Dart is averaging just 5.2 yards per completion with 313 total passing yards in two games. He has a QBR of 43.6 and we don’t anticipate the Giants having him drop back and throw 40 times as he did last week against the Saints. Philadelphia has average or below passing defensive statistics, but they’ve also faced some of the league’s better QB’s and passing attacks. With Philadelphia dominating the time of possession in this game we don’t see the Giants getting many opportunities offensively.

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NFL Player Prop Bets | 49ers vs Rams | Oct 2nd 2025

ASAwins NFL Player Prop Bets | TNF 49ers vs Rams | October 2nd 2025

49ers TE Jake Tonges Over 27.5 Receiving Yards

Jake Tonges has surpassed 27.5 receiving yards in two of three games without George Kittle, including a standout 58-yard performance last week. With the 49ers missing WRs Ricky Pearsall and Jauan Jennings, and Mac Jones (has played better than Purdy) starting at QB, Tonges has a favorable matchup. The Rams rank 25th in efficiency stats against tight ends and have allowed the 4th most total passing yards to TE’s on the season at 1101. The Ram’s defense has allowed all four starting TE’s faced to eclipse this receiving total. Tonges was on the field for nearly 80% of the snaps last week and should see a heavy load this week, especially given the 49ers depleted WR’s corps.

Rams RB Kyren Williams OVER 66.5 Rushing Yards

Williams saw a season low in rush attempts last week against the Colts at 13 and still managed 77 rushing yards. He should see an increase in attempts this week to his season average of 18.5 a year ago. Williams has rushed for 66 or more yards in 16 of his last eighteen regular season games dating back to last season. He had two games to start this season of exactly 66-rushing yards, but is averaging 85.5 yards per game. The 49ers allowed the 6th most rushing yards (1,774) to running backs in 2024 and have allowed 115.5 rushing yards per game this season (17th most).

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NFL player props | Dolphins vs Bills | Sept 18 2025

ASAwins has a couple player prop bets for you on the AFC East showdown between the Miami Dolphins and Buffalo Bills game, Thursday September 18th. Get NFL player prop predictions weekly from the experts at ASAwins.com. Off a 1-3 Monday night but 7-3 our last 10 player prop bets.

DOLPHINS – De’Von Achane RB UNDER 12.5 rushing attempts

If this game goes as planned and the Bills jump out to a lead early, the Dolphins may have to abandon the running game. Achane has rushed for UNDER this number in 7 of his last nine games dating back to last season. He was used out of the backfield a lot against the Pats last week with 8 receptions for 92-yards. That could be the focus again Thursday, especially if the Dolphins fall behind big early.

BILLS – Joshua Palmer WR OVER 2.5 receptions

Palmer comes at a much cheaper price for his receptions total at 2.5 (-130) compared to Coleman at 2.5 (-180). Palmer has 12 targets this season, just 2 less than Coleman with 7 receptions in the Bills two games. In last weeks’ win over the Jets, the Bills barely threw the football with 27 passing attempts for 179 passing yards. Palmer averaged 2.6 receptions in 15 games with the Chargers last season.

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NFL free picks today | Panthers vs Cardinals | Sept 14 2025

ASAwins NFL Free play UNDER 18.5 Team Total Panthers

Carolina takes on the Cardinals today in Arizona and we don’t see this offense putting up many points in the desert heat. The Panthers offense averaged just 4.2 yards per play, had 255 total yards last week and 10-points against the Jaguars. Last season the Panthers averaged 20.1ppg but they had 9 of 17 games with 17 or less points in regulation. Arizona is going to be better defensively this season and haven’t forgotten the 36-points the allowed to Carolina late in the season a year ago in a 30-36 OT loss. The Cards allowed 22.3ppg in 2024, which is obviously higher than this O/U, but they also held 7 opponents to 17 or less points a year ago. Unless there is a defensive or special teams TD by the Panthers, we don’t see them getting Over 18 in this one.

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