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Seattle Seahawks Preview | ASAwins NFL Win Totals

ASA’s NFC WEST WIN TOTAL PROJECTION

Seattle Seahawks – UNDER 7.5 Wins (+115)

The Seahawks finished last season with a record of 9-8 but they had a negative point differential (-38) and they were outgained by nearly 50 YPG.  Based on those stats alone, Seattle should have won only 7 games last season and that’s where we think they land in 2024 (7 or fewer wins).  They benefited from a positive turnover margin last season and only won 3 games by more than a TD in 2023 vs the 3 of the worst teams in the NFL, Carolina (2 wins last season), Arizona (4 wins last season), and the NY Giants (6 wins last season).  Six of Seattle’s wins last year came by 4 points or fewer or in OT and they were outgained in 5 of those tight 6 wins.  The offense finished 17th in points scored and 22nd in total yardage and we look for the Seahawks to regress on that side of the ball.  The offensive line is ranked 31st (out of 32 teams) by PFF heading into the season and QB Geno Smith took a big step back last season.  Smith had 10 fewer TD’s a year ago compared to 2022 and his completion percentage dropped by 5%.  They had very little running game last season (92 YPG rushing) and operating behind a poor Oline could be problematic for Smith and Company.  The defense allowed the 9th most points in 2023 along with the 3rd most yards gained by opponents despite finishing with a winning record.  Seattle has a new head coach, Mike McDonald, who has never been a head man at any level, so some growing pains are expected.  His coordinators are Ryan Grubb (OC) who has never coached in the NFL and Aden Durdy (DC) who has never been a DC in the NFL.  They faced the 11th most difficult schedule according to PFF and we look for this Seattle team to struggle in 2024.

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ASA NFL free pick Packers vs. Saints, Friday 8PM ET

NFL free pick Green Bay Packers -3 vs. New Orleans Saints

ASA has you covered with a free NFL pick on Friday evening when the Saints and Packers meet in Green Bay. The Packers offense looked much better than the Saints in the opening game, the defenses were about even. Green Bay’s offense will be the difference in this game.

The Packers had over 430-yards of total offense last week  at 6.6 YPPL against a very good 49ers defense. They turned the ball over too many times though which cost them dearly.  QB Jordan Love was 13/24 for 176 passing yards with 2 TD’s but also threw 3 INT’s. Two of those picks were basically on his WR’s. The running game was solid with RB Tyler Goodson who ran for 37 yards on 12 carries.

The Packer defense is going to be improved this season and had a tremendous week of practice against the Saints. Last week, Green Bay’s defense held the Niners to just 328 total yards (6.07 YPPL).

The Saints QB’s Ian Book and Andy Dalton didn’t show much in their preseason opener with 140 yards passing against a bad Texans defense in the opener.

The Saints running game struggled with 3.5-Yards per Carry or 130YDS on 37 touches. Overall, the Saints offense mustered just 270 total yards against a Texans defense that was 23rd in Defensive efficiency a year ago.

The Saints defense played well allowing just 275 total yards or 5.18YPPL last week but that came against a Texans offense that isn’t very good.

Packers head coach Matt LaFleur is on an 0-4 SU preseason run but should snap that streak with a winning football bet here.

This is the Packers only home game and they are off a loss in San Francisco so expect a little extra motivation here and a win by more than 3-points.

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