#399 ASA FREE PLAY ON Ohio State -25 over Wisconsin, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET
Will Badgers score in this game? They were shutout 37-0 at home vs Iowa last week and OSU’s defense is a few notches better than the Hawkeyes.
OSU is allowing just 8 PPG on the season and teams are averaging 0.85 points per drive, both #1 in the country. Wisconsin’s offense has been brutal to say the least.
They are down to their 3rd string QB (transfer from Southern Illinois) and they can’t run the ball (116th nationally in YPG rushing). That makes it very tough to score and they’ve shown that can’t.
This team is averaging less than 7 PPG in Big 10 play and over their last 4 games they’ve had 45 offensive possessions and scored a grand total of 3 offensive TD’s. Just terrible.
And now they face the best defense they’ve seen this year. A defense that held Washington to 6 points, Texas to 7 points, and Minnesota to 3 points.
Offensively OSU isn’t great this year but they are still very good. They still rank 19th in the country in YPP and 23rd in scoring putting up 37 PPG. They shouldn’t need to do much on offense here as Wisconsin will do next to nothing on their offensive side of the ball.
OSU has scored at least in the mid 30’s in 4 of their 6 games and that should easily get it done here vs a Wisconsin defense that started out well, but has faded.
The Badgers have allowed 38, 27, 24, and 37 points over their last 4 games and 3 of those offenses rank 50th or worse (total offense) including Iowa who ranks 115th yet put up 37 points last week.
The Badgers put a lot of emotional effort into last week’s game vs arch rival Iowa and still got smoked. Nothing left in the tank here and OSU rolls big.
#648 ASA FREE BET New Mexico -1.5 over San Diego State, Saturday at 2 PM ET We’re getting the Lobos at home off a road loss @ Nevada facing the Aztecs on the road off a huge home win over Utah State which pushed them into a tie for 1st place in the Mountain West. We… Read more: Free Bet | New Mexico vs San Diego State | Feb 28, 2026
#826 ASA FREE BET ON Utah Tech -3.5 over Abilene Christian, Thursday at 9 PM ET Because the WAC only has 7 teams, they play each other 3 times. These 2 have already met twice with Utah Tech handling Abilene Christian both times on the road. We don’t see that changing now that Tech gets… Read more: Free Bet | College Basketball | Feb 26 2026
#784 ASA FREE PLAY ON UCLA +6.5 over Illinois, Saturday at 8 PM ET DON’T MISS OUR BEST BET ACTION DAILY HERE AT ASAWINS.COM! This is just a gigantic home game for the Bruins who are fighting to get into the NCAA tourney. They have 2 more shots to add a high level win to… Read more: College Free Bet | UCLA vs Illinois | February 21st 2026
ASA NBA player prop free bet – OVER 5.5 Rebounds – Jay Huff – Indiana Pacers The Pacers front court depth is thin right now with Zubac and Siakam both out which means Huff will get more opportunities here. Huff is in line for a big game rebounding against the worst rebounding team in the… Read more: NBA player prop free bet | Pacers vs Wizards | Feb 19th 2026
ASAwins NBA Free Bet – February 10th 2026 NBA free Player Prop OVER 23.5 Points + Assists – De’Aaron Fox – San Antonio Spurs Fox and the Spurs get a favorable matchup against the Lakers tonight and this P+A number is low enough that Fox may not need an assist in this game to go… Read more: NBA Free Bet | Player pro bet | De’Aaron Fox – Spurs vs Lakers
ASAwins – Penn State +240 to Win the Big Ten: 2025 Sports Betting Preview
Penn State enters the 2025 college football season as a legitimate contender for the Big Ten title, with odds of +240 and a chance to more than double our investment. The Lions have a strong roster, favorable schedule, and elite coaching staff. With one of the deepest teams in the nation, a proven track record under head coach James Franklin, and key additions to the coaching staff, the Nittany Lions are well-positioned to make a run at the conference crown and a spot in the expanded 12-team College Football Playoff (CFP).
Why Bet on Penn State at +240?
1. Elite Roster Depth and Returning Talent – Penn State boasts one of the most talented and experienced rosters in college football for 2025. The Nittany Lions return key players at nearly every position, including quarterback Drew Allar, running backs Nicholas Singleton and Kaytron Allen, and a stout offensive line with four returning starters. Defensively, they return starters at all three levels, including star defensive end Dani Dennis-Sutton and cornerback A.J. Harris.
Running Back Duo: Singleton and Allen form the nation’s premier backfield, both surpassing 1,000 rushing yards in 2024 (Singleton: 1,099 yards, 12 TDs; Allen: 1,108 yards, 8 TDs). ESPN ranks them as the No. 2 and No. 3 running backs in college football for 2025, respectively. Their complementary styles—Singleton’s explosive speed and Allen’s physical, chain-moving power—make them a nightmare for opposing defenses. Both are also effective in the passing game, with Singleton recording 375 receiving yards and 5 TDs in 2024.
Offensive Line: Penn State returns four of five starters on the offensive line, including tackles Drew Shelton and Anthony Donkoh, guard Vega Ioane, and center Nick Dawkins. This unit allowed just 8 sacks and 14 tackles for loss in 2024 while paving the way for 3,237 rushing yards. Their experience and cohesion should provide ample protection for Allar and open lanes for Singleton and Allen.
Quarterback Stability: Drew Allar, a former five-star recruit, returns for his senior season after showing improvement in 2024 under offensive coordinator Andy Kotelnicki. Allar’s health and decision-making will be critical, but with a strong supporting cast, he’s poised for a breakout year.
Transfer Portal Additions: Penn State addressed its wide receiver struggles by adding Devonte Ross, Kyron Hudson, and Trebor Peña via the transfer portal. These additions provide Allar with reliable targets, potentially elevating the passing game.
2. Proven Track Record Under James Franklin – Franklin’s tenure at Penn State has been marked by consistent success, with a 101-42 record (.706 winning percentage) and seven top-12 CFP rankings in the last nine seasons. Since 2016, Penn State is 82-12 straight-up (SU) as a favorite, with an average margin of victory of +21 points per game (PPG). This is a critical stat, as the Nittany Lions are projected to be favored in every game except their road matchup against Ohio State.
Recent Success: In 2024, Penn State reached the Big Ten Championship Game and secured two CFP victories, finishing with a 12-2 record.
However, Franklin’s 1-15 SU record against Top 5 teams is a concern. The Ohio State game looms large, but the Buckeye’s face a tougher schedule and will likely have to win in Michigan in their final game of the season.
3. Favorable 2025 Schedule – Penn State’s path to the Big Ten title is manageable, with only one projected underdog game (at Ohio State). Key games include:
Home vs. Oregon: A marquee matchup that could decide the Big Ten pecking order. Playing at Beaver Stadium, where Penn State is 45-5 SU since 2016, gives them a significant edge. The Lions also get Nebraska at home who is the only other preseason Top 25 team on their schedule.
The Lions avoid Michigan and USC which are two major obstacles avoided on their way to a Big Ten Championship.
4. Elite Coaching Staff – Penn State’s coaching staff is among the best in college football, with offensive coordinator Andy Kotelnicki and new defensive coordinator Jim Knowles leading the charge.
Andy Kotelnicki (Offense): In his second year at Penn State, Kotelnicki has transformed the offense into a dynamic unit. In 2024, Penn State ranked first in the Big Ten in rushing yards per game (over 200 YPG), thanks to Kotelnicki’s creative play-calling and utilization of Singleton and Allen. His Kansas offense in 2023 averaged 206 rushing yards per game and 5.4 yards per carry, and with a more talented roster in 2025, expect similar production. Kotelnicki’s ability to incorporate tight ends and running backs into the passing game could offset the loss of star tight end Tyler Warren.
Jim Knowles (Defense): Knowles, hired from Ohio State, brings a proven track record of elite defensive performance. In 2024, his Ohio State defense led the nation, allowing just 264 yards per game (YPG) and 12.9 PPG. Knowles’ aggressive, blitz-heavy scheme should mesh well with Penn State’s talented front seven, led by Dennis-Sutton (4.5 sacks in 2024 CFP games) and emerging linebacker Tony Rojas (58 tackles, 3 INTs in 2024). Knowles’ defenses have ranked first in the nation for four consecutive years, and Penn State’s 2024 defense already ranked No. 17 in rushing defense.
5. Did we forget to mention the defense? – Penn State returns 70% of its defensive production from 2024, including key contributors like safety Jaylen Reed (98 tackles, 3 INTs) and defensive tackle Zane Durant (42 tackles, 11 TFL). The addition of transfers like Michigan’s Owen Wafle and Texas A&M’s Enai White bolsters the defensive line.
6. Betting Value at +240 – At +240, Penn State offers strong value compared to favorites like Ohio State (-110) and Oregon (+200). The Nittany Lions’ depth, coaching, and schedule give them a realistic path to 11 or 12 wins, which could be enough to win the Big Ten, especially if they upset Ohio State on the road. The +240 odds imply a 28.6% chance of winning the Big Ten, but Penn State’s metrics suggest their true probability is closer to 33-35%, making this a value bet.
Key Stats Recap
Franklin’s Record: 101-42 at Penn State, 125-57 overall.
As Favorite: 82-12 SU since 2016, +21 PPG average margin.
Running Backs: Singleton (1,099 yards, 12 TDs) and Allen (1,108 yards, 8 TDs) in 2024.
Offensive Line: 4 returning starters, allowed 8 sacks in 2024.
ASA NBA predictionCleveland Cavaliers (+350) to win the Eastern Conference Cleveland made the biggest splash of any team before the trade deadline, acquiring James Harden from the Clippers in early February. The trade has sparked the Cavs offense who is averaging 130ppg over the first three games that the 11-time All Star has played. Donovan… Read more: NBA prediction Cleveland Cavaliers Eastern Conf Champs +350
ASA’s NFL News & Notes – Oct 23 2025 CHICAGO BEARS – The Bears topped New Orleans 26-14 on Sunday and have now won 4 straight games. Believe it or not, that their longest winning streak in 6 years! How have they done it? Turnovers. They have at least 3 takeaways in all 4 of their… Read more: NFL News & Notes | Oct 23 2025
NBA SEASON LONG WIN TOTAL BETS LA CLIPPERS OVER 49.5 WINS (-120) – The Clippers are going to be better this season than they were a year ago when they won 50 games. They lost Norman Powell to the Heat but added Bradley Beal, Chris Paul and Brook Lopez. They also get a full year… Read more: NBA WIN TOTAL BETS | 2025-26 FUTURES
ASA NBA Future Bet: Nuggets at +700: A Championship Steal with Upgraded Depth and Defense The Denver Nuggets sit at +700 odds to win the 2025-26 NBA Championship (implied probability ~12.5%), offering solid value for a team that’s reloaded around Nikola Jokić after a heartbreaking seven-game loss to the Thunder in the 2024-25 Western Conference… Read more: NBA Championship Bet | Nuggets +700 | 2025-26
Point Train – NFL Power Rankings (Post-Week 6, 2025) Here is a short NFL rankings based on what we’ve seen through games played on October 13th. These rankings are fluid and will fluctuate weekly. We are reflecting on their performance and alignment with analytics as of October 14, 2025. Thanks for taking a minute to… Read more: NFL Power Rankings | Oct 14 2025
ASAwins Betting Summary: Texas Tech Red Raiders Over 8.5 Wins for 2025 Season
Case for the Over (9+ Wins): Texas Tech is poised to exceed 8.5 wins in 2025, building on an 8-5 record in 2024 and leveraging a combination of returning talent, a transformative transfer portal haul, and a favorable schedule. The Red Raiders’ aggressive offseason moves, particularly on defense, address critical weaknesses, while their high-powered offense remains a strength, making the over an attractive futures bet.
Offensive Strengths:
Returning Starters: Texas Tech returns eight offensive starters, including senior quarterback Behren Morton, who threw for 3,335 yards and 27 touchdowns in 2024, despite shoulder issues. Morton’s experience in the Air Raid offense, where he started all 12 games, ensures continuity and growth. Key returners like wide receivers Coy Eakin and Caleb Douglas (combined for over 100 catches) and a veteran offensive line anchor the unit.
2024 Offensive Stats: The Red Raiders ranked 9th nationally in total yards per game (462 YPG), 9th in passing yards per game (294.3 YPG), 61st in rushing (167.7 YPG), and 4th in scoring (37.6 PPG). This explosive offense, led by Morton, should maintain its elite production, especially with a favorable non-conference schedule (Arkansas-Pine Bluff, Kent State, Oregon State) and only one 2024 bowl team before October.
Transfer Additions: The offense was bolstered by transfers like wide receiver Roy Alexander (100 catches at Incarnate Word) and USC running back Quinten Joyner, adding depth and playmaking. Offensive line transfers like Jalen Sampson (Houston, 6-8, 325 lbs) and Will Jados (Miami-Ohio, 38 career starts) address 2024’s pass protection issues (52 pressures allowed by the left side). These additions bridge gaps until younger linemen develop, ensuring Morton has time to operate.
Defensive Improvements:
2024 Defensive Struggles: Last season, Texas Tech’s defense was a liability, ranking 126th out of 133 FBS teams in total defense (460 YPG) and allowing 34.8 PPG, with a particularly weak pass defense (308 YPG, worst among Power 4 teams). This was a key factor in their 5-losses a year ago, as the offense couldn’t outscore every opponent.
Transfer Portal Dominance: Texas Tech secured the nation’s top-ranked transfer portal class, with a heavy focus on defensive upgrades. They added five defensive backs and four defensive linemen/edge rushers, including high-impact players like edge rusher David Bailey (Stanford, 14.5 career sacks), Romello Height (Georgia Tech), Lee Hunter (UCF, 69 tackles in 2023), and Skyler Gill-Howard (Northern Illinois). PFF rated Tech’s defensive line among the top 10 most impactful transfer units, projecting starters like Hunter and Gill-Howard to transform the front.
New Coordinator: Defensive coordinator Shiel Wood, hired from Houston, brings a proven scheme that ranked top-40 in scoring defense and limited big plays (only 37 scrimmage plays of 20+ yards allowed). With eight returning defensive starters, including linebackers Jacob Rodriguez and Ben Roberts (42 combined starts, 325 tackles), and these transfers, the defense is expected to significantly improve, potentially flirting with league-average performance.
Schedule and Intangibles:
Favorable Schedule: Texas Tech’s 2025 slate starts with three winnable home games (Arkansas-Pine Bluff, Kent State, Oregon State), providing early momentum. Two open dates (Sept. 27 and Nov. 22) offer rest and preparation before tough road games at Utah, Houston, Colorado, Kansas State, and West Virginia. Only one opponent through October was a 2024 bowl team, easing early integration of transfers.
Program Momentum: Coach Joey McGuire’s aggressive approach, backed by a $10+ million investment in transfers, signals a win-now mentality. The Matador Club’s NIL collective and early planning for the $2.8 billion House settlement ensure roster stability.
Risks to Consider:
Defensive Integration: While the transfer additions are elite, integrating 17 new players (21 total transfers) could lead to early chemistry issues, especially with a new defensive coordinator. The defense must improve from its 2024 basement ranking to at least mediocre to support the offense.
Morton’s Health: Morton’s shoulder surgery (December 2024) means he’ll miss spring practice, though he’s expected to be cleared by May. Any setbacks could force reliance on backups like Will Hammond or Mitch Griffis, potentially disrupting offensive rhythm.
Betting Recommendation: The over 8.5 wins (+115) is a strong value bet. Texas Tech’s elite offense (4th in scoring, 9th in total yards) returns nearly intact, with Morton and key weapons ensuring 37+ PPG potential. The defense, previously a liability at 460 YPG and 34.8 PPG, has been overhauled with top-tier transfers like Bailey, Hunter, and Height, plus a proven coordinator in Wood. A soft early schedule and two open dates set up 9-10 wins. The +115 odds offer a favorable payout for a team with Playoff buzz and a realistic shot at a Big 12 title push.
Final Prediction: Texas Tech finishes 9-3 or 10-2.
Email sports@asawins.com and inquire on HUGE SAVINGS on the upcoming 2025 football season!
ASA NBA predictionCleveland Cavaliers (+350) to win the Eastern Conference Cleveland made the biggest splash of any team before the trade deadline, acquiring James Harden from the Clippers in early February. The trade has sparked the Cavs offense who is averaging 130ppg over the first three games that the 11-time All Star has played. Donovan… Read more: NBA prediction Cleveland Cavaliers Eastern Conf Champs +350
ASA’s NFL News & Notes – Oct 23 2025 CHICAGO BEARS – The Bears topped New Orleans 26-14 on Sunday and have now won 4 straight games. Believe it or not, that their longest winning streak in 6 years! How have they done it? Turnovers. They have at least 3 takeaways in all 4 of their… Read more: NFL News & Notes | Oct 23 2025
NBA SEASON LONG WIN TOTAL BETS LA CLIPPERS OVER 49.5 WINS (-120) – The Clippers are going to be better this season than they were a year ago when they won 50 games. They lost Norman Powell to the Heat but added Bradley Beal, Chris Paul and Brook Lopez. They also get a full year… Read more: NBA WIN TOTAL BETS | 2025-26 FUTURES
ASA NBA Future Bet: Nuggets at +700: A Championship Steal with Upgraded Depth and Defense The Denver Nuggets sit at +700 odds to win the 2025-26 NBA Championship (implied probability ~12.5%), offering solid value for a team that’s reloaded around Nikola Jokić after a heartbreaking seven-game loss to the Thunder in the 2024-25 Western Conference… Read more: NBA Championship Bet | Nuggets +700 | 2025-26
Point Train – NFL Power Rankings (Post-Week 6, 2025) Here is a short NFL rankings based on what we’ve seen through games played on October 13th. These rankings are fluid and will fluctuate weekly. We are reflecting on their performance and alignment with analytics as of October 14, 2025. Thanks for taking a minute to… Read more: NFL Power Rankings | Oct 14 2025
Spot the difference between the #NHL and #NBA? The toothless guy who lays it on the line for pride in his country or the guy that flops and fakes injuries all the time? #jackhughes @stoolpresidente @usahockey
