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NFL Prop Bets | MNF Vikings vs Bears | Sep 8 2025

Caleb Williams Player Prop Bet: Over 4.5 Rush Attempts (-115) vs. Vikings

In 2024, Caleb Williams was the most sacked quarterback in the NFL, taking 68 sacks across 17 games. His mobility was a necessity, as he scrambled or ran on designed plays frequently, finishing with 489 rushing yards on 81 attempts (6.0 yards per carry). Notably, Williams had 4+ carries in 14 of 19 games and averaged 4.8 per for the season, including 10 carries in each of his two matchups against the Vikings last season. These games highlight his tendency to run when pressured by Minnesota’s defense, which led the NFL in quarterback pressures in 2024.

Aaron Jones Player Prop Bet: Over 2.5 Receptions (-110) vs. Bears

In 2024, Aaron Jones recorded 51 receptions on 67 targets over 17 games, averaging 3.0 receptions per game with the Vikings. He surpassed 2.5 receptions in 12 of 17 games, showcasing his reliability as a pass-catching back. Facing the Bears in 2024, Jones had 4 receptions for 46 yards in Week 12 and 3 receptions for 28 yards in Week 14, clearing the 2.5 mark in both games. With McCarthy, a rookie, starting under center, expect head coach Kevin O’Connell to lean on short, safe check-downs to Jones to ease the quarterback into the game. Minnesota’s offense in 2024 ranked 7th in passing yards (4,123), and Jones was a key outlet, with a 7.6% target share in the passing game.

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BETTING INFORMATION

ASA MNF free play Oct 11th

BALTIMORE RAVENS -4 1st half bet over Indianapolis Colts

While we won’t get involved in the game just yet, we do like the Ravens in the first half of this game. Scheduling favor the Ravens who catch the Colts playing their 3rd straight road game which will lead to a lethargic start by Indy. Not to mention, the Colts have been slow starters this season and are averaging just 8PPG in the first half of games this season.

Baltimore jumped out to a 17-7 halftime lead last week in Denver, they were also up 10-0 at half versus Detroit the game before. In the first two games of the season they put up 17-points in the 1st half versus the Chiefs but trailed, and in the season opener they were up 14-10 over Las Vegas.

The Ravens biggest advantage is their running game which is 3rd in the NFL in rushing yards per game (165), 5th rushing attempts per game and average 5.2 yards per rush attempt.

Indy is averaging just 20PPG overall which is 21st in the NFL and they score 1-point for every 15.7-yards gained which ranks them 16th.

The Colts offense has lacked big plays and are currently below average at 5.0-Yards Per Play which is 24th.

The Indianapolis defense has some respectable overall numbers ranking  8th in total yards allowed per game and 9th in passing YPG, BUT they have not stopped the run allowing 114YPG which ranks them 15th.

The Ravens defense is top 10 in lowest red zone TD’s allowed, 13th in yards per point allowed and 11th in points per game allowed at 23.

After facing two of the best offenses in the NFL in Weeks 1 and 2 (Raiders-chiefs) the Ravens have held 2 similar offenses to the Colts to 17 and 7-points.

Going back to the end of last season the Ravens have outscored their last 11 opponents 172-81 in the first halves of games for an average of +8.2PPG. The play here is Baltimore in the first half -4.