Tag: MLB games

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ASA MLB prediction White Sox vs. Tigers

ASA player prop: OVER 6.5 STRIKEOUTS Lance Lynn โ€“ Chicago White Sox vs Detroit Tigers, 2PM ET

Lynn is a solid strikeout pitcher with the 7thย highest K/rate (9.35) per 9 innings on the board today and heโ€™s facing a Tigers team that isnโ€™t swinging well right now. Detroit is 22ndย in the Bigs in Kโ€™s per game at 8.71 and theyโ€™ve been especially bad against right-handed starters with 6.7 per game. The Tigers hit just .210 as a team against righties and have been worse yet in their last ten games hitting just .195 with an average of 8.7 Kโ€™s per game. Recently, the Tigers have 152 Kโ€™s in their last 14 games which is the most in baseball. In that 14-game stretch they are striking out once every 3.04 at bats. Yesterday the Tigers struck out eleven times against the White Sox staff. Lynn has 62 Kโ€™s on the season in 59.7 innings of work after throwing 176 Kโ€™s a season ago in 157 innings. He has 6 or more strikeouts in 4 of his last five games. Lynn faced this Detroit lineup in mid-June and had 4 strikeouts in 4 innings of work. We expect a longer outing here and with more than 1 K per inning.

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ASA MLB free pick – Player Prop Marlins vs Braves

ASA player prop: OVER 5.5 STRIKEOUTS Jesus Luzardo โ€“ Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves, 1PM ET

The Braves are one of the best offenses in baseball, but they are certainly free-swingers at the plate with an average of 9.29 Kโ€™s per game which is 29th worst in baseball. Miami is sending Jesus Luzardo to the hill today to face the Braves and heโ€™s a strikeout pitcher. Luzardo has 5 or more Kโ€™s in every start this season but one with 52 strikeouts on the season in just 41 innings of work. His K/9 inning rate of 11.41 is is the 4th highest among all starters today and heโ€™s coming off his best start of the season with 6 Kโ€™s, 1 hit and 0 earned runs versus the Cubs. He also faced the Braves in late April of this season and struck out 8 in five innings of work.

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ASA MLB prediction Free pick

Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-150) Mike Clevinger โ€“ San Diego Padres

62 strikeouts in 65 innings pitched, 3-4 with a 3.60 ERA. Washington strikesout 2nd least number of times per game at 7.22 and have been on fire hitting left-handed pitchers of late with a .292 team batting average and 3.8 Kโ€™s per 9/innings in their last ten games. Clevinger has had 5 or less strikeouts in 7 of his last ten starts. The Nats own the 11th best walk percentage in baseball at 8.9% and the 3rd best K percentage at 19.6%.

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ASA MLB picks today – Brewers Total

ASA play on: UNDER 7.5 RUNS Tampa Bay Rays @ Milwaukee Brewers, 2:10PM ET

It starts with pitching here with two solid starters slated to take the mound for each team. Lefty Jeffrey Springs will take the hill for the Rays with a 4-3 record, 2.50 ERA and 1.08 WHIP on the season. The Brewers will counter with Brandon Woodruff who is 9-3 on the season with a 3.49 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. Woodruff has allowed just 6 earned runs in his last 23.3 innings of work with 24 strikeouts. At home Woodruff is 5-0 with a 2.08 ERA. Both teams are 17thย or worse in team batting average with Milwaukee hitting .240 as a team while the Rays hit .239. The Brewers do average 4.70 runs per 9/innings which is one of the higher averages in baseball but the Rays average 4.14 runs/9 innings which is 22nd. Milwaukee hits just .220 as a team against left-handed pitchers and scored 3.88 runs/9 innings. Tampa hits jut .233 against righties and score 4.26 runs/9 innings. Both teams are also trending in the wrong direction in their last ten games facing the designated handed pitchers.ย  We donโ€™t see many runs being scored in this day game in Milwaukee.