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NHL Prediction | Lightning vs Panthers Series Bet | 2025

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NHL Prediction: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Florida Panthers First Round Series Betting Prediction (2025 NHL Playoffs)

Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning to Win Series (-105)

The Tampa Bay Lightning are a solid bet at -105 to beat the Florida Panthers in the 2025 NHL Playoffs first round, driven by offensive depth, goaltending, and health advantages. Tampa led the NHL with 3.60 goals per game (GF/GP), powered by Kucherov (121 points), Point (42 goals), and Guentzel (41 goals), while allowing 2.40 GA/GP since February 1 (sixth-fewest). Florida scored 3.00 GF/GP (15th) and allowed 2.72 GA/GP (seventh-fewest), but finished 29 goals below expected. Net Rating shows a two-goal difference, favoring Tampa’s finishing.

Andrei Vasilevskiy (2.18 GAA, .921 SV%) outshines Sergei Bobrovsky (2.44 GAA, .906 SV%), with a .927 save percentage since the 4 Nations Face-Off. Florida’s injury woes—Tkachuk (groin), Ekblad (suspended), and Barkov (upper-body)—contrast with Tampa’s healthy roster and 20-6-5 run since January 30. Tampa’s power play matches Florida’s (9.56 xGF/60), but their top-10 penalty kill (80.3%) gives a slight edge. Tampa performs better when Florida takes penalties (20-9-3), which could disrupt the Panthers’ disciplined style.

Tampa’s offensive firepower, goaltending, and health make them the pick to win in six or seven games.

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NHL free bet – Lightning vs. Bruins – Sat, Mar 25th

Boston Bruins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning predition from ASA

ASA Free NHL Play on Boston Bruins Money Line -160 vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 1:05 ET – The Lightning are a solid team but are below .500 on the road this season. The Bruins offer some line value here because they are facing a high-quality opponent which keeps the line manageable. Getting Boston in the -160 range is a great value when you consider the Bruins are 29-3-3 at home this season. Boston has played 71 games this season and only 11 of those have resulted in a loss in regulation. One of those was at Tampa Bay in late January so this is a rare revenge game for the Bruins. This is the 4th and final regular season meeting between these divisional foes and after taking the first two this season but losing the most recent one, it is not a big surprise that our predictive analytics have this game finishing with a revenging win for the hosts in this match-up. Lay the price with the home team here Saturday.

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