Tag: free picks

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NFL Wager | Bills vs. Steelers | Aug 19th

NFL bet – POINT TRAIN WAGER Buffalo Bills @ Pittsburgh Steelers, Saturday 6:30PM EST

WAGER – BILLS 1ST HALF – ½ +105

RATING – Beer & Pizza money

·         Bills head coach has publicly stated he plans to play his starters for more than a quarter, so we know what to expect early on from Buffalo.

·         Buffalo head coach McDermott has a stellar preseason record of 12-5-1 ATS. He clearly has set a precedent for winning exhibition games.

·         The Bills are again a contender to win it all in 2023-24 and have a deep roster. Buffalo was a top offensive and defensive team a season ago ranking 2nd in total yards per game and 7th in YPG allowed.

·         Pittsburgh had solid defensive statistics a year ago ranking 12th in total DVOA but did give up 5.5 Yards Per Play which rank 20th.

·         The Steelers offense was 18th in offensive DVOA overall and lacked explosiveness, ranking near the bottom of the league in Yards Per Play at 4.9 (27th).

·         We feel this game will be a tale of two halves with the Bills winning the first half and depending on how it plays out, we would consider a bet on the Steelers in the 2nd half. Pittsburgh has a better late game QB situation with Rudolph and Trubisky fighting for the second spot behind Pickett.

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Free Bet College Basketball – Sunday, March 19th

ASA has a FREE BET for you today in the NIT game between Wisconsin and Liberty

ASA FREE PLAY UNDER 129 Liberty @ Wisconsin – 12PM ET (NIT Tournament)

Let’s start your morning off with a free bet on the Total of the Liberty Flames and Wisconsin Badgers. The first numbers that stand out are the pace of play or possessions per game for both teams. Liberty ranks 308th in adjusted tempo at 64.8 with an average possession length of 19.1 seconds. The Badgers prefer that same style of play with the 345th ranked adjusted tempo and 349th average possession length at 19.7 seconds. Wisconsin doesn’t shoot it well either with an effective field goal percentage of 48.6 (275th). Both teams take pride on the defensive end of the court with the Flames allowing .972-points per possession which ranks them 46th in the nation. Wisconsin under Greg Gard has always been known for their defense and this season is no different as they give up just .946-points per possession which ranks 24th. Liberty just faced a Villanova team that has very similar statistics to Wisconsin and that game finished with 119 total points. The Badgers had a higher scoring game in the opener against Bradley but they shot uncharacteristically well in that game with Steven Crowl going 12 of 16 from the field, 7 of 7 from the FT line. In a slow tempo game we like less than 129 total points as a today’s free bet in college basketball.

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NBA Player Prop Bets – January 19th

NBA Player Prop bets for Detroit Pistons vs Chicago Bulls Day Game – Thursday, Jan 19th

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 8.5 POINTS – Ayo Dosunmu – Chicago Bulls

The Detroit Pistons give up the 5th most points to PG’s this season at 24.8PPG. Dosunmu has averaged 10.1PPG in his last ten games and 9.52PPG on the season. In a recent meeting with the Pistons he managed 11 points and cashed the Over. The Total on this game is 236 which means it’s going to be higher scoring. Granted DeRozan is back in the lineup today and he will get his fair share of field goal attempts but Dosunmu should get to his average or score 10+ in this one.

ASA NBA player prop OVER 11.5 REBOUNDS – Nikola Vucevic – Chicago Bulls

We expect a big rebounding performance here from Vucevic as he faces a Pistons teams that is 25th in defensive rebounding, 22nd in offensive rebounding. Detroit also allows the 4th most rebounds to Centers this season at 16.2 per game. Vucevic has averaged 13 rebounds per game his last ten games and has grabbed more that 11.5 in 7 of his last nine games.

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NBA Player Prop Nov 17th

ASA Player Prop OVER 21.5 POINTS – Keldon Johnson, San Antonio Spurs

The Over/Under on this game itself is 236 which tells us it’s going to be a high scoring game. These are two of the fastest paced teams in the NBA, and two of the worst when it comes to defensive efficiency. The Spurs are 29th in the league allowing 1.169-points per possession, the Kings rank 27th giving up 1.147PPP. Johnson is averaging 22.71PPG on the season and has a pair of big game recently against a comparative team to the Spurs in the Denver Nuggets. Sacramento allows the 6th most points to shooting forwards, Denver is 8th in that defensive category. Our models are projecting 25.25 points tonight for Johnson.

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