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Free Bet | New Mexico vs San Diego State | Feb 28, 2026

#648 ASA FREE BET New Mexico -1.5 over San Diego State, Saturday at 2 PM ET

We’re getting the Lobos at home off a road loss @ Nevada facing the Aztecs on the road off a huge home win over Utah State which pushed them into a tie for 1st place in the Mountain West.  We like this situation for New Mexico in the Pit on Saturday afternoon.  The Lobos lost on Tuesday night while SDSU played on Wednesday giving the host an extra day.  The Pit is one of the tougher places to play and the Lobos are 13-2 here this year and 54-6 since the start of the 2022 season.  A win here would put New Mexico and SDSU in a tie for 2nd place (possibly 1st place if Utah State loses) with 13-5 records.  The Aztecs have 4 losses in conference play and 3 of those came on the road.  When these 2 met in San Diego the Aztecs squeaked out a 4 point win and 49% from the field and 41% from 3 point land.  On the road their offensive numbers drop to 73 PPG (81 PPG at home) on just 1.04 PPP.  It looks like the Aztecs might also be without a few rotational players (Newman & Oden) who are both questionable for this game.  New Mexico is set to host SDSU for possibly the last time in the Pit (Aztecs leaving the MWC after this season) where they are 32-13 lifetime vs the Aztecs.  Let’s lay the small number.    FREE BET today on New Mexico vs San Diego State.

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Free Bet | College Basketball | Feb 26 2026

#826 ASA FREE BET ON Utah Tech -3.5 over Abilene Christian, Thursday at 9 PM ET

Because the WAC only has 7 teams, they play each other 3 times.  These 2 have already met twice with Utah Tech handling Abilene Christian both times on the road.  We don’t see that changing now that Tech gets the Wildcats at home.  Utah Tech is 6-1 at home in WAC play with their only loss coming by 4 points vs UT Arlington in a game where Tech made just 1 of 15 from deep (7%) and missed half of their FT’s (9 of 18).  That was an outlier as the Trailblazers are 2nd in the WAC in 3 point FG% at 38% and make 73% of their FT’s in league play.  Abilene Christian has won 3 of their last 4 but all 3 wins were at home and 2 of those wins went down to the wire.  On the road the Wildcats are just 1-5 in conference play with their only win coming by 4 points @ Tarleton State who sits tied for last place in the conference.  Taking a look at the 2 meetings between these teams this season, Utah Tech won both on the road by 6 and 15 points.  However, those games were more lopsided than the final scores might indicate.  Abilene Christian led for just 12% of the time in the 2 games combined while the Trailblazers led for 99% of one match up and 83% of the other.  The Wildcats largest lead in either game was 4 points while Utah Tech led by 25 in one game and 14 in the other, both of those leads coming with under 6:00 remaining in the game.  Both offenses like to shoot the 3 (1st and 3rd in the WAC in percentage of shots taken from beyond the arc) but the problem is, one defense is really good at defending the arc and the other stinks.  Utah Tech ranks 1st in the conference allowing opponents to shoot only 27% from 3 point land while ACU allows 41% from deep (last in the WAC).  In the first 2 match ups those stats played out as expected with Tech making 20 of their 44 triples (45%) while the Wildcats made only 13 of 41 (31%).  No reason to think that changes tonight.  Utah Tech is a half game (1 game out in the loss column) behind Utah Valley for 1st place in the WAC.  They are battling for the conference title and we like them to win and cover at home tonight.

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Free Bet | Michigan State vs USC | Sept 20 2025

ASAwins FREE BET – OVER 55: Michigan State Spartans at USC Trojans – 11 PM ET

This Big Ten showdown screams fireworks and we predict a shootout in the Coliseum late this evening. USC’s offense ranks No. 1 nationally in total yards (604 per game) and No. 2 in scoring (55 points per game), led by QB Jayden Maiava’s —989 passing yards, 6 TDs, and 0 INTs so far—while averaging a blistering 9.6 yards per play (tops in FBS).

They gashed Purdue for 460 yards without punting last week, leaving points on the table in a 33-17 win, and their 12.8 yards per pass attempt (No. 2) should provide explosive plays with WR Ja’Kobi Lane exploiting the Spartans secondary.

Michigan State’s secondary? A sieve, ranking 118th in passing yards allowed (273.3 YPG) and coughing up 25 completions per game through the air, with 5.4 yards per play surrendered overall (86th).

Flip to MSU’s side: Dual-threat QB Aidan Chiles has Sparty averaging 35.3 points per game, exploding for 42 and 41 in their last two outings behind a balanced attack (168 rushing YPG, 68th).

USC’s D, stout against the run (86.3 YPG allowed), ranks just 82nd in points allowed per play (0.4) and could bend under Chiles’ mobility.

ASA’s Models projects 62 in this Big Ten showdown.

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Free CFB Bet | Texas vs San Jose State | ASA breaks it down

#324 ASA Free CFB PLAY ON Texas -36.5 over San Jose State, Saturday at 12 PM ET

The Spartans could be in for a long day in Austin on Saturday.  Texas lost 14-7 @ Ohio State last week but they outplayed the Bucks on the field with a +133 total yard advantage. 

They also dominated the Buckeyes on the ground averaging 4.5 YPC to just 2.3 YPC for OSU.  The Longhorn defense was stellar limiting Ohio State to just 203 total yards on 3.7 YPP on the road. 

San Jose State lost at home 16-14 last weekend vs a Central Michigan team that was traveling across the country with entirely new systems on both sides of the ball.  How is this SJSU offense going to put up points on the road vs one of the best defenses in the country, and with extra motivation coming off a loss? 

Defensively, the Spartans allowed the brand new CMU offense to average 5.7 YPP and put up 247 yards on the ground last week.  Now they face an angry offense that is ready to blow someone’s doors off after last week. 

While only scoring 7 points last week, Texas did put up 336 total yards and 170 yards rushing on one of the best defenses in the country.  Huge step down here taking on SJSU’s stop unit. 

The Longhorns similar type opponent non-conference home games last year vs Colorado State, UTSA, and UL Monroe, they outscored those 3 opponents 159-10! 

After hearing all week how they blew last week’s game vs OSU, they’ll want to run this one up and get QB Manning rolling with confidence.  Texas has UTEP on deck so no lookahead for them.  Lay it. 

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WNBA free bet | Sparks vs Wings | Aug 15 2025

ASAwins WNBA free bet Friday – OVER 178 LA Sparks at Dallas Wings, 7:30pm ET

One or maybe even both of these teams get into the 100’s tonight as both like to play fast and neither defends. The Wings rank 10th in Defensive Net rating this season, the Sparks are 11th.

L.A. is the 3rd fastest team in the league, the Wings are 5th fastest. The Sparks have the much better overall offense ranking 4th in Net rating whereas the Wings rank 9th.

L.A. has scored or allowed 100+ points in 6 of their last nine games and are coming off a pair of games against significantly better defenses (Liberty, Storm) and they scored 94 and 97 points respectively.

Dallas has allowed 85 or more points in 7 of their last nine games.

At first glance, the Wings offense has struggled to put up points in games but they’ve also faced several of the better defensive teams in the league, and the Sparks are not on that level defensively.

We lean to 183+ points in this game.

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