Tag: college predictions

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Kansas vs. Oklahoma State prediction – Oct 14th 2023

POINT TRAIN FREE BET – OKLAHOMA STATE +3 over Kansas – 2:30PM CT

You can bet the Cowboys head coach Mike Gundy has pointed out to his team that they are underdogs at home to perennial Big 12 doormat Kansas today. Granted, KU is not the team of the past and head coach Leipold has done some fantastic things in Lawrence, but this number should be a pick’em by our power ratings. Okie State has won 9 of the last ten meetings outright, covered 8 of those with every one of those wins coming by a touchdown or more. Last season, the Jayhawks pulled the 37-16 upset at home as a 3-point dog with turnovers being the main culprit for OSU. Do you know how many times the Jayhawks have been a road favorite in the last ten years? ONCE! In that same 10-year span the Cowboys have been home dogs 14 times and have covered & won 9 of those. Grab the points.

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Free Bet College Basketball – Sunday, March 19th

ASA has a FREE BET for you today in the NIT game between Wisconsin and Liberty

ASA FREE PLAY UNDER 129 Liberty @ Wisconsin – 12PM ET (NIT Tournament)

Let’s start your morning off with a free bet on the Total of the Liberty Flames and Wisconsin Badgers. The first numbers that stand out are the pace of play or possessions per game for both teams. Liberty ranks 308th in adjusted tempo at 64.8 with an average possession length of 19.1 seconds. The Badgers prefer that same style of play with the 345th ranked adjusted tempo and 349th average possession length at 19.7 seconds. Wisconsin doesn’t shoot it well either with an effective field goal percentage of 48.6 (275th). Both teams take pride on the defensive end of the court with the Flames allowing .972-points per possession which ranks them 46th in the nation. Wisconsin under Greg Gard has always been known for their defense and this season is no different as they give up just .946-points per possession which ranks 24th. Liberty just faced a Villanova team that has very similar statistics to Wisconsin and that game finished with 119 total points. The Badgers had a higher scoring game in the opener against Bradley but they shot uncharacteristically well in that game with Steven Crowl going 12 of 16 from the field, 7 of 7 from the FT line. In a slow tempo game we like less than 129 total points as a today’s free bet in college basketball.

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College Football free wager – Nov 5th

ASA PLAY ON #392 UL Lafayette +4.5 over Troy, Saturday 5 PM ET

College Football free wager: We think we’re getting some solid value here with the home dog.  Last year ULL was favored by -6.5 AT Troy and now this year they are getting +4.5 at home.  So technically we’re talking about at least a 17 point swing in one year if we factor in home field advantage.  That’s too much.  ULL is coming off a loss which helped this line, however it was a deceiving loss @ Southern Miss.  The Golden Eagles won 39-24 vs ULL who was favored by -2.5 on the road in that game.  The Ragin Cajuns outgained USM by 100 yards in that loss but had 4 turnovers and the Eagles had a defensive TD and a safety in the game.  Prior to that loss ULL was coming off back to back double digit wins vs Arkansas State and Marshall.  At home this season the Cajuns are 3-1 with their only loss coming by 3 points vs a South Alabama who we have rated dead even with Troy.  The Trojans are on a nice 5 game winning streak, however they struggle offensively at times (76th in total offense and 120th in rushing) so they often win close games when they do win.  In that 5 game winning streak they have scored 17 points or fewer 3 times and 4 of those 5 winning margins were single digits.  If we throw out Troy’s game vs FCS Alabama A&M their average score this season is 20.2 – 17.7 so only +2.5 PPG.  ULL has an extremely strong home field advantage winning 22 of their last 25 as a host dating back to the 2018 season.  Troy hasn’t laid points on the road in this series since 2011 and we feel the Cajuns have a solid shot at the upset here as our free pick.  Take the points with ULL as our free pick today.

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Free college bet Utah vs USC – Oct 15th

Free college prediction on the Utah vs USC game by ASA

ASA play on: Utah -3.5 vs USC, 8PM ET

ASA’s free college bet. We like the scheduling situation with the Utes are coming off a disappointing loss at UCLA 42-32 while USC is off a big home win over Washington State 30-14. Both offenses fairly even with the Utes averaging 6.6-Yards Per Play, USC averages 6.6YPP. Utah has a slight edge defensively as the UTES give up 316YPG compared to the Trojans 351.5YPG allowed. A big reason USC is 6-0 SU is that they have feasted on Turnovers this year with 15 takeaways, but Utah doesn’t turn it Over with 5 TO’s on the season. Utah also has an offense capable of keeping the Trojans offense off the field as they convert 48.48% of their 3rd down attempts which is 16th best in the nation. Home field will play an important role in the outcome of this game as the Utes are 23-2 SU, 16-9 ATS at home since 2018. In that stretch of 25 games, they have won by an average of 20.8PPG which is the 11th best MOV in that time frame. The home team is also 8-3 the last eleven meetings between these two schools. The Trojans have not been a great underdog with as 5-9 ATS their last fourteen as a pooch. They’ve also lost those games by an average of -11.1PPG. The line on this game is the tell with the Utes favored by over as field goal. Since 2015 teams that are 6-0 and an underdog to a team with a minimum of two losses are 3-12 SU. Free college prediction on the Utes!

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FREE college football bet | Sept 25

POINT TRAIN WAGER – #376 OREGON STATE +6 vs. USC @ 9:30PM ET

WAGER – OREGON STATE +6

  • Free college fotball – This is one of those games I keep going back to for one specific reason. The line on this game opened with USC a touchdown favorite and more money/tickets are being bet on the Trojans, yet the line moved off that key number.
  • My computers have USC as a 4.2-point favorite on a neutral field so you can see for yourself this number is slightly inflated.
  • Both have played Fresno State this season and won. OSU went to Fresno and won 35-32 as a 1-point dog. USC hosted the Bulldogs last week and won 45-17.
  • Oregon State was a 10-point road dog a year ago in So Cal and won 45-27 with a plus +109-yards differential.
  • USC is loaded on offense with some high-profile transfers but the Beavers aren’t far behind with an offense putting up 45.7PPG and averaging 12.6-Yards Per Point.
  • Defensively the Beavers were slightly better a year ago and the two units are about even this season.
  • There is value with the home dog in this one.