Tag: best NBA bets

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NBA prediction Cleveland Cavaliers Eastern Conf Champs +350

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ASA NBA predictionCleveland Cavaliers (+350) to win the Eastern Conference

Cleveland made the biggest splash of any team before the trade deadline, acquiring James Harden from the Clippers in early February. The trade has sparked the Cavs offense who is averaging 130ppg over the first three games that the 11-time All Star has played. Donovan Mitchell is having another All-NBA caliber season and the addition of Harden makes the duo the highest scoring guarding combination in the NBA in terms of ppg. Additionally, backcourt mates Sam Merrill and Jaylon Tyson bring some serious sharpshooting, both top three in three point percentage at a staging 47% on high volumes. Rounding out the frontcourt, Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen bring rim protecting length, elite rebounding, and more offense, averaging a combined 32ppg between them. As a cherry on top, Max Strus may be able to make a return before the playoffs after missing all season due to a foot surgery. He averaged 12ppg in the 2025 playoffs. Winners of eleven of the last twelve games, Cleveland sits securely as the four seed while being less than two games behind the Celtics and Knicks for the number two spot in the East. Even more enticing, the Cavs have one of the five easiest strengths of schedules remaining. On the contrary, Boston and New York will have a very difficult road, both encountering a top ten schedule in terms of strength. According to odds makers it is a four team race for who comes out of the East. Boston is +340, Cleveland +350, Detroit +360, and New York is +410. With a race this wide open, the East is ripe for the taking and we think the Cavs have what it takes to make an NBA Finals appearance.    

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ASA NBA free bet | Warriors vs Timberwolves | Jan 24 2026

ASA NBA free bet on Minnesota Timberwolves -6 vs Golden State Warriors, 5:30pm ET

The Warriors season took a significant hit when they lost Jimmy Butler for the season to a knee injury. Contrary to what you might think, the immediate impact of his loss has come on the defensive end of the court as they’ve given up 145 and 123 points in their last two games. Those numbers came against two teams that rank in the bottom of the league in offensive net ratings (Dallas, Toronto). Minnesota is mired in their own losing streak that currently stands at 4 games, but in their defense three of those came against a red hot Bulls team, the Spurs and the Rockets. The Wolves are the 6th most efficient offense in the NBA at 1.184-points per possession and rank 10th in defensive efficiency allowing 1.136PPP. In fact, the Wolves are one of only three teams in the NBA to rank top 10 in both oEFF and dEFF. Not only will we see a continued decline in the Warriors defensive statistics, but they’ll suffer offensively too without Butlers 20ppg and 5.6rpg. Minnesota clearly gets up for games against the Warriors as they’ve now won 5 straight in the series and all of those W’s have come by 5 or more points. Lay it here with Minnesota.

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NBA Free Bets | Hawks vs Pelicans | Nov 22

ASA free NBA bet on Atlanta Hawks -8.5 at New Orleans Pelicans, 7PM ET

The Hawks have lost two straight and will look to bounce back in New Orleans against one of the worst teams in the NBA. The Pelicans have the 2nd worst overall efficiency differential at minus -13.3, only ahead of the Wizards. New Orleans has the 5th worst offensive efficiency at 1.101PPP and the 29th defensive efficiency allowing 1.243PPP. In comparison the Hawks are 14th in dEFF, 13th in oEFF. Atlanta lost at San Antonio on Thursday but had won 4 straight on the road in their most recent road trip. Two of those road wins were against similar teams to the Pels (Kings, Jazz) and both of those wins games by double-digits. Going into Friday night the Pelicans had lost 7 straight games 5 of which were at home, and all 5 came by more than this spread. New Orleans is 1-7 SU at home with a negative average point differential of minus -12ppg. Atlanta 7-3 SU on the road this season and also benefit from a scheduling advantage as the Pels played Friday night. 

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NBA Free Bet | Knicks vs Bulls | Oct 31 2025

ASA NBA Free Bet UNDER 233.5 NY Knicks at Chicago Bulls, 8:10pm ET

Our model is projecting 221.6 total points being scored in this game and we couldn’t agree more with it’s findings. The Bulls have the 4th best Defensive Efficiency rating in the NBA allowing just 1.085-points per possession. The Knicks aren’t far behind allowing 1.120PPP (11th). The Bulls currently have slightly faster pace of play numbers but they’ve also faced four teams that prefer to play uptempo. The Knicks are the 24th slowest team in the NBA at 98.7 possessions per game so they’ll look to muck this game up. The Bulls currently have solid Offensive Efficiency numbers, but again that is impacted by their schedule. The Knicks are averaging 1.120-points per possession which ranks 24th in the league. New York is shooting just 40.6% on the season (28th) and hit just 33% from beyond the arc. The Bulls have solid shooting percentages but the four teams they’ve beaten this season rank 18th or worse in FG% defense, which has inflated those numbers. We like UNDER in this one as todays NBA Free Bet

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NBA free pick | Hawks vs Magic | Oct 24 2025

ASAwins NBA free pick on: Atlanta Hawks +5 at Orlando Magic, 7:10pm ET

This is a rematch from last season’s 7 vs 8 playoff meeting which the Magic won 120-95. Atlanta has a rebuilt roster and is expected by many experts to make a strong playoff run this season. The Hawks added Porzingis, Alexander-Walke and Kennard to the roster and also get Jalen Johnson back from injury, who was having an All-Star type season a year ago before getting hurt. Orlando also made a big splash in the offseason with the addition of Desmond Bane who will be a great fit for the Magic. These teams suffered different fates in their season openers with the Hawks getting blown out at home by the Raptors, while the Magic beat instate rivals the Miami Heat. We think it’s going to take some time for the Hawks to adjust to the new players on the roster while the Magic’s will be seamless. Orlando was 22-19 SU at home last season with an average +/- of +2.1ppg. Atlanta was 19-23 SU on the road a year ago with an average MOV of minus -1.1ppg. The home team won and covered the last three meetings between these two teams a year ago and the Magic own a 40-18 ATS record at home as a chalk dating back to 2023 with an average MOV in those games of +10.7ppg. We won’t bite on the revenge angle here and will lay the points with the Magic as today’s NBA free pick.

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