Free pick – #969 Philadelphia Phillies (Wheeler) -110 over Toronto Blue Jays (Kikuchi) 6:07 PM CT
Enjoy this MLB free bet from Nelly today. The lack of production over the weekend for Philadelphia was shocking, scoring just one run Saturday and Sunday in losses at home following a run of ten straight games with at least four runs. The Phillies have still averaged 5.6 runs per game in August while +23 in scoring as this is an elite NL contender that has a chance to repeat as NL champions, even if will again have to come through a wild card path. Philadelphia is 40-22 since June 3 and Zack Wheeler remains one of the best pitchers in the NL. His FIP of 3.06 is the fourth best in all of MLB among qualified starters even if he isn’t getting much attention in the Cy Young race, after finishing second in 2021 for the award. Yusei Kikuchi is having his best MLB season, but his FIP is 4.52 compared to his 3.53 ERA as a lot has gone right. His home run rate remains very high and while his run of starts since the All-Star break has been excellent, it seems like a significant outlier stretch against his career numbers. The Blue Jays do have excellent relief pitching numbers in recent weeks, but the unit was taxed over the weekend getting only one start of six innings over the past four games. In the past 10 games Philadelphia has averaged 7.8 runs per nine while batting .277 vs. left-handers, while posting a 21-16 record on the season vs. left-handed starters as this should be a favorable matchup for the Phillies to deliver, after being shutdown by quality right-handers over the weekend. The Blue Jays are just 34-42 vs. winning teams this season as Toronto hasn’t looked like the serious contender most expected to see this season.Â
ASA COLLEGE FOOTBALL FREE PLAY ON Mississippi State -28.5 over UL Monroe, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET ULM is one of the worst programs in CFB with just 7 wins over FBS opponents in their last 3 seasons. They are just 37-81 SU over the last decade. Their spread record during that time is 48-68-2… Read more: College Football Free Play | September 5 2026
MLB Free play Milwaukee Brewers Run Line -160 over Cincinnati Reds, Friday at 6:10 PM ET The Brewers are off a loss and have won 5 of 7 when coming off a loss. They lost a tight one against the Cubs yesterday but now will take advantage of facing the Reds today. In matchups like today’s… Read more: MLB Free play Brewers vs Reds | Sept 4, 2026
Eastern Michigan (-9.5) over Sacramento St, Saturday at 6:30 PM ET Today’s college football free pick for Saturday, August 29th. Sacramento State makes the jump from FCS to FBS this season. It starts with a long road trip to Michigan. Speaking of long road trips. Sac St is now in the MAC. Therefore, long road… Read more: College Football Free Pick: Eastern Michigan vs Sacramento State
NFL FREE pick Giants vs Dolphins : #421 ASA FREE PLAY ON NY Giants -3 over Miami Dolphins, Saturday at 4 PM ET. For those looking for an nfl free pick Giants vs Dolphins, this matchup should be intriguing. Both of these teams lost their preseason openers and the offenses struggled. Miami was only able… Read more: NFL free bet | Giants at Dolphins | Aug 22 2026
LA Sparks +6.5 vs Washington Mystics free bet prediction, Saturday August 15th 7:30pm ET WNBA free bet today is the LA Sparks +6.5 against the Washington Mystics at 7:30pm ET. Here is my LA Sparks +6.5 vs Washington Mystics free bet prediction for tonight’s matchup. WNBA free bet today: LA Sparks +6.5 free bet vs… Read more: WNBA Free Bet Today: LA Sparks +6.5 vs Washington Mystics Prediction
TOP 3 FINISHER – Michael McDowell +$700 – This is tremendous value for the #34 Ford and McDowell who will start in the second row on today’s road course. McDowell has been one of the best in field when it comes to road courses and with the 3rd best driver rating, average running position and average finish. Front Row Motorsports easily had the best cars in the practice rounds with McDowell posting the fastest lap at 99.881mph. In the overall practice rounds the #34 was the best car on the track and we like McDowell’s chances for a Top 3 finish.
TOP 10 FINISHER – Michael McDowell -$115 – We are also planning on a small wager on the #34 car for a Top 10 finish.
ASA COLLEGE FOOTBALL FREE PLAY ON Mississippi State -28.5 over UL Monroe, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET ULM is one of the worst programs in CFB with just 7 wins over FBS opponents in their last 3 seasons. They are just 37-81 SU over the last decade. Their spread record during that time is 48-68-2… Read more: College Football Free Play | September 5 2026
MLB Free play Milwaukee Brewers Run Line -160 over Cincinnati Reds, Friday at 6:10 PM ET The Brewers are off a loss and have won 5 of 7 when coming off a loss. They lost a tight one against the Cubs yesterday but now will take advantage of facing the Reds today. In matchups like today’s… Read more: MLB Free play Brewers vs Reds | Sept 4, 2026
Eastern Michigan (-9.5) over Sacramento St, Saturday at 6:30 PM ET Today’s college football free pick for Saturday, August 29th. Sacramento State makes the jump from FCS to FBS this season. It starts with a long road trip to Michigan. Speaking of long road trips. Sac St is now in the MAC. Therefore, long road… Read more: College Football Free Pick: Eastern Michigan vs Sacramento State
NFL FREE pick Giants vs Dolphins : #421 ASA FREE PLAY ON NY Giants -3 over Miami Dolphins, Saturday at 4 PM ET. For those looking for an nfl free pick Giants vs Dolphins, this matchup should be intriguing. Both of these teams lost their preseason openers and the offenses struggled. Miami was only able… Read more: NFL free bet | Giants at Dolphins | Aug 22 2026
LA Sparks +6.5 vs Washington Mystics free bet prediction, Saturday August 15th 7:30pm ET WNBA free bet today is the LA Sparks +6.5 against the Washington Mystics at 7:30pm ET. Here is my LA Sparks +6.5 vs Washington Mystics free bet prediction for tonight’s matchup. WNBA free bet today: LA Sparks +6.5 free bet vs… Read more: WNBA Free Bet Today: LA Sparks +6.5 vs Washington Mystics Prediction
NFL preseason Quarterback rotations by teams – by Point Train Consultants
If you are going to bet the preseason you better know who’s playing QB for both teams involved in the contest. It’s not always about the #1’s and how many reps the starters are going to get. You will also want to familiarize yourself with the 2nd and 3rd-stringer and how much playing time they are scheduled to get. Concerning all positions on the field, starters for each team will play early on, most importantly the offensive line if a starting quarterback is under center. Later in games when you have backups on the field, an athletic QB that can scramble and make plays with his feet becomes a valuable asset when wagering on exhibition games. Another important factor to give you an edge may be the experience of the reserve QB’s or if it’s an open competition for the starting job. A few teams that stand out to us with strong quarterback rotations include: Ravens, Eagles, Steelers, Colts and 49ers.
It’s not always as important who the starting QB may be for the NFLx, but who finishes the game. Spend some time researching the backup QB’s and looking at local newspaper feeds for hints on how much each quarterback is expected to play. Another solid wagering strategy in preseason using this philosophy is second-half wagering so keep that in mind also.
This is just one tool to use when it comes to handicapping the preseason and we hope it helps you make a few extra bucks before the real season starts.
AFC East
Bills: Josh Allen, Kyle Allen, Matt Barkley
Dolphins: Tua Tagovailoa, Mike White, Skylar Thompson, James Blackman
Patriots: Mac Jones, Bailey Zappe, Trace McSorley, Malik Cunningham
Jets: Aaron Rodgers, Zach Wilson, Tim Boyle, Chris Streveler
AFC North
Bengals: Joe Burrow, Trevor Siemian, Jake Browning, Reid Sinnett
Browns: Deshaun Watson, Joshua Dobbs, Dorian Thompson-Robinson, Kellen Mond
Ravens: Lamar Jackson, Tyler Huntley, Josh Johnson, Anthony Brown
Steelers: Kenny Pickett, Mitchell Trubisky, Mason Rudolph, Tanner Morgan
AFC South
Colts: Anthony Richardson, Gardner Minshew, Sam Ehlinger
ASA’s ACC Sleeper Team in 2026: Virginia Tech Hokies Prediction The ACC is deeper and more unbalanced than it used to be: 17 football programs, a new nine-game league slate for most of them, and several rebuilt staffs chasing the same bowl spots. Miami, Clemson, and SMU will get the preseason headlines. Virginia Tech is… Read more: ACC Virginia Tech Hokies Prediction 2026
Oklahoma State Cowboys 2026: Why ASA Picks OSU as the Big 12 Prediction Oklahoma State CowboysCollege football’s most chaotic conference is back with 16 teams, nine league games each, and plenty of room for a team nobody is talking about in August to wreck November. After a 1-11 collapse in 2025, the Oklahoma State Cowboys… Read more: Oklahoma State Cowboys 2026 Big 12 prediction
Minnesota Lynx Lead as WNBA Championship Odds-On Favorites Heading Into the Playoffs The 2026 WNBA regular season is in its final stretch. If you’re tracking the latest 2026 WNBA Championship Odds, all eight playoff teams are locked in, seeding remains fluid, and the championship futures market has a clear leader. The Minnesota Lynx sit as… Read more: 2026 WNBA Championship Odds:
College Football Home field advantage isn’t all the same. When it comes to college football handicapping, most bettors look at a team’s overall power rating and move on to the point spread. But there’s another question J’s Plays believes you should be asking: Where does that team perform best—at home or on the road? That… Read more: College Football Handicapping: Finding Value with Home & Road Ratings
2026 NFL Preseason Week 2 QB Rotations Preview: Projected Playing Time for Every Game. ASA gives you the edge with a quick look at what the projected QB rotations will be this week in the NFL preseason games. For those curious about all NFL Preseason Week 2 quarterback rotations, this post lays out the key… Read more: 2026 NFL Preseason Week 2 QB Rotations Preview: Projected Playing Time for Every Game
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Nelly's has posted back-to-back winning MLB seasons - we had a strong early season record last season with great first half returns. Join us for every pick in the month of MLB action with daily updates and usually one pick each day. Updates will be sent via email each day
The Green Sheet is a weekly football newsletter with predictions each week - covering the entire NFL schedule and the majority of the college schedule. Key selections are isolated each week along with over/under Game of the Week releases. The newsletter will generally be sent out on Wednesday afternoons each
Cover Kings runs a projection model against live lines every day – flagging only plays where the math shows a REAL EDGE. With Cover Kings AI driven Player Props, you can find model-driven picks and true betting advantages. No gut feels, No cherry-picked records! Every pick goes out before game
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We like the value in the Over-Under number as the Cleveland Browns win total projections a year ago was this same number of 9.5. That number was set last season knowing QB Deshaun Watson would not be under center for the first 11 games to start the season. In Watson’s previous three seasons in Houston, he threw for an average of 4,280 yards per season with 85 total touchdowns to 28 total interceptions. The Browns rely heavily on their running game and RB Nick Chubb who was 3rd in the NFL in total rushing yards 2022 with 1,525 rushing yards. Chubb has essentially been a 1,000 yards rusher every season in the NFL (rushed for 996 as a rookie). Cleveland finished the year 8th in offensive DVOA, 6th best in rushing. The Browns defense slipped in 2022 to 23rd in defensive DVOA after ranking 11th the previous season. Cleveland addressed their holes on the defensive side of the football by signing a few key free agents and a solid draft class. Cleveland won 7 games a year ago with 6 of their nine losses coming by 1-score. The Browns had an average differential of minus -1.2PPG which was tied for 17th in the league. Cleveland plays the 23rd easiest schedule this season according to our data which has our model projecting them to finish with more than 10-wins.
OTHER BROWNS BETTING OPTIONS:
· +390 to win the AFC North
· QB Deshaun Watson OVER 3,500 total passing yards -112 – Watson has threw for over 3,800 yards in three seasons when he played a minimum of 15 games in Houston.
ASA’s ACC Sleeper Team in 2026: Virginia Tech Hokies Prediction The ACC is deeper and more unbalanced than it used to be: 17 football programs, a new nine-game league slate for most of them, and several rebuilt staffs chasing the same bowl spots. Miami, Clemson, and SMU will get the preseason headlines. Virginia Tech is… Read more: ACC Virginia Tech Hokies Prediction 2026
Oklahoma State Cowboys 2026: Why ASA Picks OSU as the Big 12 Prediction Oklahoma State CowboysCollege football’s most chaotic conference is back with 16 teams, nine league games each, and plenty of room for a team nobody is talking about in August to wreck November. After a 1-11 collapse in 2025, the Oklahoma State Cowboys… Read more: Oklahoma State Cowboys 2026 Big 12 prediction
Minnesota Lynx Lead as WNBA Championship Odds-On Favorites Heading Into the Playoffs The 2026 WNBA regular season is in its final stretch. If you’re tracking the latest 2026 WNBA Championship Odds, all eight playoff teams are locked in, seeding remains fluid, and the championship futures market has a clear leader. The Minnesota Lynx sit as… Read more: 2026 WNBA Championship Odds:
College Football Home field advantage isn’t all the same. When it comes to college football handicapping, most bettors look at a team’s overall power rating and move on to the point spread. But there’s another question J’s Plays believes you should be asking: Where does that team perform best—at home or on the road? That… Read more: College Football Handicapping: Finding Value with Home & Road Ratings
2026 NFL Preseason Week 2 QB Rotations Preview: Projected Playing Time for Every Game. ASA gives you the edge with a quick look at what the projected QB rotations will be this week in the NFL preseason games. For those curious about all NFL Preseason Week 2 quarterback rotations, this post lays out the key… Read more: 2026 NFL Preseason Week 2 QB Rotations Preview: Projected Playing Time for Every Game
Here are the expected NFL QB rotations for today’s (Saturday, August 15, 2026) NFL Preseason Week 1 games. This overview focuses specifically on NFL preseason QB rotations for 2026 based on coach announcements, depth charts, and reports as of game day. Plans can change slightly with in-game decisions, but these reflect the latest expected order… Read more: NFL preseason QB Rotations – August 15th 2026
NFL HALL OF FAME GAME PREVIEW This NFL Hall of Fame Game Preview Cardinals vs Panthers will set the stage for an exciting matchup. These two teams face off in this celebrated preseason event. Arizona Cardinals vs. Carolina Panthers – August 6th 2026 Football is officially back. On Thursday, August 6, 2026, the NFL’s 107th… Read more: NFL Hall of Fame Game 2026 Preview: Cardinals vs Panthers Odds and Analysis
ASA’s ACC WIN TOTAL PROJECTIONS 2026 Regular Season Win Total Projections courtesy Draftkings: Boston College 3.5 California 6.5 Clemson 7.5 Duke 5.5 Florida State 6.5 Georgia Tech 6.5 Louisville 8.5 Miami FL 10.5 NC State 7.5 North Carolina 4.5 Pittsburgh 7.5 SMU 8.5 Stanford 3.5 Syracuse 4.5 Virginia 7.5 Virginia Tech 6.5 Wake Forest 5.5… Read more: ASA ACC Win Total Projections: Cal Under & Clemson Over
The race for the 2026 NFL MVP award is heating up early, with several young quarterbacks positioned for big seasons. Importantly, fans and bettors are already watching the shifting 2026 NFL MVP odds closely as the preseason unfolds. Joe Burrow leads the odds at +900 as the clear favorite. Meanwhile, Jordan Love sits in the… Read more: 2026 NFL MVP Odds: Joe Burrow Favored, Jordan Love Mid-Tier, Bo Nix Longshot Analysis
Wisconsin Badgers bounce back 2026 WISCONSIN BADGERS Big 10 Sleeper – The Badgers look to bounce back after failing to make a bowl game in each of the last 2 seasons after reaching the post-season every year since 2002 prior to that. As a result of improved play, they showed some life near the end… Read more: Wisconsin Badgers Big Ten 2026
ASA’s Nascar Cup race predictions for Sunday, August 6th 2023
FIREKEEPERS CASINO 400 – MICHIGAN
TOP 3 FINISH – #12 RYAN BLANEY – +$280 – We expect the #12 Ford and Blaney to be in contention for a win today in Michigan for several good reasons. A Ford has won on this track the last 8 races with Blaney capturing the Checkered flag in 2021. In last season’s race at Michigan Speedway Blaney finished 5th overall with Ford’s finishing with 3 cars in the top 5 overall. Blaney has four Top 3 finishes this season including a win in Charlotte earlier this season. The #12 is 6th overall on the season in laps led and this car has been especially fast with this specific tire setup this season. Our money is on Blaney to have a great race today.
TOP 10 FINISH – #12 RYAN BLANEY -$170 – We expect the #12 Ford and Blaney to be in contention for a win today in Michigan for several good reasons. A Ford has won on this track the last 8 races with Blaney capturing the Checkered flag in 2021. In last season’s race at Michigan Speedway Blaney finished 5th overall with Ford’s finishing with 3 cars in the top 5 overall. In the last four races on this track he has finished in the Top 10 three of four times. The #12 is 6th overall on the season in laps led and this car has been especially fast with this specific tire setup this season. Blaney has finished in the Top 10 in nearly half the races this season with ten.
TOP 10 FINISH – #20 Christopher Bell – -$180 – Bell in the Joe Gibb’s Toyota grabbed the pole for Sunday’s Cup race and is in a strong position for a Top 10 finish. Bell had a top speed of 193.282mpg in qualifying while covering the 2-mile track in just 37.232 seconds. Bell has been especially good at this track/car setup which was evident in the qualifier. Last year he started 2nd at Michigan Speedway, led for 31 laps but finished 26th after a wreck. In 22 races this season, Bell has finished Top 10 eleven times which is tied for 3rd most. He’s a bit of a chalk here but we like him in this scenario for a Top 10.
Ouch #Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights were favored by 30ish points tonight at home vs #UMass and they trail the Minutemen 24-7 at half! Massachusetts dominating with 251 total yards at half to just 108 for Rutgers. #CFBThursday
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