Tag: ASAwins

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NBA free bet | Grizzlies vs Kings | Nov 30 2025

ASAwins NBA Free bet: player prop – OVER 22.5 PTS+REBS+ASS – Santi Aldama – Grizzlies

Santi Aldama has been a consistent producer for the Memphis Grizzlies lately, averaging 28 minutes per game across his last 10 outings. That increased workload has fueled impressive stat lines, including 15.5 points, 7.0 rebounds, and 3.7 assists per game—good for a combined PRA average of 26.2, well above the 22.5 number today.

Aldama has cleared 22 combined points, rebounds, and assists in nine of those 10 games. His outlier performance came in a recent 137-96 rout of the Kings, where he went off for 29 points, five rebounds, and three assists in just 28 minutes. The Kings rank 8th in pace of play and are 26th in total defensive efficiency.

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NBA free bet today | Bulls vs Pelicans | Nov 24th 2025

ASA free bet today on Chicago @ New Orleans Under 242½ 

Our NBA model is projecting a total of 235.1, dragged down by NOP’s anemic 109.7 offensive efficiency (oEFF – bottom-5 league-wide) facing Chicago’s 118 dEFF. The Bulls are one of the faster paced teams in the NBA but the Pelicans are one of the slowest. Chicago has not been great offensively either this season ranking 19th in offensive efficiency. H2H last season produced totals of 232 and 234 —Pelicans’ injury-riddled roster will have a tough time putting up points in this one and the Bulls have a few key injuries as well. Bet UNDER.

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NFL Player Props | Nov 23 | Week 12

ASA’s NFL PLAYER PROPS for Sunday, November 23rd

Drake Maye Over 253.5 Passing Yards – New England Patriots

Maye is averaging 258 passing yards per game and surpassed that mark in eight of his eleven games in 2025. Moreover, the Patriots bout with the Bengals currently has the highest point total of the weekend (51.5) with Joe Burrow possibly making a return to action. The second-year QB is leading the league in passing yards and gets a mouthwatering matchup against the league’s second worst pass defense on Sunday. OC Josh McDaniels has unlocked Maye’s potential, making him into a deadly accurate thrower, illustrated by his league leading completion percentage. All signs point to the Patriots continued domination as Maye keeps working toward a potential MVP award. 

Jonathan Taylor Over 90.5 Rushing Yards – Indianapolis Colts

Arguably the most talented running back in the league, Taylor is having himself a historic season. He leads the league averaging six yards per carry while also having the most attempts per game, equating to nearly 114 rushing yards per contest. The elite volume and efficiency are eerily similar to Saquon Barkley’s season in 2024 where he ran for over 2,000 yards. Indianapolis travels to Arrowhead stadium to face the Chiefs stout run defense, ranking ninth in rushing yards allowed per game. However, with the way the Colts ground game has been bulldozing opponents, JT will be hard to contain. Taylor has surpassed this line in four of the last five games, and will look to do so again. 

Rome Odunze Over 48.5 Receiving Yards – Chicago Bears

Odunze has had a solid sophomore season averaging 60 ypg, while becoming the number one option in Ben Johnson’s passing scheme. Caleb Williams has improved drastically this year, relying on Odunze for chunk plays. In week 12, Pittsburgh brings their league worst passing defense to Chicago in a huge matchup between division leaders. One would think Williams will have free rein to air it out in a possible shootout vs city nemesis Aaron Rodgers. Odunze has a 24% target share in the Bears offense and this pass heavy outlook sets up perfect for their big body receiver. This line is very attainable given what we have seen from the former top ten pick out of Washington. 

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NBA Free Bets | Hawks vs Pelicans | Nov 22

ASA free NBA bet on Atlanta Hawks -8.5 at New Orleans Pelicans, 7PM ET

The Hawks have lost two straight and will look to bounce back in New Orleans against one of the worst teams in the NBA. The Pelicans have the 2nd worst overall efficiency differential at minus -13.3, only ahead of the Wizards. New Orleans has the 5th worst offensive efficiency at 1.101PPP and the 29th defensive efficiency allowing 1.243PPP. In comparison the Hawks are 14th in dEFF, 13th in oEFF. Atlanta lost at San Antonio on Thursday but had won 4 straight on the road in their most recent road trip. Two of those road wins were against similar teams to the Pels (Kings, Jazz) and both of those wins games by double-digits. Going into Friday night the Pelicans had lost 7 straight games 5 of which were at home, and all 5 came by more than this spread. New Orleans is 1-7 SU at home with a negative average point differential of minus -12ppg. Atlanta 7-3 SU on the road this season and also benefit from a scheduling advantage as the Pels played Friday night. 

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NHL free pick | Flyers vs Blues | Nov 20th

ASAwins NHL play on: Philadelphia Flyers -130 vs. St. Louis Blues – 7PM ET

The Flyers (9-6-3) welcome the struggling Blues (6-9-5) to Wells Fargo Center on Thursday night, and everything points to Philly cashing as -130 home favorites in a bounce-back spot. Scheduling is a massive edge: Philadelphia enters with three full days of rest after a 1-5 loss in Dallas on the 15th, while St. Louis is following an OT loss in Toronto on Tuesday —fatigue could hit hard against the Flyers’ high-tempo forecheck. Philly’s owned this matchup lately, ripping off three straight wins in the series, including a wild 6-5 shootout thriller on Nov. 14 in St. Louis where they outshot the Blues 31-17 despite the high score. The Flyers’ defense has been a brick wall league-wide, allowing just 2.83 goals per game (10th in NHL), compared to Buffalo’s leaky 3.84 GA/G (32nd-worst). Goaltending tilts Philly’s way too: Samuel Ersson (3-1-2, 3.30 GAA) gets the nod in net, backed by a unit that’s eigth-fewest in goals conceded (51 total), while Jordan Binnington (4-5-3, 3.34 GAA, .869 SV%) faces a Flyers attack that’s clicking at home (5-2-2). Computer models love the Orange and Black here (projected 4-2 final), and with the Blues ranking 30th in goals allowed, expect Philly to control and convert. NHL teams with 3+ days rest against an opponent on shorter rest hit at a 60% rate in 2024-25. Grab the Flyers ML at -130—puck drop 7 p.m. ET. 

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