NFL bet – POINT TRAIN WAGER Buffalo Bills @ Pittsburgh Steelers, Saturday 6:30PM EST
WAGER – BILLS 1ST HALF – ½ +105
RATING – Beer & Pizza money
· Bills head coach has publicly stated he plans to play his starters for more than a quarter, so we know what to expect early on from Buffalo.
· Buffalo head coach McDermott has a stellar preseason record of 12-5-1 ATS. He clearly has set a precedent for winning exhibition games.
· The Bills are again a contender to win it all in 2023-24 and have a deep roster. Buffalo was a top offensive and defensive team a season ago ranking 2nd in total yards per game and 7th in YPG allowed.
· Pittsburgh had solid defensive statistics a year ago ranking 12th in total DVOA but did give up 5.5 Yards Per Play which rank 20th.
· The Steelers offense was 18th in offensive DVOA overall and lacked explosiveness, ranking near the bottom of the league in Yards Per Play at 4.9 (27th).
·         We feel this game will be a tale of two halves with the Bills winning the first half and depending on how it plays out, we would consider a bet on the Steelers in the 2nd half. Pittsburgh has a better late game QB situation with Rudolph and Trubisky fighting for the second spot behind Pickett.
ASA COLLEGE FOOTBALL FREE PLAY ON Mississippi State -28.5 over UL Monroe, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET ULM is one of the worst programs in CFB with just 7 wins over FBS opponents in their last 3 seasons. They are just 37-81 SU over the last decade. Their spread record during that time is 48-68-2… Read more: College Football Free Play | September 5 2026
MLB Free play Milwaukee Brewers Run Line -160 over Cincinnati Reds, Friday at 6:10 PM ET The Brewers are off a loss and have won 5 of 7 when coming off a loss. They lost a tight one against the Cubs yesterday but now will take advantage of facing the Reds today. In matchups like today’s… Read more: MLB Free play Brewers vs Reds | Sept 4, 2026
Eastern Michigan (-9.5) over Sacramento St, Saturday at 6:30 PM ET Today’s college football free pick for Saturday, August 29th. Sacramento State makes the jump from FCS to FBS this season. It starts with a long road trip to Michigan. Speaking of long road trips. Sac St is now in the MAC. Therefore, long road… Read more: College Football Free Pick: Eastern Michigan vs Sacramento State
NFL FREE pick Giants vs Dolphins : #421 ASA FREE PLAY ON NY Giants -3 over Miami Dolphins, Saturday at 4 PM ET. For those looking for an nfl free pick Giants vs Dolphins, this matchup should be intriguing. Both of these teams lost their preseason openers and the offenses struggled. Miami was only able… Read more: NFL free bet | Giants at Dolphins | Aug 22 2026
LA Sparks +6.5 vs Washington Mystics free bet prediction, Saturday August 15th 7:30pm ET WNBA free bet today is the LA Sparks +6.5 against the Washington Mystics at 7:30pm ET. Here is my LA Sparks +6.5 vs Washington Mystics free bet prediction for tonight’s matchup. WNBA free bet today: LA Sparks +6.5 free bet vs… Read more: WNBA Free Bet Today: LA Sparks +6.5 vs Washington Mystics Prediction
Free pick – #969 Philadelphia Phillies (Wheeler) -110 over Toronto Blue Jays (Kikuchi) 6:07 PM CT
Enjoy this MLB free bet from Nelly today. The lack of production over the weekend for Philadelphia was shocking, scoring just one run Saturday and Sunday in losses at home following a run of ten straight games with at least four runs. The Phillies have still averaged 5.6 runs per game in August while +23 in scoring as this is an elite NL contender that has a chance to repeat as NL champions, even if will again have to come through a wild card path. Philadelphia is 40-22 since June 3 and Zack Wheeler remains one of the best pitchers in the NL. His FIP of 3.06 is the fourth best in all of MLB among qualified starters even if he isn’t getting much attention in the Cy Young race, after finishing second in 2021 for the award. Yusei Kikuchi is having his best MLB season, but his FIP is 4.52 compared to his 3.53 ERA as a lot has gone right. His home run rate remains very high and while his run of starts since the All-Star break has been excellent, it seems like a significant outlier stretch against his career numbers. The Blue Jays do have excellent relief pitching numbers in recent weeks, but the unit was taxed over the weekend getting only one start of six innings over the past four games. In the past 10 games Philadelphia has averaged 7.8 runs per nine while batting .277 vs. left-handers, while posting a 21-16 record on the season vs. left-handed starters as this should be a favorable matchup for the Phillies to deliver, after being shutdown by quality right-handers over the weekend. The Blue Jays are just 34-42 vs. winning teams this season as Toronto hasn’t looked like the serious contender most expected to see this season.Â
ASA COLLEGE FOOTBALL FREE PLAY ON Mississippi State -28.5 over UL Monroe, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET ULM is one of the worst programs in CFB with just 7 wins over FBS opponents in their last 3 seasons. They are just 37-81 SU over the last decade. Their spread record during that time is 48-68-2… Read more: College Football Free Play | September 5 2026
MLB Free play Milwaukee Brewers Run Line -160 over Cincinnati Reds, Friday at 6:10 PM ET The Brewers are off a loss and have won 5 of 7 when coming off a loss. They lost a tight one against the Cubs yesterday but now will take advantage of facing the Reds today. In matchups like today’s… Read more: MLB Free play Brewers vs Reds | Sept 4, 2026
Eastern Michigan (-9.5) over Sacramento St, Saturday at 6:30 PM ET Today’s college football free pick for Saturday, August 29th. Sacramento State makes the jump from FCS to FBS this season. It starts with a long road trip to Michigan. Speaking of long road trips. Sac St is now in the MAC. Therefore, long road… Read more: College Football Free Pick: Eastern Michigan vs Sacramento State
NFL FREE pick Giants vs Dolphins : #421 ASA FREE PLAY ON NY Giants -3 over Miami Dolphins, Saturday at 4 PM ET. For those looking for an nfl free pick Giants vs Dolphins, this matchup should be intriguing. Both of these teams lost their preseason openers and the offenses struggled. Miami was only able… Read more: NFL free bet | Giants at Dolphins | Aug 22 2026
LA Sparks +6.5 vs Washington Mystics free bet prediction, Saturday August 15th 7:30pm ET WNBA free bet today is the LA Sparks +6.5 against the Washington Mystics at 7:30pm ET. Here is my LA Sparks +6.5 vs Washington Mystics free bet prediction for tonight’s matchup. WNBA free bet today: LA Sparks +6.5 free bet vs… Read more: WNBA Free Bet Today: LA Sparks +6.5 vs Washington Mystics Prediction
TOP 3 FINISHER – Michael McDowell +$700 – This is tremendous value for the #34 Ford and McDowell who will start in the second row on today’s road course. McDowell has been one of the best in field when it comes to road courses and with the 3rd best driver rating, average running position and average finish. Front Row Motorsports easily had the best cars in the practice rounds with McDowell posting the fastest lap at 99.881mph. In the overall practice rounds the #34 was the best car on the track and we like McDowell’s chances for a Top 3 finish.
TOP 10 FINISHER – Michael McDowell -$115 – We are also planning on a small wager on the #34 car for a Top 10 finish.
ASA COLLEGE FOOTBALL FREE PLAY ON Mississippi State -28.5 over UL Monroe, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET ULM is one of the worst programs in CFB with just 7 wins over FBS opponents in their last 3 seasons. They are just 37-81 SU over the last decade. Their spread record during that time is 48-68-2… Read more: College Football Free Play | September 5 2026
MLB Free play Milwaukee Brewers Run Line -160 over Cincinnati Reds, Friday at 6:10 PM ET The Brewers are off a loss and have won 5 of 7 when coming off a loss. They lost a tight one against the Cubs yesterday but now will take advantage of facing the Reds today. In matchups like today’s… Read more: MLB Free play Brewers vs Reds | Sept 4, 2026
Eastern Michigan (-9.5) over Sacramento St, Saturday at 6:30 PM ET Today’s college football free pick for Saturday, August 29th. Sacramento State makes the jump from FCS to FBS this season. It starts with a long road trip to Michigan. Speaking of long road trips. Sac St is now in the MAC. Therefore, long road… Read more: College Football Free Pick: Eastern Michigan vs Sacramento State
NFL FREE pick Giants vs Dolphins : #421 ASA FREE PLAY ON NY Giants -3 over Miami Dolphins, Saturday at 4 PM ET. For those looking for an nfl free pick Giants vs Dolphins, this matchup should be intriguing. Both of these teams lost their preseason openers and the offenses struggled. Miami was only able… Read more: NFL free bet | Giants at Dolphins | Aug 22 2026
LA Sparks +6.5 vs Washington Mystics free bet prediction, Saturday August 15th 7:30pm ET WNBA free bet today is the LA Sparks +6.5 against the Washington Mystics at 7:30pm ET. Here is my LA Sparks +6.5 vs Washington Mystics free bet prediction for tonight’s matchup. WNBA free bet today: LA Sparks +6.5 free bet vs… Read more: WNBA Free Bet Today: LA Sparks +6.5 vs Washington Mystics Prediction
NFL preseason Quarterback rotations by teams – by Point Train Consultants
If you are going to bet the preseason you better know who’s playing QB for both teams involved in the contest. It’s not always about the #1’s and how many reps the starters are going to get. You will also want to familiarize yourself with the 2nd and 3rd-stringer and how much playing time they are scheduled to get. Concerning all positions on the field, starters for each team will play early on, most importantly the offensive line if a starting quarterback is under center. Later in games when you have backups on the field, an athletic QB that can scramble and make plays with his feet becomes a valuable asset when wagering on exhibition games. Another important factor to give you an edge may be the experience of the reserve QB’s or if it’s an open competition for the starting job. A few teams that stand out to us with strong quarterback rotations include: Ravens, Eagles, Steelers, Colts and 49ers.
It’s not always as important who the starting QB may be for the NFLx, but who finishes the game. Spend some time researching the backup QB’s and looking at local newspaper feeds for hints on how much each quarterback is expected to play. Another solid wagering strategy in preseason using this philosophy is second-half wagering so keep that in mind also.
This is just one tool to use when it comes to handicapping the preseason and we hope it helps you make a few extra bucks before the real season starts.
AFC East
Bills: Josh Allen, Kyle Allen, Matt Barkley
Dolphins: Tua Tagovailoa, Mike White, Skylar Thompson, James Blackman
Patriots: Mac Jones, Bailey Zappe, Trace McSorley, Malik Cunningham
Jets: Aaron Rodgers, Zach Wilson, Tim Boyle, Chris Streveler
AFC North
Bengals: Joe Burrow, Trevor Siemian, Jake Browning, Reid Sinnett
Browns: Deshaun Watson, Joshua Dobbs, Dorian Thompson-Robinson, Kellen Mond
Ravens: Lamar Jackson, Tyler Huntley, Josh Johnson, Anthony Brown
Steelers: Kenny Pickett, Mitchell Trubisky, Mason Rudolph, Tanner Morgan
AFC South
Colts: Anthony Richardson, Gardner Minshew, Sam Ehlinger
ASA’s ACC Sleeper Team in 2026: Virginia Tech Hokies Prediction The ACC is deeper and more unbalanced than it used to be: 17 football programs, a new nine-game league slate for most of them, and several rebuilt staffs chasing the same bowl spots. Miami, Clemson, and SMU will get the preseason headlines. Virginia Tech is… Read more: ACC Virginia Tech Hokies Prediction 2026
Oklahoma State Cowboys 2026: Why ASA Picks OSU as the Big 12 Prediction Oklahoma State CowboysCollege football’s most chaotic conference is back with 16 teams, nine league games each, and plenty of room for a team nobody is talking about in August to wreck November. After a 1-11 collapse in 2025, the Oklahoma State Cowboys… Read more: Oklahoma State Cowboys 2026 Big 12 prediction
Minnesota Lynx Lead as WNBA Championship Odds-On Favorites Heading Into the Playoffs The 2026 WNBA regular season is in its final stretch. If you’re tracking the latest 2026 WNBA Championship Odds, all eight playoff teams are locked in, seeding remains fluid, and the championship futures market has a clear leader. The Minnesota Lynx sit as… Read more: 2026 WNBA Championship Odds:
College Football Home field advantage isn’t all the same. When it comes to college football handicapping, most bettors look at a team’s overall power rating and move on to the point spread. But there’s another question J’s Plays believes you should be asking: Where does that team perform best—at home or on the road? That… Read more: College Football Handicapping: Finding Value with Home & Road Ratings
2026 NFL Preseason Week 2 QB Rotations Preview: Projected Playing Time for Every Game. ASA gives you the edge with a quick look at what the projected QB rotations will be this week in the NFL preseason games. For those curious about all NFL Preseason Week 2 quarterback rotations, this post lays out the key… Read more: 2026 NFL Preseason Week 2 QB Rotations Preview: Projected Playing Time for Every Game
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The Green Sheet is a weekly football newsletter with predictions each week - covering the entire NFL schedule and the majority of the college schedule. Key selections are isolated each week along with over/under Game of the Week releases. The newsletter will generally be sent out on Wednesday afternoons each
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Clearly the big offseason acquisition by the Jets was QB Aaron Rodgers which has New York in a frenzy and anointed as a Super Bowl contender. The reality is that this team had a win total a year ago of 5.5 which they surpassed with 7 wins in 2022-23. Of those 7 wins a year ago, only three came against a team that finished the regular season with a winning record. New York was VERY good defensively a season ago finishing 5th in total DVOA after facing eleven teams that ranked in the top half of the league in offensive DVOA. Rodgers numbers fell off last season in Green Bay with his worst career QBR of 39.3 and his lowest total passing yards in a season going back to 2013. His 6.8- yards per pass attempt was his second lowest average going back to 2006 and he threw 12 INT’s which is the second most of his career. We also can’t ignore Rodger’s age (39) and let’s face it; the Jets are one play away from having Zach Wilson as their starting QB. The biggest factor that will impact the Jets season is their schedule which is one of, if not the toughest in the NFL. New York must face the rest of the AFC East twice along with the AFC West and NFC East. They also get the Browns, Falcons and Texans who will be better this season than they were a year ago. The value in the number has us on the UNDER here.
OTHER JETS BETTING OPTIONS:
· Jets to NOT make the Playoffs +110
· RB Breece Hall OVER 5.5 RUSHING TOUCHDOWNS – *Only if Dalvin Cook is NOT added to the Jets roster* – Hall had 4 rushing TD’s a season ago in only 7 games. NY will employ a West Coast offense that features a strong rushing philosophy.
ASA’s ACC Sleeper Team in 2026: Virginia Tech Hokies Prediction The ACC is deeper and more unbalanced than it used to be: 17 football programs, a new nine-game league slate for most of them, and several rebuilt staffs chasing the same bowl spots. Miami, Clemson, and SMU will get the preseason headlines. Virginia Tech is… Read more: ACC Virginia Tech Hokies Prediction 2026
Oklahoma State Cowboys 2026: Why ASA Picks OSU as the Big 12 Prediction Oklahoma State CowboysCollege football’s most chaotic conference is back with 16 teams, nine league games each, and plenty of room for a team nobody is talking about in August to wreck November. After a 1-11 collapse in 2025, the Oklahoma State Cowboys… Read more: Oklahoma State Cowboys 2026 Big 12 prediction
Minnesota Lynx Lead as WNBA Championship Odds-On Favorites Heading Into the Playoffs The 2026 WNBA regular season is in its final stretch. If you’re tracking the latest 2026 WNBA Championship Odds, all eight playoff teams are locked in, seeding remains fluid, and the championship futures market has a clear leader. The Minnesota Lynx sit as… Read more: 2026 WNBA Championship Odds:
College Football Home field advantage isn’t all the same. When it comes to college football handicapping, most bettors look at a team’s overall power rating and move on to the point spread. But there’s another question J’s Plays believes you should be asking: Where does that team perform best—at home or on the road? That… Read more: College Football Handicapping: Finding Value with Home & Road Ratings
2026 NFL Preseason Week 2 QB Rotations Preview: Projected Playing Time for Every Game. ASA gives you the edge with a quick look at what the projected QB rotations will be this week in the NFL preseason games. For those curious about all NFL Preseason Week 2 quarterback rotations, this post lays out the key… Read more: 2026 NFL Preseason Week 2 QB Rotations Preview: Projected Playing Time for Every Game
Here are the expected NFL QB rotations for today’s (Saturday, August 15, 2026) NFL Preseason Week 1 games. This overview focuses specifically on NFL preseason QB rotations for 2026 based on coach announcements, depth charts, and reports as of game day. Plans can change slightly with in-game decisions, but these reflect the latest expected order… Read more: NFL preseason QB Rotations – August 15th 2026
NFL HALL OF FAME GAME PREVIEW This NFL Hall of Fame Game Preview Cardinals vs Panthers will set the stage for an exciting matchup. These two teams face off in this celebrated preseason event. Arizona Cardinals vs. Carolina Panthers – August 6th 2026 Football is officially back. On Thursday, August 6, 2026, the NFL’s 107th… Read more: NFL Hall of Fame Game 2026 Preview: Cardinals vs Panthers Odds and Analysis
ASA’s ACC WIN TOTAL PROJECTIONS 2026 Regular Season Win Total Projections courtesy Draftkings: Boston College 3.5 California 6.5 Clemson 7.5 Duke 5.5 Florida State 6.5 Georgia Tech 6.5 Louisville 8.5 Miami FL 10.5 NC State 7.5 North Carolina 4.5 Pittsburgh 7.5 SMU 8.5 Stanford 3.5 Syracuse 4.5 Virginia 7.5 Virginia Tech 6.5 Wake Forest 5.5… Read more: ASA ACC Win Total Projections: Cal Under & Clemson Over
The race for the 2026 NFL MVP award is heating up early, with several young quarterbacks positioned for big seasons. Importantly, fans and bettors are already watching the shifting 2026 NFL MVP odds closely as the preseason unfolds. Joe Burrow leads the odds at +900 as the clear favorite. Meanwhile, Jordan Love sits in the… Read more: 2026 NFL MVP Odds: Joe Burrow Favored, Jordan Love Mid-Tier, Bo Nix Longshot Analysis
Wisconsin Badgers bounce back 2026 WISCONSIN BADGERS Big 10 Sleeper – The Badgers look to bounce back after failing to make a bowl game in each of the last 2 seasons after reaching the post-season every year since 2002 prior to that. As a result of improved play, they showed some life near the end… Read more: Wisconsin Badgers Big Ten 2026
Ouch #Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights were favored by 30ish points tonight at home vs #UMass and they trail the Minutemen 24-7 at half! Massachusetts dominating with 251 total yards at half to just 108 for Rutgers. #CFBThursday
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