*action on pitchers* MLB Monday Free Pick OVER 8.5 in Kansas City Royals vs Texas Rangers @ 8:10 ET – The Rangers should hammer a struggling Bubic. I like overs in spots like this when it is the road team with the better pitcher on the mound because usually the home team is destined to get their runs regardless. At the same time the road team should pound at the plate when they face a struggling pitcher even though they are away from home and that is the set up we have here. Bubic is 0-3 with a 7.78 ERA at home this season. As strong as Perez has been for Texas this season, he has allowed 20 hits in 12 innings in his last two road starts. More of the same here. The Royals have scored an average of 6 runs per game last 7 home games. The Rangers have scored an average of 7 runs per game last 6 road games. Free Pick OVER 8.5 in Kansas City .
*action on pitchers* Scott “The Bulldog” Rickenbach MLB Friday Free Pick Milwaukee Brewers +105 @ Cincinnati Reds @ 6:40 ET – I know the Brewers have been struggling but this is a great value spot for them in my opinion. Milwaukee is scheduled to start Eric Lauer and he has better numbers on the season than Hunter Greene. I know Greene has perhaps deserved better but still he gives up the big hits when it matters the most and that is why he has the higher ERA. Also, regardless of starting pitchers here, note all the support for the road team in this one. Milwaukee is 19-11 in divisional games and 25-17 versus right-handers. Cincinnati is 10-13 in divisional games and 7-11 versus lefties. Also, Reds are 13-24 in night games while Brewers are 22-18 in night games this season. Solid line value with the road team at a pick’em price. Free Pick MILWAUKEE -105.
ASA play on OVER 221.5 LA Lakers @ Golden State Warriors, 10PM ET
Hasta la vista Lakers! This roster was put together by LeBron and was destined to fail right from the start. Los Angeles will miss the playoffs and will have to make major moves in the offseason if they expect to compete next season. Was it a coincidence that LeBron sat several games down the stretch against good defensive teams and when his team was in dire need of him to make the playoffs? He needs to play in the final three games to be eligible for the scoring title so I’d be surprised if he doesn’t play here. The Lakers are 12th in scoring at 111.6PPG and 7th in overall FG% offense and if they get to 110 or more this game goes Over. A big reason why will be the points the Warriors put up. Golden State is still playing for a better playoff position, so we know what kind of effort we’ll get from them. The Warriors should score plenty here against a Lakers defense that is 26th in points allowed, 22nd in FG% defense and 16th in defending the 3. The Lakers have allowed 1.230-points per possession in their last five games and 122.9PPG. The Warriors are 10th in both overall FG% and 3PT%. The three meetings this season between these two teams has ended with 240, 232 and 235 total points. More of the same here.
Rickenbach NHL Free Pick Philadelphia +115 @ Columbus @ 7:05 ET – Flyers Martin Jones has allowed 3 or less goal in 6 of his last 8 starts. He is coming off a strong effort against the Rangers. In those 6 solid efforts he has allowed only 2.3 goals per start! Philadelphia has revenge from a home loss to the Blue Jackets Tuesday and I look for them to return the favor here by knocking off the Jackets in Columbus. To me this line looks a little funny with the home team a small favorite. Don’t let the number fool you. Priced this way because the road dog gets revenge against a Blue Jackets team that had lost 7 in a row before beating the Flyers Tuesday. Payback! Free Pick PHILADELPHIA +115
ASA free pick Friday – #863 Akron -4 @ Miami OH, 7PM ET – Akron looks to keep pace with Toledo who leads the MAC as of this writing with an 11-2 overall record with Akron right behind them at 9-3. Miami OH is currently 6th and fading fast with a 1-3 SU record their last four games with the only win coming against 4-11 overall Western Michigan. The Redhawks own a negative scoring differential of minus -9.2PPG in that four-game stretch. The Zips come into this contest on a 5 game winning streak with a +12PPG scoring differential average in those five contests. They’ve held their last five opponents to just 40.8% shooting. Akron has one of the best players in the MAC on their roster in Loren Christian Jackson who is averaging 21.3PPG and 6.6APG. The Zips should score at will here against a Redhawks team that is 9th in the conference in defensive efficiency allowing 1.091PPP and 9th in EFG% defense allowing 54.1%. Akron ranks in the top five offensively is the same categories and have the second-best defensive efficiency rating and EFG% defense. Toledo was favored by 4-points on this floor earlier this season and won by 9-points. The Rockets though were covering the spread in that game for 90% of the minutes played. We will lean towards the Zips in this game and predict a 7-10-point win.
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