Tag: American Sports Analysts

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NBA Player Prop – Jrue Holiday – Milwaukee Bucks

ASA MEGA 32-13 NBA PROP RECORD!

ASA play on: OVER 24.5 POINTS+ASSISTS – Jrue Holiday – Milwaukee Bucks

The Magic are one of the worst teams in the NBA defending PG’s as they allow an average of 25PPG and 9.0APG. Holiday has shot it well in his last two games hitting 55% and 47.4% in his last two games. He also totaled 27 and 37 points+assists in his last two outings. On the season his points+assists average is 25.71. This is a great matchup for Holiday and we expect a stat-stuffing night from Holiday.

ASA play on: OVER 1.5 MADE 3PTS – Jrue Holiday – Milwaukee Bucks

The Magic are one of the worst teams in the NBA defending PG’s as they allow an average of 25PPG and 3.2 made 3-pointers per game. Holiday has made 10 3-pointers in the Bucks last three games and averages 2.18 makes per game this season. Holiday has shot it well the last two games and we see that trend continuing here.

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NBA Player Prop Nov 29th

ASA NBA PLAYER PROP 27-10 YTD RECORD

ASA player prop OVER 16.5 POINTS Andrew Wiggins – Golden State Warriors

The Dallas Mavericks are one of the best defensive teams in the league when it comes to Point Guards and Shooting Guards. Where they are not good defensively is when it comes to Shooting Forwards such as Wiggins. The Mavs allow the 8th most points to SF’s this season at 21.9PPG. In the last two weeks they are 3rd worst, giving up 24PPG. In Wiggins last three games he as scored 31, 20 and 17-points. In his last ten games he has averaged 18PPG, on the season he scores 19PPG. He has failed to score 16 or more points just two times in his last ten games, once against the Suns and versus the Spurs. The Suns are one of the best teams in the league defending SF’s and he barely played against the Spurs in a blowout. With all the focus on Curry and Thompson we expect a big game from Wiggins.

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NBA Free Bet – Player Prop – Nov 21

ASA player prop: OVER 23.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS Evan Mobley – Cleveland Cavaliers

Nobody in the NBA gives up more combined points and rebounds to power forwards than the Atlanta Hawks at 36PPG/RPG. Mobley should have a big game here scoring and rebounding considering the Hawks are 26th in the league in defensive rebound rate and rank 20th in points per game allowed. Mobley is averaging 23.81 Pts+Rebs per game this season and 25.0 in his last ten. He has totaled 22 or more points+rebounds in 6 of his last seven games.

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Liberty vs Virginia Tech prediction – By ASA

#338 ASA PLAY ON Liberty -9.5 over Virginia Tech, Saturday at 12 PM ET

Liberty is off a bad loss last week, just their 2nd loss of the season, @ UConn. The Flames lost that game 36-33 but outgained the Huskies by 156 yards. The situational spot was terrible for Liberty so we’re not surprised they weren’t at the top of their game. They had beaten Arkansas on the road a week earlier and had this huge home game vs a Power 5 team on deck. On top of that, UConn was playing for bowl eligibility in their final home game of the season and with the win the Huskies will play in the postseason for the first time since 2015. The “want to” in that game was heavily in favor of Connecticut. Not the case here with Liberty playing their final home game vs a name opponent. Va Tech has one of their worst teams in recent history with a 2-8 record. They are on the road here with absolutely nothing to play for and a home game on deck vs their arch rival Virginia. The Hokies were rolled 24-7 @ Duke last week getting outgained by 150 yards and have now lost 7 straight games. They’ve been outgained by over 1,100 yards in those 7 games and we have a feeling this team playing a meaningless non-conference game this late in the season may have tanked it. VT is 0-5 SU on the road this season (1-4 ATS) losing those games by an average of 2 TD’s. Their offense ranks outside the top 100 in total offense, rushing offense, and scoring offense. They’re facing a Liberty defense that ranks 30th nationally and has held a few potent offenses in check including allowing 19 points to Arkansas and 14 points to BYU. We’ll lay it with the much more motivated team playing one of the big boys in their own state.

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NBA MVP Winners and Losers – Nov 18th

ASA NBA Future MVP wagers as of Nov 18th.

If you are a bettor that likes to invest in NBA futures here are a couple wagers to consider for league MVP. We are sticking with a pair of our preseason predictions but have added another based on early season results.

Giannis Antetokounmpo +$250

Before the season started, we predicted Giannis Antetokounmpo as the NBA league MVP at +$250. Giannis is putting up 29.9PPG, 11.8RPG, 5.5APG with a PER rating of 29.14. In order he ranks 8th, 2nd, 29th and 6th in those four key categories. Milwaukee holds the 2nd best record in the Eastern Conference at 11-3. The Greek Freak is quietly putting up numbers similar to his 2019 and 2020 season when he won back-to-back MVP’s.

Ja Morant +$1400

We also like a long shot early on with Ja Morant who is now listed at +1400. We still like Morant who is 9th in scoring at 29.3PPG while also averaging 6.8-Assists Per Game (14th) and 6.2-Rebounds Per Game (60th) with a PER of 26.19 (10th). Memphis has dealt with a number of key injuries early on but have still managed a 9-6 record. For Morant to win though he will have to improve on his assists per game and Memphis will need to finish as one of the top teams in the West.

Jayson Tatum $+550

New to the table is Jason Tatum who has led the Celtics to a 12-3 record and the best team +/- in the league at +7.1PPG. We won’t be surprised if Boston finishes first in the East again and if that’s the case, Tatum will be high on the voter’s radar. Tatum has the 7th best PER at 27.50, is 5th in scoring at 31.1PPG, is grabbing 7.4 Boards Per Game (40th) and is dishing out 4.1APG which ranks 50th. What makes Tatum as an attractive option right now is the fact that his team is deep and defenses can’t key on him. Boston spaces the floor with shooters at every position and they make shots at a 48.8% which is 3rd in the NBA. That means additional assist per game for Tatum even if he isn’t scoring as much.

HONORABLE MENTION – Shai Gilgeous-Alexander – SGA won’t win MVP this season because he’s on a losing team in the Thunder but he’s put up incredible numbers to start the season and is worth mentioning. Gilgeous-Alexander is scoring 32.3PPG, grabbing 4.5RPG and dishing out 5.9APG. His PER rating is 30.10 which is 3rd best in the NBA.

Here is our elimination list or players I would avoid investing in: #1 on the list is Zion Williamson. Who in their right mind would invest in this “china doll” who can’t stay healthy? Yes, he can be a stat-sheet stuffer but there is no chance he wins MVP playing limited games this season. #2 Nikola Jokic. Jokic has won it the past two seasons which and it’s unlikely we would see a three-year run from the media. He also has Jamal Murray and Michael Porter Jr. back from injury and both cut into his scoring numbers.

Top 25 Current MVP odds

NBA 2023 MVP WINNER ODDS
  
PlayerOdds
Luka Doncic250
Giannis Antetokounmpo260
Jayson Tatum550
Stephen Curry1100
Joel Embiid1200
Ja Morant1400
Donovan Mitchell2000
Kevin Durant2200
Nikola Jokic3000
Devin Booker4000
Trae Young5000
Damian Lillard5000
Zion Williamson5000
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander7000
Pascal Siakam7000
DeMar DeRozan10000
Jimmy Butler15000
James Harden15000
Paul George20000
Jaylen Brown25000
Lauri Markkanen25000
De’Aaron Fox25000
LeBron James25000

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