Author: Lee Kostroski

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March Madness East Region picks | Duke Blue Devils Free Pick

NCAA Tournament 2025 EAST REGION

ASA NCAA free betting tips East Region: PLAY DUKE -130 to win the East Region

Duke has the highest “combo” rank of any team  in the country sitting at 3rd in offensive efficiency and 4th in defensive efficiency. 

They have multiple NBA players on their team including future #1 pick Cooper Flagg.  We need to keep a close eye on his injury situation (sprained ankle) but from what we’re hearing he may sit in their opening round game just to be safe and should be good to go after that. 

Our only fear here is they play in the ACC which simply wasn’t a great conference this year.  The Devils have a strength of schedule rank of just 56th which is the lowest of any team that has a top 4 seed with the exception of St Johns. 

However, they’ve already beaten #1 overall seed Auburn and 17 of their 19 ACC regular season wins were by double digits.  They are easily the best team in this region and we’ll take the Blue Devils to win the East even though we’re laying a little juice. 

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NHL free pick | Senators vs Canadians prediction | March 18 2025

ASA NHLfree pick on OVER 5.5 GOALS Ottawa Senators at Montreal Canadians, 7:07pm ET

For the Ottawa Senators, through 66 games, they’ve scored 194 goals and allowed 185 goals or 2.94 GF/GP and 2.80 GA/GP. For the Montreal Canadiens, through 66 games, they’ve scored 195 goals and allowed 214 goals: 2.95 GF/GP and 3.24 GA/GP.

In a head-to-head scenario, we typically model it as each team’s offense versus the other’s defense and factor in the efficiency rates for both teams. In this matchup our model is projecting 5.88 total goals being scored.

These two teams have met twice already this season with the Canadians winning both 4-1 and 5-2. In the last eight meetings one of the two teams has scored 4+ goals and all eight have finished with 5 or more total goals being scored.

Ottawa has played in three straight higher scoring games with 7, 8 and 6 total goals being scored. Montreal’s last three games have finished with 4, 9 and 6 total goals. Bet this Senators vs Canadians prediction OVER the total as today’s NHL free pick.

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NHL Free Bet | Lightning vs Bruins | March 14th 2025

ASA NHL Free play on OVER 5.5 GOALS Tampa Bay at Boston – 7:07pm ET

Boston has scored 3 or more goals in 4 of their last five games and they’ve allowed 6 goals in 2 of their last five. Tampa Bay has had some issues defensively allowing 4 or more goals in four straight games. The Lightning have also produced 3 or more goals in 3 of their last five and put up 6 goals twice. Tampa Bay is 2nd in the NHL in Goals for per game at 3.49, Boston is 25th a 2.72. Boston is allowing 3.15 goals against, the Lightning allow 2.69. Both teams rank in the bottom half of the league is shots against so both should get plenty of opportunities to put shots on goal. In the last seven head-to-head meetings one of the two teams has scored 3 goals. In the last three meetings one team has put up 4 or more goals.  We are betting 6 or more goals get scored in this one.

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NHL Free Bet | Red Wings vs Sabres | March 12th 2025

ASA NHL Free Bet on Detroit Red Wings -135 vs. Buffalo Sabres, 7:35pm ET

The Red Wings are in a desperate situation here coming off 6 straight losses and slipping to 12th in the Eastern Conference. Five of those six losses are excusable as they came to good teams above them in the standings.

Tonight they face a Buffalo team that is 25-32 SU on the season, the 4th fewest wins on the year. Buffalo won the first meeting of the season between these two teams but the Wings have won the last two 2-1 and 6-5 in a shootout.

Detroit has a clear advantage defensively allowing 3.19 goals against compared to the Sabres who rank 30th in GA/G at 3.48. Buffalo has struggled on the road with a 9-18-3 SU record away from home and are coming off a big home win over Edmonton on Monday night.

In Detroit’s most recent loss they peppered Ottawa goaltender Ullmark with 49 shots but were unlucky producing just one goal.

We expect the offense to have another high-volume of shot attempts tonight which will lead to a solid home win and snap this losing streak. NHL Free bet on Detroit Red Wings

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NBA Player Prop Bet | LeBron James | Pelicans vs Lakers prediction

ASA NBA Free Player prop bet – LEBRON JAMES UNDER 42.5 POINTS+ASS+REBOUNDS

This could easily be a load management game for LeBron who is averaging over 34 minutes per game this season. The Lakers have a much bigger slate of games looming against the Knicks and Celtics so we estimate LeBron to play 30-33 minutes tonight against the Pelicans. In this minutes range LeBron is 6-2 UNDER tonight’s prop number of 42.5. Granted, the Pelicans are terrible defensively but if the Lakers do jump out big early don’t expect to see LeBron in the lineup late in the game. In the only meeting between these two teams this season, LeBron totaled 33 Pts+Rebs+Ass. Today’s NBA player prop bet is UNDER LeBron James Points+Rebounds+Assists.

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