Author: Lee Kostroski

ASAwins NFL Player Prop Picks for Sunday, October 5th 2025

Eagles RB Saquon Barkley OVER 12.5 Receiving Yards

The Bronco’s defense is elite, but they struggle in one area and that’s opposing running backs in the passing game out of the backfield. Every lead back the Broncos have faced this season has eclipsed their receiving total for the game. Titans Pollard (29), Bengals Brown (31), Chargers Hampton (59) and Colts Taylor 50 have all cashed this prop bet against the Broncos. Denver gives up the 23^rd most receiving yards to running backs on the season. Barkley has been OVER this stat line in 2 of four games this season with an average of 17.5 receiving yards per game. Barkley should see at least 4 targets in this game and needs just one decent play to get OVER this number.

Jets RB Breece Hall OVER 67.5 Rushing Yards

The Cowboys rank 20^th rushing YPG allowed per game at 123.3 and 29^th in opponents rush attempts per game at 31. The Jets rush play percentage if 6^th most in the NFL and they average 5.2 yards per rush with is 3^rd most in the NFL. They also average 144.5 rushing yards per game (3^rd). Hall should see a dramatic increase in usage in this game with the recent injury to Braelon Allen against Miami last week. Hall had two big games against the Steelers and Dolphins with 188 total rushing yards in those two games combined and is more than capable of putting up 90+ rushing yards in this game against this Cowboys defense.

Jets WR Garrett Wilson Over 63.5 Receiving Yards

This is a mouth watering game for Wilson as he faces a Dallas defense that is giving up a league worst (by far) 297 passing yards per game. Not only does Dallas have the worst defense in the league, but they also have the best offense in football, allowing for a potential monster game for the Jets offense. Wilson has had over 80 receiving yards in three of four games, now getting the best matchup of the season. For an uber talented player, who is currently sixth overall in receiving yards, and soaking up a 36% target share in the offense, this line seems extremely attainable. As long as Justin Fields can continue to distribute the football at an average level, expect Wilson to smash his yardage total. 

Giants RB Cam Skattebo Over 66.5 Rush Yards

Skattebo has become a fan favorite in The Big Apple since taking over for the injured Tyrone Tracy. He received 25 carries last week, playing an integral part in handing the Chargers their first loss of the season. Tracy is likely out once again while the Giants head to New Orleans to face the winless Saints. With a big workload coming his way, as well as the Saints giving up 119 yards per game on the ground, Skattebo is primed for another big week. His rush attempt total is set at 17.5 and even if he is slightly inefficient with his touches, he should still be able to headbash his way over the yardage total. The Giants offense has new life with rookie quarterback Jaxson Dart playing behind a healthy left tackle Andrew Thomas.    

Patriots QB Drake Maye Over 27.5 Rush Yards

In 2024, Maye averaged just over 37 rushing yards in the games that he started and played fully. He is a willing runner when the play breaks down and very athletic at 6’4 225. Negative game scripts were a big reason he was forced to use his legs last year. The Patriots only won three games with Maye under center, while getting blown out in a good amount of their losses. In week 5, expect New England to once again be in a negative script, or at the very least, need Maye to utilize his legs to keep up with the undefeated Bills. The second-year QB has surpassed 30 rushing yards in two of the first four games with a chance to showcase his talent on national television during Sunday Night Football.