#263 ASA NFL FREE today on: Tennessee Titans +7.5 over Houston Texans, Sunday at 1 PM ET
Really tough ask for Houston to win this rivalry game by more than a TD when they simply struggle to score points.
The Texans rank dead last in the NFL in scoring averaging 12.7 PPG putting up 9, 10 and 19 points in their 3 games this season. The Texans are 0-3 ATS losing by an average of 4 PPG to the number.
Tennessee hasn’t been great offensively but they have scored at least 19 points in 2 of their 3 games and that should get it done here. In those 2 games the Titans faced the LA Rams and Indianapolis, 2 of the top 5 offenses in the NFL, and couldn’t keep up despite scoring 19 and 20 points.
That shouldn’t be a case here facing a Houston team that is averaging just 267 YPG (29th), ranks dead last in 3rd down conversion rate at 24% and scores only 1 point for every 21 yards gained (31st).
This AFC South rivalry has been closely contested with 9 of the last 10 decided by single digits and the dog has covered 7 of the last 9.
If we can get 2 TD’s from Tennessee, that just might be enough to get this cover in what is expected to be a low scoring game (lowest total on the board at 39) Take the points with the Titans as ASA’s NFL free bet today.
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