ASA free play Oct 2nd
@Kansas State +12.5 over Oklahoma, 3:30PM ET
This Oklahoma team has not looked like the Sooners of old and are over-valued here. OU put up gaudy numbers against a pair of bad defenses of Tulane and Western Carolina but didn’t against quality defenses of Nebraska and West Virginia. Last week the Sooners averaged just 4.8 Yards per Play vs. W.V. and 5.8YPPL the week before against Nebraska. Last year OU averaged 6.6YPPL which was 11th best in the nation. The Wildcats allow just 5.2YPPL defensively which ranks 52nd in the nation. OU is 1-3 ATS this season with a net spread differential of minus -8.1PPG versus the spread. Conversely, KSU is 2-2 ATS with a +5.8 average spread covering differential. K-State was just +6 at Oklahoma State who is playing well and are now +12.5 at home against a similar OU team? Kansas State is 9-3 ATS their last 12 as a home dog with a + net scoring differential. OU is just 5-6-1 ATS as a road favorite since 2018. OU may get caught looking ahead to next weeks game versus Texas. Grab the points.
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