Tag: wnba daily picks

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WNBA Free Bet | Mercury at Storm | June 4th 2024

ASA’s WNBA play on OVER 166.5 Phoenix Mercury at Seattle Storm, 10PM ET

The Storm are the much better team when it comes to defense, ranking 3rd in defensive efficiency versus a Mercury team that ranks 11th. Offensively both teams average over 1.000-points per possession with the Storm averaging 84.5PPG, the Mercury score 80.4PPG.

A big influence for the Over wager on this game will be the pace of play as the Storm are the 2nd fastest paced team in the WNBA at 80.2 possessions per game, the Mercury are 3rd at 80.

Phoenix scores the majority of their points from beyond the 3-point line with 38.1 3PA per game, most in the league. Seattle does their offensive damage from inside the Arc with the 5th best 2PT% in the WNBA and also crash the O-boards hard with the 4th most OREB per game at 12.2. The Mercury allow 84.4PPG on the season, the Storm allow 80.3PPG.

The pace of play should be frenetic and the added scoring opportunities for both teams will make this a very high scoring game.  

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WNBA Free Bet | June 2nd, 2024 | Liberty vs Fever

ASA Free WNBA bet on New York Liberty -14.5 vs Indiana Fever, 7PM ET

The Fever are in a tough scheduling situation here after playing a physical game yesterday against the Sky. Indiana won 71-70 and are now playing the second leg of a back-to-back and 3rd game in four days. Indiana has played one of, if not the toughest schedule thus far in the league and were in this same situation a few weeks ago in Vegas. They lost that game by 19-points. New York is rested and playing their last home game before a 3-game road trip. The Liberty have the 3rd best Net Differential in the WNBA at +8.4 with the 3rd best ONR and 4th best DNR. This will be the 3rd meeting of the season for these two teams with the Liberty winning by 36 and 11 -points already. In the most recent clash, the Liberty were favored by -13-points and the Fever weren’t in this horrible schedule situation. Lay the points with New York.

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WNBA Free Bet today | May 24th 2024

ASA WNBA Free play on LA Sparks +1.5 vs Indiana Fever, 10PM ET

Our model as the Sparks favored at home here so we will gladly take the points with the better team. Indiana is 0-5 SU on the season, the Sparks are 1-2 SU. Los Angeles was recently a 2-point favorite at home in their most recent game, which was a win over Washington, who we grade slightly better than the Fever.

L.A.’s two losses have come against an improved Atlanta team and the Champs from a season ago on the road in Las Vegas. Indiana has faced a tough early season slate themselves and have lost two straight close games to Connecticut and Seattle.

The Sparks will have the two best players on the floor in Derica Hamby who is averaging 22PPG, 13.7 RPG and 2.0SPG and has a pair of double-doubles this season. Kia Nurse is averaging 16.3PPG on 54.5% shooting overall and 45% from beyond the Arc. Her 3PT% is second best in the league among players with 6 or more 3PT attempts per game.

L.A. has won 8 of the last ten meetings outright with the Fever and we like them to get a W at home tonight.

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WNBA Free Bet | May 20th | 2024

ASA FREE WNBA bet on New York Liberty (-12) vs. Seattle Storm, Monday, May 20th 7PM ET

The Liberty have a clear scheduling advantage here with a day of rest compared to the Storm who are playing the second of a back-to-back and 3rd game in four days. New York was 15-5 SU at home last season, the Storm were 7-13 SU away.

Seattle has gotten off to a slow 1-2 start this season, the Liberty are off to a 3-0 start. New York failed to cover the season opener against Washington, who has exceeded expectations, then beat the Fever twice badly. Seattle will be playing their third straight road game where they have had their fair share of struggles.

The Storm had the 3rd worst Net differential on the road a year ago at -5.9 and had an average loss margin away from home of -4.6PPG. With the scheduling advantage we like the Liberty big in this one.

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WNBA prediction | Chicago Sky | Future Bet | May 13th

ASA WNBA FUTURE WAGER – OVER 11.5 WINS CHICAGO SKY

ASA WNBA FUTURE WAGER – OVER 13.5 WINS CHICAGO SKY

This gritty Sky team won 18 games a year ago with 11 of those coming on the road. Chicago had the 6th best offensive Net Rating in the league at 101.3 and were 7th in defensive Net Rating at 103.4. They were the 3rd best EFG% team in the league at 50.1%. They were the 8th slowest paced team in the league which kept them competitive in most games with a lower possession rate. Despite their overall losing record they had an acceptable average loss margin of minus -1.6PPG.

The Sky made some key additions through the draft with 6’7 Kamilla Cardoso from the National Champions South Carolina. Cardoso will have a huge impact in the WNBA this season, rebounding and as a rim protector. Unfortunately for the Sky she will miss the first few weeks of the season with a shoulder injury. Another top draft pick was Angel Reese, the Bayou Barbie from LSU, who lost in the Final Four this past season, but won a National Championship the year before. Those two players were Superstars in college hoops and will immediately provide the Sky with franchise type players to build a future around.  

The Sky brought in an experienced coach in Teresa Weatherspoon who was one of the original WNBA players in 1997 and is currently in the Women’s Basketball Hall of Fame. Weatherspoon prides herself on cultivating relationships with her players and bringing energy to the team. She has 17 years of coaching experience, including 3 years on the New Orleans Pelicans staff.

There has been some turnover on the roster with key departures of Kahleah Copper and Courtney Williams, but they do get Diamond DeShields back from injury after missing the 2023 season. Dana Evans has been with the Sky since their 2021 Championship season and will provide that veteran leadership the younger players will need at this stage of their careers.

With some added depth in Elizabeth Williams and Isabelle Harrison we expect this Chicago Sky team to get to .500 or 20 wins this season. 

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