Tag: NHL free pick

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NHL free pick | Flyers vs Blues | Nov 20th

ASAwins NHL play on: Philadelphia Flyers -130 vs. St. Louis Blues – 7PM ET

The Flyers (9-6-3) welcome the struggling Blues (6-9-5) to Wells Fargo Center on Thursday night, and everything points to Philly cashing as -130 home favorites in a bounce-back spot. Scheduling is a massive edge: Philadelphia enters with three full days of rest after a 1-5 loss in Dallas on the 15th, while St. Louis is following an OT loss in Toronto on Tuesday —fatigue could hit hard against the Flyers’ high-tempo forecheck. Philly’s owned this matchup lately, ripping off three straight wins in the series, including a wild 6-5 shootout thriller on Nov. 14 in St. Louis where they outshot the Blues 31-17 despite the high score. The Flyers’ defense has been a brick wall league-wide, allowing just 2.83 goals per game (10th in NHL), compared to Buffalo’s leaky 3.84 GA/G (32nd-worst). Goaltending tilts Philly’s way too: Samuel Ersson (3-1-2, 3.30 GAA) gets the nod in net, backed by a unit that’s eigth-fewest in goals conceded (51 total), while Jordan Binnington (4-5-3, 3.34 GAA, .869 SV%) faces a Flyers attack that’s clicking at home (5-2-2). Computer models love the Orange and Black here (projected 4-2 final), and with the Blues ranking 30th in goals allowed, expect Philly to control and convert. NHL teams with 3+ days rest against an opponent on shorter rest hit at a 60% rate in 2024-25. Grab the Flyers ML at -130—puck drop 7 p.m. ET. 

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NHL free winner today | Oilers vs Sabres | Nov 17 2-025

ASAwins NHL free play on OVER 6.5 goal Edmonton at Buffalo, 7pm ET

Tonight’s Edmonton at Buffalo game is the clearest high-event spot on the slate, with the model projecting 7.2 total goals and finding an 8% edge on the Over 6.5 (currently -120 juice). Both teams rank top-8 in pace and expected goals over the last 10 games, Edmonton’s power play remains lethal on the road, and Buffalo’s goaltending has been leaky against high-danger chances. With the total shaded to the over at -20 already, the model still sees strong value pushing past 6.5 in what should be an up-tempo, mistake-filled affair in KeyBank Center. Edmonton on 5-1 run to the OVER, Buffalo OVER in 4 straight.

We try to post free picks as often as we can so be sure to check back daily for any free betting advice we may have for the day.

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NHL Free Bet | Panthers vs Leafs Game 7 | 2025 NHL Playoffs

ASA NHL play on Florida Panthers -130 vs. Toronto Maple Leafs, Game 7 7 – 7:30pm ET

The Panthers are 3-1 all-time in Game 7s, including 2-0 on the road, with notable victories against the Boston Bruins (2023) and Edmonton Oilers (2024 Stanley Cup Final). Toronto, conversely, is 12-15 in Game 7s, with a six-game losing streak in these scenarios, last winning in 2004 against Ottawa.

The experience of the Panthers who have 13 players on their roster from last season’s Game 7 win against Edmonton in the Stanley Cup. The Panthers hold a 60/40 edge in expected goals and they’ve outscored Toronto 20-16 in the series. Florida has won five straight playoff series and eight of nine, advancing to the Stanley Cup Final in each of the past two seasons.

Toronto hasn’t reached the third round in 23 years. Netminder Sergei Bobrovsky is 2-0 in Game 7s with a 1.88 GAA and .933 save percentage, including 23 saves in last season’s Cup-clinching win. Toronto’s Joseph Woll, while impressive with a Game 6 shutout, has less high-stakes experience.

We are on the Panthers with their Game 7 experience, led by Marchand, Verhaeghe, Tkachuk, and Bobrovsky, outweighs Toronto’s home advantage. Florida’s ability to dominate 5v5 play and their recent playoff pedigree make them the safer pick to advance to the Eastern Conference Final.

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NHL Bet | Blues vs Jets Prediction | Game 7 2025

ASA NHL Betting Prediction: St. Louis Blues +130 vs Winnipeg Jets – 7pm ET(Game 7, May 4, 2025)

The St. Louis Blues are a live underdog to upset the Winnipeg Jets in Game 7 in Winnipeg (+130 moneyline). Despite Connor Hellebuyck’s strong home play (3-0, 2.33 GAA in this series), his playoff struggles (5-11, .860 SV% over three postseasons) and a 4.22 GAA against the Blues is concerning and clearly a trend. Meanwhile, Blues Netminder Jordan Binnington (2.69 GAA, .910 SV% since February) has a proven playoff pedigree, including a 2019 Game 7 road win in Boston. The Blues, led by Robert Thomas (40 points in 26 games), have won 4 of their last 5 as underdogs and boast a battle-tested 2019 Cup core. St. Louis’ ability to exploit Winnipeg’s penalty kill (79.4%) and Hellebuyck’s postseason demons makes them a value bet and live underdog. We would also consider a NHL prediction on the OVER 5.5 goals Blues vs Jets.

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NHL free pick daily | St Louis Blues vs. Winnipeg Jets | May 2, 2025

NHL Betting Prediction: St. Louis Blues vs. Winnipeg Jets – May 2, 2025

In Game 6, the St. Louis Blues are primed to defeat the Winnipeg Jets and force a Game 7. The Blues dominated both home games, outscoring the Jets 12-3, and now face a Jets team missing captain Mark Scheifele, injured in Game 5. Scheifele’s absence (4 goals, 2 assists in playoffs) weakens Winnipeg’s offense. Blues goaltender Jordan Binnington, with a 10-4-1 record, .909 save percentage, and 2.26 GAA over his last 15 starts, has been stellar, allowing just 3 goals on 42 shots in Games 3 and 4. Back the Blues to extend the series.

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