ASA play on over 24.5 POINTS – Anthony Davis – LA Lakers
ASA play on over 24.5 POINTS – Anthony Davis – LA Lakers
This NBA player prop jumped off the pages for us for a couple reasons. Davis is averaging 26.31PPG on the season and has averaged 33.4PPG over his last five games. Yes, his usage takes a hit with LeBron back in the lineup, but he has a favorable matchup against a Pacers team that gives up more points to Centers than any other team in the league at 27.6PPG. Last night the Pacers just allowed Ivica Zubac for the Clippers to pour in 31-points, which is 21-points higher than his season average.
ASA player prop: OVER 23.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS Evan Mobley – Cleveland Cavaliers
Nobody in the NBA gives up more combined points and rebounds to power forwards than the Atlanta Hawks at 36PPG/RPG. Mobley should have a big game here scoring and rebounding considering the Hawks are 26th in the league in defensive rebound rate and rank 20th in points per game allowed. Mobley is averaging 23.81 Pts+Rebs per game this season and 25.0 in his last ten. He has totaled 22 or more points+rebounds in 6 of his last seven games.
If you are a bettor that likes to invest in NBA futures here are a couple wagers to consider for league MVP. We are sticking with a pair of our preseason predictions but have added another based on early season results.
Giannis Antetokounmpo +$250
Before the season started, we predicted Giannis Antetokounmpo as the NBA league MVP at +$250. Giannis is putting up 29.9PPG, 11.8RPG, 5.5APG with a PER rating of 29.14. In order he ranks 8th, 2nd, 29th and 6th in those four key categories. Milwaukee holds the 2nd best record in the Eastern Conference at 11-3. The Greek Freak is quietly putting up numbers similar to his 2019 and 2020 season when he won back-to-back MVP’s.
Ja Morant +$1400
We also like a long shot early on with Ja Morant who is now listed at +1400. We still like Morant who is 9th in scoring at 29.3PPG while also averaging 6.8-Assists Per Game (14th) and 6.2-Rebounds Per Game (60th) with a PER of 26.19 (10th). Memphis has dealt with a number of key injuries early on but have still managed a 9-6 record. For Morant to win though he will have to improve on his assists per game and Memphis will need to finish as one of the top teams in the West.
Jayson Tatum $+550
New to the table is Jason Tatum who has led the Celtics to a 12-3 record and the best team +/- in the league at +7.1PPG. We won’t be surprised if Boston finishes first in the East again and if that’s the case, Tatum will be high on the voter’s radar. Tatum has the 7th best PER at 27.50, is 5th in scoring at 31.1PPG, is grabbing 7.4 Boards Per Game (40th) and is dishing out 4.1APG which ranks 50th. What makes Tatum as an attractive option right now is the fact that his team is deep and defenses can’t key on him. Boston spaces the floor with shooters at every position and they make shots at a 48.8% which is 3rd in the NBA. That means additional assist per game for Tatum even if he isn’t scoring as much.
HONORABLE MENTION – Shai Gilgeous-Alexander – SGA won’t win MVP this season because he’s on a losing team in the Thunder but he’s put up incredible numbers to start the season and is worth mentioning. Gilgeous-Alexander is scoring 32.3PPG, grabbing 4.5RPG and dishing out 5.9APG. His PER rating is 30.10 which is 3rd best in the NBA.
Here is our elimination list or players I would avoid investing in: #1 on the list is Zion Williamson. Who in their right mind would invest in this “china doll” who can’t stay healthy? Yes, he can be a stat-sheet stuffer but there is no chance he wins MVP playing limited games this season. #2 Nikola Jokic. Jokic has won it the past two seasons which and it’s unlikely we would see a three-year run from the media. He also has Jamal Murray and Michael Porter Jr. back from injury and both cut into his scoring numbers.
NBA Longshot – We have you covered – Denver Nuggets (+850) As we mentioned in our Efficiency Champions article, the Nuggets didn’t have the defensive efficiency stats to qualify this year as a potential NBA Champion (efficiency wise) but their overall efficiency differential is 7th best. The Nuggets suffered through several key injuries to their… Read more: NBA Longshot – Denver Nuggets +850
Our Money is on a team everyone is sleeping on…Detroit Pistons +425 to win the Eastern Conference The Celtics are the odds on favorites to win the East and we won’t argue that as they’ve been really, really good this season and even a 70% Jayson Taytum is better than most players in the NBA.… Read more: NBA Eastern Conference Champs – Pistons +425
NBA Champions based on Efficiency stats! By – ASA So, you’re thinking about a future wager on the NBA Championship and you’re not sure who to take? We can help you with some proven statistics that may accurately predict who this year’s Champion may be and rule out the most obvious media darling pretenders. The… Read more: NBA Champions Predictions – Proven Efficiency Stats
NBA betting forecast – By ASAwins.com With the NBA season drawing to a close we hear many sports outlets talking about postseason awards and who specifically is going to be MVP. Let me be upfront with this, I am not a Nikola Jokic super-fan, I’m a basketball guy. In my opinion, the NBA in the… Read more: NBA results without Jokic, SGA and Wemby on a roster
Why Nikola Jokić at +6000 for NBA MVP Is the Sharpest Bet on the Board As the 2025-26 regular season winds down, the MVP race has a clear favorite in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and serious buzz around Victor Wembanyama. But Nikola Jokić sits at +6000 on most sportsbooks—third in the odds but treated like an afterthought… Read more: NBA MVP odds | Longshot Nikola Jokic – Denver Nuggets
ASA Player Prop OVER 21.5 POINTS – Keldon Johnson, San Antonio Spurs
The Over/Under on this game itself is 236 which tells us it’s going to be a high scoring game. These are two of the fastest paced teams in the NBA, and two of the worst when it comes to defensive efficiency. The Spurs are 29th in the league allowing 1.169-points per possession, the Kings rank 27th giving up 1.147PPP. Johnson is averaging 22.71PPG on the season and has a pair of big game recently against a comparative team to the Spurs in the Denver Nuggets. Sacramento allows the 6th most points to shooting forwards, Denver is 8th in that defensive category. Our models are projecting 25.25 points tonight for Johnson.
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ASA Free NBA player prop OVER 18.5 POINTS for CJ McCollum Hawks vs Knicks McCollum continues to see a high usage rate for the Hawks and is one of the few vets on this team with big game experience. He is coming off a 26-point scoring night in Game 1 of this series on 11… Read more: NBA Player Prop bet | Over 18.5 Points | CJ McCollum – Hawks
NBA free player prop bet Game 1 Blazers vs Spurs, April 19th ASA NBA player prop bet – Spurs De’Aaron Fox OVER 23.5 Points+Assists Of the Spurs “big 3” in San Antonio of Wembanyama, Castle and Fox, only De’Aaron Fox has playoff experience, and we like the vet to have a big game here. In… Read more: NBA free player prop bet | De’Aaron Fox | Spurs
ASA NHL Free Bet – NJ Devils -110 at NY Rangers, 7pm ET Tonight’s Free NHL Betting Pick: New Jersey Devils ML over New York Rangers The New Jersey Devils remain a live playoff long shot and a team worth backing until they’re mathematically eliminated, especially against a struggling Rangers squad. New Jersey enters this… Read more: NHL Free Bet | Devils vs Rangers | March 31 2026
ASA NBA free bet on Indiana Pacers +8.5 vs. LA Clippers, 7:10pm ET Our model likes the value with the Indiana Pacers here at home tonight against the visiting LA Clippers. These two teams met in early March in Los Angeles which had the Clippers an -11.5-point favorite on their home court. The natural swing… Read more: NBA free bet | Pacers vs. Clippers | March 27 2026
ASA NBA play prop bet OVER 4.5 Rebounds Baylor Scheierman – Boston Celtics Scheierman has done a fantastic job on the board in recent games, going OVER his rebound prop in 6 straight games and grabbing 4 or more in 11 of his last thirteen games. He has gone OVER 4.5 rebounds in 14 of… Read more: NBA Player prop bet | Celtics vs Grizzlies | March 20 2026
NBA Free Bet – Houston Rockets vs. Dallas Mavericks prediction
ASA play on: Houston Rockets +6.5 at Dallas Mavericks, 8:40PM ET
*No Luka Doncic for Dallas tonight hence the big line move.* After winning with our play on the Clippers last night against the Mavs we will come right back with a NBA free bet against Dallas tonight. The Mavs are 6-7-1 AST their last 14 when playing without rest and their +/- in those games is just +1.6PPG which clearly isn’t enough for a cover tonight. Dallas is off to a 8-5 SU start to the season with a 7-1 record at home. The Mavs +7.1PPG average margin of victory at home though is very misleading as they have a 41-point win over the Grizzlies. If we remove that one blowout their average +/- at home is just 2.1PPG. In their last five home games they have won by a combined 13-points. The Rockets have the 4th worst road differential in the NBA at minus -9.4PPG but they’ve also faced a brutal road schedule, with 8 of ten opponents having an above .500 record. Houston has covered 7 of the last ten meetings in Dallas and get another ATS ‘W’ here. Good luck with this NBA wager Wednesday night.
Jordan Pope (ankle) has been deemed a "true game-time decision," but it looks like he's going to give it a go for Texas and try to at least gut it out.
Gotta love the @CBSSports "expert" analysts talking about the brackets with Clark Kellogg saying that High Point has experience and good size. Experience yes. Size what? They rank 329th in average height and don't have a single guy over 6'8 in their rotation #NCAAtourney
Spot the difference between the #NHL and #NBA? The toothless guy who lays it on the line for pride in his country or the guy that flops and fakes injuries all the time? #jackhughes @stoolpresidente @usahockey
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