ASA NBA free play Minnesota Timberwolves ML -185 vs Denver Nuggets, 9:30PM ET
I’m going to trust my eyes in this one and think the T’Wolves are the better team right now and the Nuggets don’t have the depth to compete here.
LACK OF DEPTH
The Nuggets won last year’s Championship but had depth with Bruce Brown and Jeff Green providing big minutes off the bench. They don’t have that option this year and Jamal Murray clearly isn’t 100% healthy.
JOKER
Everything starts with Jokic on the offensive end of the court for Denver and….
Minnesota has three Bigs (Towns, Gobert and Reid) to throw at Jokic and wear him down.
BREAKING DOWN GAMES 1 & 2
In Game 1 the Nuggets shot 47% overall and 42% and still only managed 99-points. In Game 2 the Wolves defense was smothering (without Gobert) and they held the Nuggets to 35% overall and 30% from Deep and allowed just 80-points.
POSTSEASON
Minnesota currently has the 4th best Defensive Net Rating in the postseason and the 2nd best Offensive Net Rating. In comparison, the Nuggets rank 8th in DNR, 12th in Offensive Net Rating.
SEASONAL
Surprisingly, Denver has not been great off a loss this season with a 13-14 ATS record.
Minnesota is 32-11 SU on their home court this season and have the 4th best average Margin of Victory at +8.7PPG.
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