Tag: Indiana Pacers

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NBA Predictions | Pacers vs Cavaliers | Round 2 | 2025

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ASA’s NBA Playoff Betting Prediction: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Indiana Pacers Series – Over 5.5 Games (-115)

The 2025 NBA Eastern Conference Semifinals pit the top-seeded Cleveland Cavaliers (68-18) against the No. 4 Indiana Pacers (54-33) in what promises to be a thrilling, high-octane series. With the series tipping off on May 4, 2025, at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, we are eyeing the Over 5.5 games prop at -115 odds as a solid series investment. Here’s why this series is likely to extend to at least six games.

Why the Series Could Go Long

Cleveland’s Dominance Meets Indiana’s Resilience

The Cavaliers have been the class of the NBA, sweeping Miami in the first round with a historic +122 point differential and boasting a league-best half-court offense and defense. Donovan Mitchell (23.8 PPG vs. Miami), Defensive Player of the Year Evan Mobley, and Darius Garland form a star trio, with Jarrett Allen anchoring the paint. Cleveland’s 68-18 record and home-court advantage make them heavy favorites (-480 to advance).

However, the Pacers are no pushovers. Fresh off a 4-1 rout of Milwaukee, Indiana’s high-octane offense (7th in NBA, 117.4 PPG) and improved half-court defense (14th post-2025) make them dangerous. Tyrese Haliburton (17.6 PPG, 11.6 APG) drives their relentless pace, while Pascal Siakam and Myles Turner stretch defenses. Indiana’s 3-1 regular-season edge over Cleveland (albeit with the Cavs resting stars in two games) and their 9-2 playoff record since 2023 show they can hang with elite teams.

Key Matchups Favor a Competitive Series

This series hinges on pace versus precision. Indiana’s transition-heavy attack will test Cleveland’s ability to slow the game, while the Cavs’ half-court dominance challenges Indiana’s bottom-10 half-court defense. Haliburton’s playmaking faces pressure from Garland and Mitchell, but Andrew Nembhard’s defense on Mitchell could keep games close. In the frontcourt, Mobley and Allen must contain Siakam and Turner, whose spacing creates mismatches.

Indiana’s depth—featuring Aaron Nesmith, Bennedict Mathurin, and Obi Toppin—matches Cleveland’s bench, led by Ty Jerome and De’Andre Hunter. Both teams excel in clutch situations (Cavs: 29.8 PPG in 4th; Pacers: 29.3 PPG), suggesting tight contests that could extend the series.

Historical and Betting Trends

The Pacers pushed Cleveland to seven games in their 2018 playoff meeting, and their current streak (19-4 including the playoffs) is a great indicator of just how well this team is playing. Don’t be surprised if Indiana’s steals at least one game in Cleveland and hold serve at home, pushing the series to six or beyond.

Betting Recommendation

Pick: Over 5.5 Games (-115) /

Smaller wager: Exact number of games (6) +270

The Cavaliers are the better team, but Indiana’s offensive firepower, depth, and playoff experience make this a dogfight. Expect the Pacers to snag at least one road win and leverage their 29-11 home record to force a Game 6 or 7. At -115, the Over 5.5 games bet is a smart play for a series that’s closer than the odds suggest.

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Philadelphia 76ers vs Indiana Pacers Prediction | 1/25/24

ASA play on OVER 237.5 Philadelphia 76ers at Indiana Pacer, 7PM ET

Tonight the Philadelphia 76ers travel to Indiana to take on the Pacers. This number hasn’t been set high enough and the bet to make is on the Over the Total. Indiana just faced a Nuggets team that plays much slower than the 76ers and that O/U number was essentially the same at 237. Philadelphia is 5th in offensive efficiency this season averaging 1.207-points per possession and rank 15th in pace of play. The Indiana Pacers are 2nd in pace of play at 102.6 possession per game and rank 1st in OEFF while scoring on average 124.6PPG. Indiana also allows the 2nd most points per game at 122.9PPG and rank 26th in DEFF. Philadelphia is coming off a 133-123 win over the Spurs who play at the same frenetic pace as the Pacers and are equally as bad defensively. In the two meetings between these two teams this season they have produced 263 and 258 total points. Even without Haliburton for the Pacers we like a higher scoring game here. Bet Over!

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