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College Basketball Free bet – Feb 23rd

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#795/796 ASA PLAY ON Under 136 Points – Michigan vs Rutgers, Thursday at 8:30 PM ET

Rutgers is a great defensive team overall (4th nationally in efficiency) but especially so at home where they allow only 54 PPG.  At home this team allows opponents to shoot only 36% from the field and 26% from beyond the arc.  They have played 16 home games thus far and only 3 opponents have reached 60 points.  Their most recent home game was one of their worst defensive performances of the year allowing Nebraska to score 82 points on 1.21 points per possessions which is way above Rutgers season defensive average of 0.90 PPP allowed.  We expect them to play very well on that end of the court tonight.  Rutgers will be without starter Caleb McConnell tonight and they lost starting big man Mawot Mag a few weeks ago.  They are not a deep team to begin with and will benefit by keeping this game at a very slow pace which they prefer.  Michigan likes to play fast, but that won’t happen on the road tonight.  The Wolverines have been solid offensively at home this year but on the road they are averaging only 67 PPG and will land below that tonight vs one of the top defenses in the nation.  Defensively Michigan ranks 7th in the Big 10 in efficiency but shouldn’t need to be great on that end tonight vs a Rutgers offense that ranks dead last in the league in eFG%.  Four of Michigan’s last six road game have totaled less than 120 points and their average point total on the road this year is 137 points.  Rutgers home games this season are averaging just 128 total points and 7 of the last 9 meetings between these 2 have resulted in 135 or fewer points.  Take the Under.

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