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Nevada vs San Diego State prediction – Oct 21st 2023

FREE BET #377/378 ASA PLAY ON Over 48 Points – Nevada vs San Diego State, Saturday at 9 PM ET

Our free bet or free pick today is on this Total between the Wolfpack and Aztecs. Neither offense has been high scoring or dynamic this season which is why this total is low.  However, let’s take a closer look.  San Diego State has played 4 high level defenses so far this season in UCLA, Ohio, Oregon and Air Force.  Those 4 teams all rank in the top 13 in total defense nationally.  The SDSU offense expectedly struggled in those games.  In the 2 games when the didn’t face an elite defense, the Aztecs scored 41 & 31 points.  They won’t be facing an elite defense here to say the least.  Nevada’s defense ranks dead last in CFB in total defense and YPP allowed.  The Wolfpack also rank 132nd in PPG allowed and they’ve given up at least 31 points in 5 of their 6 games this season.  We expect SDSU to look very good offensively on Saturday night.  On the other side, the Aztecs have a reputation for being very solid defensively but that is not the case this season.  They rank 119th in total defense and 128th in YPP allowed.  In their last 5 games the Aztec defense has given up 35, 26, 34, 49, and 34 points.  The Nevada offense struggled early this season, but they have now scored at least 24 points in 3 of their last 4 games.  The only time they didn’t reach 24 during that stretch was vs Fresno who ranks in the top 30 in total defense.  Last week, the Wolfpack offense played as well as they have all season averaging 7.0 YPP vs rival UNLV.  Nevada put up 27 points in that loss to UNLV (45-27 final score) but could have scored more with 2 turnovers deep in UNLV territory.  This total is set low due to the offensive numbers each team has put up this year but it’s too low based on the poor defensive performances.  Free bet on the Over in today’s Wolfpack vs Aztecs game. 

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