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College Basketball free bet – Jan 14th

#635 ASA FREE PLAY ON North Texas +4 over Florida Atlantic, Saturday at 2 PM ET

A battle of the 2 best teams in CUSA on Saturday afternoon.  These 2 just met a few weeks ago and FAU pulled the upset winning 50-46.  Both teams shot very poorly form the field but FAU, who rarely gets to the FT line, attempted 11 more freebies which was the difference in the game.   The thing is, FAU only scores around 13% of their points from the charity stripe (345th most nationally) while UNT scored 20% of their points from the FT line.  The Mean Green alson shoot it better from the stripe making 74% as a team compared to 68% for Florida Atlantic.  Thus, we don’t see that disparity happening again which gave the Owls a big edge in that game.  Needless to say UNT has been waiting for this rematch after blowing a 9 point lead with under 4:00 minutes remaining in the first meeting.  That was the Mean Green’s only CUSA loss of the season thus far.  FAU is 5-0 in league play but they’ve been winning by the skin of their teeth as of late.  Since their late come from behind 4 point win vs UNT, the Owls beat UAB at home by 2 points, topped Charlotte at home by 4 points, and just beat a bad FIU team on the road in OT on Wednesday night.  They are ripe to get picked off and North Texas is the team that can do it.  They play outstanding defense allowing only 53 PPG (3rd nationally) and the play at one of the slowest paces in the nation.  Thus why this total is in the low 120’s which makes the points even more valuable.  FAU is overvalued due to their current 14 game winning streak.  10 of those wins have come vs teams ranked outside the top 100.  The 3 wins they have inside the top 100 have come by 2, 2, and 4 points (vs UNT).  Last year the Mean Green were 3 points dogs here and won outright 54-51.  We give them a great shot to win here again so we take the points.