Category: Freepicks

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ASA MLB prediction Free pick

Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-150) Mike Clevinger – San Diego Padres

62 strikeouts in 65 innings pitched, 3-4 with a 3.60 ERA. Washington strikesout 2nd least number of times per game at 7.22 and have been on fire hitting left-handed pitchers of late with a .292 team batting average and 3.8 K’s per 9/innings in their last ten games. Clevinger has had 5 or less strikeouts in 7 of his last ten starts. The Nats own the 11th best walk percentage in baseball at 8.9% and the 3rd best K percentage at 19.6%.

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ASA MLB picks today – Brewers Total

ASA play on: UNDER 7.5 RUNS Tampa Bay Rays @ Milwaukee Brewers, 2:10PM ET

It starts with pitching here with two solid starters slated to take the mound for each team. Lefty Jeffrey Springs will take the hill for the Rays with a 4-3 record, 2.50 ERA and 1.08 WHIP on the season. The Brewers will counter with Brandon Woodruff who is 9-3 on the season with a 3.49 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. Woodruff has allowed just 6 earned runs in his last 23.3 innings of work with 24 strikeouts. At home Woodruff is 5-0 with a 2.08 ERA. Both teams are 17th or worse in team batting average with Milwaukee hitting .240 as a team while the Rays hit .239. The Brewers do average 4.70 runs per 9/innings which is one of the higher averages in baseball but the Rays average 4.14 runs/9 innings which is 22nd. Milwaukee hits just .220 as a team against left-handed pitchers and scored 3.88 runs/9 innings. Tampa hits jut .233 against righties and score 4.26 runs/9 innings. Both teams are also trending in the wrong direction in their last ten games facing the designated handed pitchers.  We don’t see many runs being scored in this day game in Milwaukee.

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Rickenbach Free MLB play July 25

MLB Monday Free Pick OVER 9.5 in Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians @ 7:10 ET – Action on pitchers. Boston has allowed an average of 8.6 runs per game last 16 games! Even taking out the crazy 28-5 loss to Toronto, the Red Sox have allowed 7.3 runs per game last 15 games! In other words, no matter the starting pitcher Boston has been giving up piles of runs. If Pivetta starts tonight, that is even better as he has allowed 20 earned runs in his 13.1 innings in the month of July! As for the Guardians, they have averaged 6 runs per game last 7 games and their last 6 games have averaged a total of 10 runs scored. I look for this one to get to double digits regardless of who is on the mound but will mention that Plesac is the expected starter and he has allowed 11 runs (8 earned) in 14.2 innings in the month of July. Look for a high-scoring game at Fenway Park tonight. Free Pick OVER 9.5 in Boston

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Scott Rickenbach free MLB July 17

Rickenbach MLB Sunday Free Pick OVER 9 in Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners @ 2:35 ET – Action on pitchers. This is a contrarian play…like so many of mine are! But the fact is I don’t care who the starting pitchers are here. I know Flexen has good numbers. I also know Otto is likely to struggle. Yesterday’s game between these teams totaled just 3 runs despite 17 hits. No matter the starting pitchers here (my play is action), note that Seattle has won 13 straight games and scored an average of 5.4 runs per game last 11 games. The Rangers have scored an average of 5.7 runs per game in the first 9 games of this 10-game homestand and the last two games were the first two times they have been held below 5 runs in any of these games! Free Pick OVER 9 in Texas.

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Scott Rickenbach MLB free bet July 5

*action on pitchers* MLB Tuesday Free Pick OVER 8.5 in Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Yankees @ 7:05 ET – My biggest concern here is the weather. I like this play no matter who the starting pitchers are but just hope they can get the game in. The Yankees are the best team in baseball and will score their fair share of runs. The Pirates continue to be a scrappy team that is scoring decently and particularly when at home. That said, I feel we have good value here with a low total. The Yankees are scoring an average of 5 runs per game and no other team in MLB has topped the 400 run mark on the season like they have. New York is off a shutout loss Sunday but had scored an average of 6 runs per game in going 6-1 prior to that loss. The Pirates are also off a home shutout loss Sunday but had averaged 6.4 runs in their last 9 home games prior to that one and had won 6 of 8 as a host prior to that. You can see why I like this play no matter the pitchers but I will also mention that Taillon struggled often in the month of June and Quintana also struggled last month when he faced better-hitting teams. That is certainly the case here with facing the Yankees. Free Pick OVER 8.5 in Pittsburgh