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NFL PLAYER PROP BETS – Jan 1

ASA NFL PLAYER PROPS – Jan 1st 2022

Leonard Fournette (Buccaneers) Over 27.5 Rec Yards (Even)

Lenny had his best performance in quite some time last week, putting up 9 catches for 90 yards as the Bucs top receiver. Tom Brady was strictly looking to dink and dunk and has found recent success getting the ball out quickly. Using the short passes as an extension of the run game will help Tampa to avoid negative plays with an increasingly injured offensive line. 

David Montgomery (Bears) Over 49.5 Rush Yards (-115)

Detroit was abused by the Panther’s rushing attack last week for an astonishing 320 yards on the ground. With Montgomery seeing the majority of the backfield carries, he is in for a big day after Chuba Hubbard and D’onte Foreman both amassed 100+ yards against the Lions. Chicago will look to get the ground game going with the dynamic duo of Montgomery and Fields. 

Aaron Rodgers (Packers) Over 254.5 Pass Yards (-115)

Green Bay is riding a three game winning streak and needs to win out to have a chance at the playoffs. Healthy weapons have helped the Packers become more explosive in the passing game and Minnesota bringing the league’s worst passing defense to Lambeau Field bodes well this week. Rodgers has not surpassed 300 yards all season, but will need to turn back the clock in a must win game. 

Aaron Rodgers (Packers) OVER 2.5 RUSHING YARDS

All we need is one scramble from Rodgers here to cash this ticket. He’s going up against one of, if not the worst defense in the NFL. Minnesota is 31st in total yards per game allowed, 32nd against the pass and 19th versus the run. In a must win situation we know Rodgers will do everything he can to win this game and even though he doesn’t run as much as he used to, he will here when forced from the pocket. On the season he is averaging 2.7 rushing yards per game.

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NBA Player Props Dec 2nd

ASA’s NBA Player Props are off to INSANE 29-12 START!

ASA Player Prop UNDER 1.5 MADE 3-POINTERS – Nikola Vucevic – Chicago Bulls

Vucevic averages 1.52 made 3PT’s on the season which is clearly slightly higher than tonight’s Over/Under. He has failed to make more than one 3-pointer in 7 of his last ten games though. In the three games he managed to make more than 1 3-pointer he faced some of the league’s worst teams defending Centers making 3’s. He made 4 against the Bucks and 2 each in two games against the Pelicans. New Orleans is the 16th worst defensive team in the category, the Bucks are 15th worst. Tonight Vucevic will face a Warriors team that is 6th best in defending Centers on the 3-point line who allow just 0.7 makes per game. Easy UNDER call here.

ASA Player Prop OVER 34.5 POINTS+REBOUND Anthony Davis – LA Lakers

A.D. averages 12.72 rebounds per game this season and has ripped off 8 straight games with 12 or more. His lowest rebound total was in the Lakers last game against the Blazers, which was a blowout early on, so he played just 29 minutes. The Bucks allow the 6th most rebounds to Centers in the NBA at 15.7 per game. A.D. is scoring 26.28PPG on the year and an even better average of 29.3PPG in his last ten games. When you combine Rebound and Points, he is averaging 39 per game this season and 43.3 in his last ten games. The Bucks have a great scoring defense regarding Centers this season, but they haven’t faced many great Bigs which makes their numbers better than they are. We really like this number considering Davis is more than capable of scoring more that 35 in this game, so the rebounds are a plus.

ASA Player Prop OVER 28.5 POINTS – Trae Young – Atlanta Hawks

Young is averaging 27.81PPG on the season and 28.2PPG in his last ten games. The Books have set this number slightly higher than his season average for a reason. The Nuggets allow the 4th most points in the NBA to PG’s this season. A few things we can rely on with this Over wager. Young will get his shots up as he averages 20.3 field goal attempts per game. That number could go up considering the Hawks are without two starters in Collins and Hunter tonight. The Nuggets aren’t great defensively as they rank 23rd in the league in defensive efficiency allowing 1.143-points per possession. Denver has the 27th worst overall FG% defense and rank 15th in 3PT% D. Young is in line for a big scoring night on Friday.

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NFL Player Props – Nov 20th

ASA’s NFL player props for Sunday November 20th

Darnell Mooney Over 44.5 Rec Yards (-114)

Chicago has turned their offense around thanks to the rushing ability of Justin Fields. This has helped Mooney see more single coverage, allowing him to surpass his yardage total the previous seven weeks. With the Falcons ranking dead last in passing yards allowed per game, Mooney will have ample opportunity to once again pay dividends. 

Patrick Mahomes Over 292.5 Pass Yards (-115)

Mahomes leads the league in passing yards in 2022, currently riding a four game heater where he’s averaging 384 yards per game. Mecole Hardman and JuJu Smith-Schuster will be missing but Kadarius Toney is a nice addition to provide Mahomes more game breaking ability. Until we see anything different, expect Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes to continue scorching NFL defenses. 

Tyler Higbee Over 42.5 Rec Yards (-130)

Cooper Kupp is an immeasurable loss for the Rams (ankle), yet the show must go on with Matthew Stafford back from injury. Stafford has lacked chemistry with Allen Robinson in their first year together, leaving Tyler Higbee one of the few options in this offense. With an increase in targets expected, the Rams tight end will be called upon to produce in the passing game. Higbee has a good chance to lead the Rams in yards as he did last week in Cupp’s absence. 

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NBA MVP Winners and Losers – Nov 18th

ASA NBA Future MVP wagers as of Nov 18th.

If you are a bettor that likes to invest in NBA futures here are a couple wagers to consider for league MVP. We are sticking with a pair of our preseason predictions but have added another based on early season results.

Giannis Antetokounmpo +$250

Before the season started, we predicted Giannis Antetokounmpo as the NBA league MVP at +$250. Giannis is putting up 29.9PPG, 11.8RPG, 5.5APG with a PER rating of 29.14. In order he ranks 8th, 2nd, 29th and 6th in those four key categories. Milwaukee holds the 2nd best record in the Eastern Conference at 11-3. The Greek Freak is quietly putting up numbers similar to his 2019 and 2020 season when he won back-to-back MVP’s.

Ja Morant +$1400

We also like a long shot early on with Ja Morant who is now listed at +1400. We still like Morant who is 9th in scoring at 29.3PPG while also averaging 6.8-Assists Per Game (14th) and 6.2-Rebounds Per Game (60th) with a PER of 26.19 (10th). Memphis has dealt with a number of key injuries early on but have still managed a 9-6 record. For Morant to win though he will have to improve on his assists per game and Memphis will need to finish as one of the top teams in the West.

Jayson Tatum $+550

New to the table is Jason Tatum who has led the Celtics to a 12-3 record and the best team +/- in the league at +7.1PPG. We won’t be surprised if Boston finishes first in the East again and if that’s the case, Tatum will be high on the voter’s radar. Tatum has the 7th best PER at 27.50, is 5th in scoring at 31.1PPG, is grabbing 7.4 Boards Per Game (40th) and is dishing out 4.1APG which ranks 50th. What makes Tatum as an attractive option right now is the fact that his team is deep and defenses can’t key on him. Boston spaces the floor with shooters at every position and they make shots at a 48.8% which is 3rd in the NBA. That means additional assist per game for Tatum even if he isn’t scoring as much.

HONORABLE MENTION – Shai Gilgeous-Alexander – SGA won’t win MVP this season because he’s on a losing team in the Thunder but he’s put up incredible numbers to start the season and is worth mentioning. Gilgeous-Alexander is scoring 32.3PPG, grabbing 4.5RPG and dishing out 5.9APG. His PER rating is 30.10 which is 3rd best in the NBA.

Here is our elimination list or players I would avoid investing in: #1 on the list is Zion Williamson. Who in their right mind would invest in this “china doll” who can’t stay healthy? Yes, he can be a stat-sheet stuffer but there is no chance he wins MVP playing limited games this season. #2 Nikola Jokic. Jokic has won it the past two seasons which and it’s unlikely we would see a three-year run from the media. He also has Jamal Murray and Michael Porter Jr. back from injury and both cut into his scoring numbers.

Top 25 Current MVP odds

NBA 2023 MVP WINNER ODDS
  
PlayerOdds
Luka Doncic250
Giannis Antetokounmpo260
Jayson Tatum550
Stephen Curry1100
Joel Embiid1200
Ja Morant1400
Donovan Mitchell2000
Kevin Durant2200
Nikola Jokic3000
Devin Booker4000
Trae Young5000
Damian Lillard5000
Zion Williamson5000
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander7000
Pascal Siakam7000
DeMar DeRozan10000
Jimmy Butler15000
James Harden15000
Paul George20000
Jaylen Brown25000
Lauri Markkanen25000
De’Aaron Fox25000
LeBron James25000

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NFL Player Prop Bets – Oct 30th – By ASA

ASA 4 NFL Player Props for Sunday, October 30th 2022

Miami Dolphins – Jaylen Waddle Over 64 Rec Yards (-119)

Last week Waddle turned 4 catches into 88 yards with only 5 targets. Detroit is giving up roughly 250 passing yards per game this season making it a salivating matchup for the Miami speedster. If Detroit can regain some of its early season offensive output, we may see a shootout at Ford Field. Set at the highest O/U of the weekend (50.5), Waddle could easily double his yardage total without surprising anyone. 

Atlanta Falcons – Marcus Mariota Under 161.5 Pass Yards (-117)

Atlanta has been dead set on running the football no matter the score in 2022. In week seven, the Bengals scored 21 unanswered points on their first three drives, yet Mariota only threw 13 times the entire game while trailing. He has not surpassed 150 passing yards once in his previous four games. Additionally, Carolina’s defense played great against the Bucs, holding them to three total points. 

New Orleans Saints – Alvin Kamara Over 38.5 Rec Yards (-117)

Andy Dalton was named the starter once again for week 8. This bodes well for Kamara as he has collected six or more passes in the three games they have both started. Las Vegas ranks 27th in passing yards allowed per game. With how involved the Saints stud running back is in the passing game, expect there to be plenty of room for Kamara to operate. Volume alone will make him a valuable bet. 

NY Giants Saquon Barkley Over 84.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Barkley is averaging 103.71 rushing yards per game and this Seattle defense will be the worst rush D they have faced this season. The Seahawks give up 147.9 Rushing Yards Per game which ranks 29th in the NFL. The Hawks D-line ranks 19th in “Hog Index”. The Giants rank 10th in O-Line “Hog Index”. Let’s do some simple math here: Seattle gives up 4.9-Yards Per Rush. Barkley averages 20.43-Rush Attempts Per Game. Barkley averages 5.1-Yards Per Rush. If it’s an “average” game Barkley should rush for over 102.15 rushing yards.  

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