Author: Lee Kostroski

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JAGUARS vs BILLS Preview | 9-23-24

Jaguars vs Bills preview

NFL Game Preview: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills – September 22, 2024

Game Overview Jaguars vs Bills preview: The Jacksonville Jaguars, currently at 0-2, are set to face off against the Buffalo Bills, who have started the season with a perfect 2-0 record. This Monday Night Football clash on September 22, 2024, at Highmark Stadium in Buffalo, presents a stark contrast in team momentum and expectations.

Team Analysis:

  • Jacksonville Jaguars: Coming off two consecutive losses, the Jaguars are in dire need of a victory to kickstart their season. Trevor Lawrence has been underwhelming, completing just over 50% of his passes with only one touchdown, indicating struggles in the passing game. However, the Jaguars have shown some promise in the run game, with notable performances by their running backs.
  • Buffalo Bills: The Bills have looked impressive, defeating their opponents convincingly. Josh Allen, despite the departure of Stefon Diggs, has managed the offense with poise, showcasing a balanced attack with both passing and running games. The defense has also stepped up, making Buffalo a formidable opponent at home.

Betting Odds: Jaguars vs Bills Preview

  • Spread: Bills -5.5
  • Moneyline: Bills -250, Jaguars +200
  • Over/Under: Set at 46, with the market showing a slight lean towards the under given the defensive performances, especially by Buffalo.

Injury Updates: From the information available, there haven’t been detailed reports directly from the game week, but general sentiment from posts and updates around the time suggests:

  • Bills: Concerns over how the offensive line might hold up, especially with mentions of backup tackles potentially playing, which could affect their run-first strategy against a struggling Jaguars offense.
  • Jaguars: No specific injury updates directly from the game week, but there’s an ongoing narrative around Trevor Lawrence needing to step up, which might imply pressure on him to perform regardless of physical condition.

Key Matchups to Watch:

  • Trevor Lawrence vs. Bills Defense: Lawrence needs to find his rhythm against a Bills defense that’s been effective at limiting big plays and quarterback mobility.
  • Bills’ Running Game vs. Jaguars’ Run Defense: If the Bills can establish their run game, it could dictate a game script where they control the clock, keeping the Jaguars’ offense off the field.

Predictions and Fan Sentiment: Fan sentiments and expert analyses seem to lean towards the Bills, citing their home advantage, offensive balance, and the Jaguars’ early season struggles. However, the Jaguars have historical success against Buffalo, which might give some hope to their supporters.

The game could very well hinge on whether the Jaguars can muster an offensive performance to upset the expectations or if the Bills continue their dominant start to the season, potentially covering the spread with a strong defensive showing.

Conclusion: This matchup is critical for the Jaguars to avoid falling into a 0-3 hole, while for the Bills, it’s another opportunity to solidify their position as AFC contenders. Betting markets and fan are showing a cautious optimism around the Bills, but underdogs in the NFL have the Books taking some buy back on the Jags.

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Commanders vs Bengals Preview | 9-23-24

CommandersvsBengals

Washington Commanders vs. Cincinnati Bengals Game Preview – Monday, September 23, 2024

Commanders vs Bengals Preview: The Washington Commanders, coming off a 1-1 start, face off against the Cincinnati Bengals, who are looking to avoid an 0-3 hole in the season. This Monday Night Football game promises intrigue as both teams seek to establish their identity in the early season.

Betting Odds:

  • Spread: Bengals -7.5
  • Over/Under: 47.5
  • Moneyline: Commanders +280, Bengals -350

Injury Updates:

  • Washington Commanders:
    • Clelin Ferrell (DE) is out with a knee injury, which might affect the defensive line rotation.
    • Emmanuel Forbes (CB) is questionable with a thumb injury, potentially impacting the secondary’s performance.
  • Cincinnati Bengals:
    • Ja’Marr Chase was questionable earlier but there’s sentiment suggesting he might return, though potentially not at full workload due to his previous status.
    • Tee Higgins Is expected to play but is dealing with a hamstring issue, which could limit his involvement or affect his performance if he plays.

Game Analysis:

  • Commanders’ Perspective: Under new management with Jayden Daniels at QB, the Commanders are looking to build on their offensive efficiency, ranking high in EPA/play and success rate. However, their road performance and the absence of Ferrell could put pressure on a young defense.
  • Bengals’ Perspective: Despite their 0-2 start, the Bengals showed signs of life in their loss against the Chiefs, with Joe Burrow attempting to rally the team. The return of key offensive players, even if not at 100%, could significantly boost their morale and on-field execution.
  • Key Matchups:
    • Commanders’ Offense vs. Bengals’ Defense: Can the Bengals’ defense, possibly missing key pieces, contain the Commanders’ dynamic run game and the emerging Daniels?
    • Bengals’ Offense vs. Commanders’ Defense: With Chase’s status uncertain and Higgins potentially limited, how will the Bengals’ passing game adapt against a Commanders defense that might be without Forbes?

Commanders vs Bengals preview Conclusion: This game could go either way, with the Bengals favored but not without their own set of challenges, particularly on the injury front. The Commanders, on an emotional high with their new quarterback, might just pull off an upset if they can keep the game low-scoring and capitalize on special teams or turnovers. For fans and bettors, this matchup offers a mix of strategic play and the unpredictability of early-season form, making it a must-watch for Monday Night Football.

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RAVENS vs COWBOYS PREDICTION | FREE BET | 9-22-24

NFL FREE BET – Baltimore Ravens -1 vs. Dallas Cowboys prediction, Sunday Sept 22nd 2024

The Ravens were many experts picks and one of the betting favorites to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl this season. With a loss on Sunday the Ravens would fall to 0-3 SU and be in serious trouble of missing the postseason.

Dallas won their opener in Cleveland against a bad Browns team then were destroyed last week at home by the Saints. New Orleans ran through the Dallas D for 190 yards while Saints QB Carr dissected them through the air with 11/16 passing for 242 yards.

Baltimore will pound the football against the soft interior of the Cowboys defense that ranked in the bottom half of the league in stopping the run in 2023. Baltimore led the league in rushing yards a year ago at 156.4 at 5.0YPR. This season the Ravens are averaging 5.7YPR (3rd) and 168 rushing yards per game. The Ravens have outgained their first two opponents by over 200+ total yards and have the 11th best yards per play differential in the NFL.

In comparison, the Cowboys have a negative yards per play differential of -0.4. The Ravens defense has allowed less than a 50-yards rushing average in their first two games and will bottle up a Cowboys run game that averages just 85RYPG.

The Cowboys will want to throw often in this game, but the Ravens pass defense allowed the fewest passing yards per attempt last season and ranked 8th in passing yards allowed p/game.

Baltimore clearly has the coaching advantage and Lamar Jackson has owned the NFC with a 18-1 ATS run. Back the desperate team here.

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Kansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta Falcons Predictions | September 22nd 2024

Chiefs vs Falcons preview

NFL Game Preview: Atlanta Falcons vs. Kansas City Chiefs – September 22, 2024

ASAWins Team breaks down the Sunday Night game.

Chiefs vs Falcons Prediction Game Details:

  • Date: Sunday, September 22, 2024
  • Time: 8:20 PM EST
  • Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA

Betting Odds:

  • Spread: Kansas City Chiefs -3, Atlanta Falcons +3
  • Over/Under: 46.5
  • Moneyline: Chiefs -170, Falcons +145

Injury Updates:

Kansas City Chiefs:

  • Isiah Pacheco is out with an ankle injury, which could significantly impact the Chiefs’ running game.
  • Hollywood Brown and Clyde Edwards-Helaire are also sidelined, with both on the Injured Reserve, severely limiting the Chiefs’ offensive options in the receiving and running games.

Atlanta Falcons:

  • Nate Landman and Milo Eifler are out, impacting the linebacker depth for the Falcons.

Game Analysis:

Chiefs’ Offense: Despite injuries, Patrick Mahomes continues to lead one of the most dynamic offenses in the NFL. With Rashee Rice stepping up in the absence of top receivers, the Chiefs might lean heavily on Rice and Travis Kelce for aerial dominance. The running game, however, faces a significant challenge with Pacheco out, possibly relying more on Carson Steele and Samaje Perine to manage the ground game.

Falcons’ Offense: The Falcons come off a dramatic victory against the Eagles, where Kirk Cousins showed resilience, throwing for 396 yards. Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier have been pivotal in the run game, providing a balanced attack that could exploit the Chiefs’ defense, which has shown vulnerabilities against strong running teams.

Defensive Matchup: The Chiefs’ defense, despite missing key players, has managed to keep games competitive. However, their performance against the run might be tested by the Falcons’ robust running backs. Conversely, the Falcons’ defense needs to contain Mahomes, which is easier said than done, but their recent performance suggests they might have a strategy to at least keep the game close.

Key Betting Insights:

  • The Chiefs, as road favorites of 3 or more points following a win, have not covered the spread effectively in recent years. The Falcons though have been an uninspiring home dog with a 6-7 ATS in that role since 2020.
  • The over/under set at 46.5 reflects expectations of a high-scoring affair, considering both teams’ offensive capabilities, though the Chiefs’ injuries might suggest a lower scoring game if their offense struggles.

Fantasy and Player Insights:

  • Rashee Rice and Travis Kelce for the Chiefs, along with Bijan Robinson and Kyle Pitts for the Falcons, are expected to be key fantasy performers. However, Kirk Cousins might be a riskier start given the Chiefs’ defensive reputation.

Chiefs vs Falcons prediction Conclusion: This game pits the offensive prowess of the Chiefs against an improving Falcons team looking to make a statement. This game could come down to whomever has the football last. The over/under might lean towards the under given the injury situation, but with Mahomes under center, one can never count out a high-scoring affair. This game could go either way, making it one of the must-watch games of Week 3.

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NFL Free Bet today | Patriots vs Jets prediction | Sept 19 2024

POINT TRAIN NFL free bet today – Patriots vs Jets – Thursday Night Football

New England Patriots TEAM TOTAL UNDER 16.5 POINTS

RATING – Beer & Pizza

  • I can’t get involved with a team or side here as the jury is still out on Rodgers/Jets offense and the Patriots have key injuries on their offensive line.
  • I will sprinkle a few shillings on the UNDER in the Patriots team total.
  • New England has taken a very conservative approach offensively with the 8th fewest pass attempts per game. They run it at a very high rate and QB Brissett has just 270-total passing yards in two games.
  • The Pats will commit to the run early and often and if their defense can contain the Jets offense early on, they’ll be content to play field position and hope to win late.
  • New England has scored 3, 15 and 10-points in the last three meetings with New York.
  • I don’t see the Patriots scoring more than 2 touchdowns in this one.

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