Tag: NBA free bet

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Free NBA Bet | Player Prop bet | Friday, January 31st 2025

Free NBA play OVER 24.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS+ASSISTS – Immanuel Quickley – Toronto Raptors

Quickley gets a very favorable match up tonight against the Bulls who are a dumpster fire right now and don’t defend well. The Bulls are 23rd in the NBA in DEFF allowing 1.161PPP on the season and have the 25th worst EFG% defense over their last ten games. They give up the 7th most points to PG’s at 24.3ppg, the 3rd most assists and the most rebounds per game. Quickley has missed most of the season and returned to action on January 1st. Since then, he has totaled more than 24.5 P+R+A in 4 of six games and is average 26.17 in that 6-game stretch.

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NBA free bet Heat vs Trailblazers | Jan 11th 2025

ASA’s NBA play on Portland Trailblazers +3.5 vs. Miami Heat, 10PM ET

I may regret backing the Blazers here as I typically don’t like betting teams in their first home game off an extended road trip but there are enough other positives to back Portland here.

Let’s face it, not all NBA players are 100% motivated on a nightly basis, which can make games difficult to predict. I’m betting the Blazers will be ready for this Heat team after losing to them by 60-points in late March a year ago. That is not a typo…60-point beat down by the Heat in Miami.

The Heat are without suspended Jimmy Butler and 2-3 SU their last five games. They are coming off a pair of road wins against the Warriors and Jazz, but the Heat have struggled as a road favorite this season going 1-6 ATS.

On that note, the Blazers have made backers money as a home underdog with a 9-5 ATS record.

Miami isn’t a great shooting team so we see them exploiting a bad Blazer FG% defense to win this game by margin.

Lastly, there was an immediate influx of money on the Heat, yet the line didn’t move as it normally would have in the Miami’s favor. We will make a light bet on the Blazers and the points tonight.

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NBA free bet | Atlanta Hawks vs Utah Jazz Prediction | 1-7-2025

ASA NBA free bet on OVER 238.5 Atlanta Hawks at Utah Jazz, 9PM ET

The Jazz are coming off a 3-game road trip on the East coast with a pair of wins over the Heat and Magic in the most recent games.

Atlanta is on a 3-game slide on a West coast trip with the losses coming at Denver, Lakers and Clippers. In two of those game the Hawks defense allowed 131 and 139 points. They have given up 128 or more points in 5 of their last nine games.

While we are on the subject of defense, or lack of, the Jazz have the worst defense in the NBA in terms of Efficiency rating as they allow 1.204-points per possession. Atlanta allows 1.146PPP which ranks 17th.

We should get a very fast paced game here with a Hawks team that is 3rd in the league in possession per game, the Jazz are 14th.

Both defenses are 20th or worse in FG%, 3PT% and FG attempts. Combined these two teams have favored the Over with a 42-17-1 Over record this season. This number is significantly lower than our model projects. Bet Over.

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NBA Free Bet | Jazz vs Nets Prediction | December 21st 2024

ASA NBA play on Brooklyn Nets -2.5 vs. Utah Jazz, 7 :40PM ET

We are going to try and beat the Jazz again tonight when they travel to Brooklyn to face the Nets. Utah is clearly one of the worst teams in the NBA this season and we are betting they don’t win two games in a row.

The Jazz have lost 14 of their last 17 games and 10 of those losses have been by six points or more. Utah has a negative scoring margin of -10.6ppg which is the 28th highest number in the NBA.

Utah is the worst defensive team in the league in terms of Efficiency rating allowing 1.215-points per possession. The Jazz are 29th in opponents FG% defense at 48.7%, 26th in 3PT% allowed at 37.4% and have given up an average of 121.8ppg over their last 10 games.

The Jazz turn the ball over at one of the highest rates in the NBA.

There were clearly some issues in the Nets locker room with Denis Schroeder on the roster. As soon as he was traded the Nets went on the road and beat Toronto in their most recent game.

Cam Johnson has elevated his game as he tries to improve his draft stock and get out of Brooklyn. Johnson is coming off a 33 point, 10 rebound and 6 assists against the Raptors.

Brooklyn has some horrible home losses in recent weeks, but they have come against: Cleveland, Milwaukee, Orlando twice and Boston. Those are 4 top teams in the East.

Utah has just 4 road wins on the season and are coming off an upset in Detroit. We like the Nets here.

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NBA FREE BET | Suns vs Jazz prediction | Dec 13 2024

ASA Free NBA play on Over 233.5 Phoenix Suns at Utah Jazz – Friday 9:40PM ET

When these two teams have gotten together, they have scored 230+ points in 5 straight games dating back to the start of last season, including a 232 total earlier this season.

The Suns just faced two top 11 defenses in the Heat and Magic and will now take advantage of a Jazz defense that isn’t good. Utah is 29th out of 30 teams in Defensive Efficiency rating allowing 1.199-points per possession. Utah has allowed 133 and 141 in two of their last three games.

The Jazz offense has struggled at times but should  put up points in this game too against a Suns defense that has holes. Phoenix started the season playing well defensively but have now slipped to 21st in DEFF.

The Suns have allowed 121 or more points in two of their last 3 games. With the history of high scoring games between these two teams we like another one on Friday night.

BONUS – PLAYER PROP – OVER 24.5 Devin Booker scoring prop. The Jazz allow the 5th most points to PG’s this season and the 7th most to SG’s and in the first meeting this season Booker went off for 31. Booker who has topped 25-points in 7 of his last 8 games.

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