ASAwins NBA free bet on OVER 212.5 LA Clippers at Toronto Raptors, 7:40pm ET
This is a very low total based on NBA averages and numbers this season. NBA games are averaging 232.1 points per game this season and typically finish the season around 227’ish. So Vegas is suggesting this game is going to be that far below the number? We expect this game to get into the 220’s. The Clippers have found a groove with 4 straight wins and an 10-2 record in their last 12 games. The defense of the Clippers in recent weeks has been much improved but it’s the offense that has really played well. L.A. has an offensive net rating of 120.4 over their last 10 games which is the 4th highest number in the league. They also rank 5th in eFG% over that same time period. Toronto has some ‘meh’ statistics and rank near the middle of the league in FG% (47.1%) and field goal attempts but is solid on the O-boards and 12th in 2nd chance points. They are scoring just under 114ppg on the season. As we mentioned earlier, the Clippers have some great defensive stats in recent weeks but on the season this team ranks 25th in defensive efficiency allowing 1.186-points per possession. The Clippers are also 16th in FG% allowed and 21st in 3PT% allowed. We don’t need this game to be any kind of shootout, we just need it to be better than average. Easy OVER call.
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