NBA Rockets vs Mavericks Prediction | 10-31-24

We like a low scoring game between these two Texas teams with a projected final of 215 total points being scored.

Houston has made a commitment to the defensive end of the court under coach Udoka, currently ranking 8^th in defensive efficiency allowing just 1.086-points per possession. Last season the Rockets finished the entire season ranked 10^th in DEFF so it’s clearly not just a one year thing. When you look at full season stats the Mavs were not good defensively allowing 1.149-points per possession which ranked 18^th in the NBA. In their last 23 games of the season though they allowed 1.104PPP, 9^th best in the league.

This season in four games the Mavericks are allowing 1.098PPG which is 10^th best in the league. Contrary to what you might think, the Mavs play at a slower tempo averaging 100 possessions per game which ranks 17^th. The Rockets are slower yet in pace of play at 98.25, 25^th slowest in the NBA.

Thus far into the season these two teams have not shot it well either with the Mavericks ranking 22^nd in EFG% shooting, the Rockets are 28^th. The average total points scored in a NBA game this season is slightly higher than this, but we don’t see this being average with a slow tempo, great defense and below average shooting. This NBA Rockets vs Mavericks prediction is UNDER the Total.

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