college free winner Archives

#344 ASA FREE COLLEGE BET – ON Indiana -29 over Wisconsin, Saturday at 12 PM ET

It’s not often we lay a huge number but this one is warranted. Indiana has played only 3 Big 10 home games and they’ve won those by 53 points (vs Illinois), by 50 points (vs UCLA), and by 25 points (vs MSU).

IU head coach Cignetti is not afraid to bury teams and he’s done just that at home. The Hoosiers are undefeated at home since Cignetti took over at the beginning of last season and their average margin of victory in those games is +36 points.

They are in the top 10 nationally in both total offense and total defense. This offense has put up at least 30 points in 17 of their 23 games under Cignetti.

The problem for Wisconsin is they can’t score. They have only 4 total TD’s in their 6 Big 10 games and they haven’t topped 300 total yards in a conference game this season. Last week they beat Washington at home 13-10 with 205 total yards and 48 yards passing, of which 24 came from their punter on a fake punt.

It looks like true freshman Carter Smith will get his first ever collegiate start here. That’s a rough spot for an inexperienced QB. If Wisconsin can’t run the ball, they are in huge trouble.

The IU defense allows just 83 YPG on the ground so Smith will have to somehow create some plays through the air. The Badger defense has been very solid over the last few games but they are running into a juggernaut here as Indiana averages 548 YPG on 7.7 YPP at home this season.

This one looks like another Hoosier home blow out.